Canada could be hit hardest by U.S. political upheaval, report warns

By Dorcas Marfo
CTV News
January 9, 2026
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

A new global risk assessment is warning that no country would be more “profoundly affected” by a political upheaval in the US than Canada. Published Monday, the Eurasia Group’s “Top Risks For 2026″ report cites deep economic, security and geographic ties that leave Canada especially exposed to instability south of the border. Eurasia Group, a political risk consultancy, identifies what it calls a potential U.S. “political revolution” – driven by U.S. President Donald Trump’s efforts to consolidate power, “capture the machinery of government, and weaponize it against his enemies” – as the most significant threats to global stability this year. Canada is exposed because it is closely tied to the US through geography, trade and defence, meaning sudden political or policy changes in Washington could have an outsized impact on Canada. Former foreign affairs minister Lloyd Axworthy warned that Canada must be prepared for a more aggressive and transactional US approach.

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