Category Archives: Business & Politics

Business & Politics

Trump says tariffs on Mexico and Canada ‘could go up,’ declines to rule out possible recession

By Auzinea Bacon
CNN Business
March 9, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

President Donald Trump said tariffs on some goods from Canada and Mexico planned for April 2 “could go up,” and would not predict whether the United States will have a recession in 2025. On Fox News Sunday morning, Trump said reciprocal tariffs would go into effect on April 2 and the one-month reprieve granted to Mexico and Canada was a “little bit of a break.” …But Trump has continued to make changes to tariff plans. On Friday, he threatened new tariffs on Canadian lumber and dairy products. Those tariffs could go into effect on Monday. …Meanwhile, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that Trump’s promised 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports will go into effect Wednesday and tariffs on Canadian dairy and lumber products will “start on April 2.” …Lutnick indicated the tariffs will continue until Trump is “comfortable” with how both countries are handling the flow of fentanyl.

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Canfor posts Q4 net loss, looks to market diversification

By Nelson Bennett
Business in Vancouver
March 7, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

Susan Yurkovich

Canfor posted a $63 million net loss in the fourth quarter of 2024 – a vast improvement over the $350 million net loss it posted earlier in Q3 2024. Other BC companies like West Fraser and Interfor have also reported improved sales numbers in the latter part of 2024. …“Following several quarters of very weak global lumber market conditions, we were pleased to see a slight uplift in North American benchmark lumber prices,” said Susan Yurkovich, Canfor’s CEO. …Owning sawmills in the US and Europe gives Canfor some insulation against duties imposed on Canadian softwood lumber imports into the US. …Canfor is looking at market diversification, however, to reduce its Canadian operations’ exposure to the US. …“Actual and potential tariffs do present challenges for the company’s Canadian operations, and, as result, the company is continuing its strategy of refocusing those products on domestic markets, particularly in Western Canada, and strengthening its presence in offshore markets.”

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Canada’s next prime minister has managed the financial crisis, Brexit and now Trump’s trade war

By Rob Gillies
Associated Press
March 10, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada

TORONTO — Canada’s next prime minister has already helped run two Group of Seven economies in crisis and now will try to steer Canada through a looming trade war brought by U.S. President Donald Trump, a threat of annexation and an expected federal election. Former central banker Mark Carney will become prime minister after the governing Liberal Party elected him its leader Sunday in a landslide vote with 85.9% support. Carney, 59, replaces Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who announced his resignation in January but remains prime minister until his successor is sworn in in the coming days. Carney is widely expected to trigger an election the coming days or weeks amid Trump’s sweeping tariff threats. …Carney said Canada will keep its initial retaliatory tariffs in place until “the Americans show us respect.”

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Ottawa announces $6.5 billion aid package for businesses hit by trade war

By Nick Murray and Kelly Malone
The Canadian Press in BNN Bloomberg
March 7, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

Steven MacKinnon

The federal government has put together a $6.5 billion aid package and is making temporary changes to the employment insurance program to support Canadian businesses through the trade war with the United States. Ottawa’s new Trade Impact Program earmarks $5 billion over the next two years to help businesses cope with decreased U.S. sales and reach new global markets. It’s also making $500 million available for business loans of between $200,000 and $2 million at preferred interest rates, and another $1 billion for loans specifically for the agricultural sector. The government is also building new flexibility into the employment insurance program to help businesses retain workers by reducing work hours. “Employees can reduce their hours, spread the work across the same number of employees while compensating those employees through (employment insurance) for lost time or lost wages,” Employment Minister Steven MacKinnon said.

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No reprieve on 25% tariffs for steel and aluminum: Lutnick

By Allyson Versprille
BNN Bloomberg Investing
March 9, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick signaled he doesn’t expect a reprieve on 25% tariffs for steel and aluminum imports scheduled to take effect on Wednesday. The levies, ordered by U.S. President Donald Trump in February, include imports from Canada and Mexico — which are among the top foreign suppliers — and apply to finished metal products, too. U.S. steelmakers have urged Trump to resist exemptions to the tariffs, which risk hitting US companies that use aluminum and steel. Administration officials have said the policy is aimed at cracking down on efforts by countries including Russia and China to bypass existing duties. Last week, Trump imposed sweeping tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico but later walked back some of the changes — offering a one-month reprieve to automakers and then expanding that pause to all imported goods covered by the free-trade agreement between the US, Canada and Mexico.

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Unlocking Opportunities for Canadian Wood with Bruce St. John

By Alberta Forest Products Association
You Tube
February 27, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, International

Trade is top of mind for everyone right now, and market diversification is a key part of those conversations. In this episode of Forestry Talks, host Aspen Dudzic is joined by Bruce St. John, President of Canada Wood, to dive into the decades-long efforts to diversify Canada’s forest product exports. Bruce shares fascinating insights into how countries like Japan, China, and Vietnam are integrating Canadian wood into their industries—not just for construction, but for everything from seismic-resistant buildings to high-end furniture. We also explore how Alberta plays a crucial role in securing international demand and why emerging markets are looking to Canadian forest products as part of their sustainability solutions. Join us for an in-depth discussion about why international market diversification is more important than ever, the impact of evolving trade policies, and the exciting innovations shaping the future of Canada’s forestry exports.

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Williams Lake, BC mayor relieved as power plant closure averted

Jenifer Norwell and Akshay Kulkarni
CBC News
March 9, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada West

The mayor of Williams Lake, BC says he’s relieved that the provincial government and province’s power provider have stepped in to stop a local power plant from shutting down. The privately-held Atlantic Power Corporation has operated the Northwest Energy plant in the central BC community since 1993. Provincial utility B.C. Hydro purchases the plant’s power for the grid through 10-year agreements. Atlantic Power’s plant, which employs around 30 people, generates energy by burning biomass — primarily wood waste, fibre from sawmills, and logging debris. But last year, the corporations told BC Hydro that it would shut down the plant in January 2025 as it was no longer profitable, citing a lack of viable fibre supply amid the forest industry’s wider struggles. On Friday, BC Hydro announced it had reached a deal with Atlantic Power to save the plant, saying it provided ways to source and manage cost-effective fuel.

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“Where Do We Stand? Strategies for Competitiveness and Sustainability.” The Elephant in the Room: Let’s talk About Fibre

Council of Forest Industries
March 10, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada West

This year’s COFI convention will tackle the most pressing challenge facing BC’s forest sector – predictable access to fibre. Without this, BC’s global competitiveness and the family-supporting jobs forestry provides remain at risk. There is a path forward. Within the sustainable Allowable Annual Cut there are opportunities to surpass a minimum target of 45 million cubic meters of harvest while maintaining environmental stewardship. Achieving these outcomes will require changes to BC Timber Sales (BCTS), innovative approaches to forest landscape planning, stronger partnerships with First Nations, and community-led solutions. Join us for a solutions-oriented discussion, featuring distinguished experts: George Abbott, Treaty Commissioner, Former BC Cabinet Minister & Member, BC Timber Sales Review Task Force; David Elstone, Managing Director, Spar Tree Group; Makenzie Leine, Vice President, Business Development, A&A Trading; Jennifer Gunter, Executive Director, BC Community Forest Association; moderated by Michael Armstrong, VP and Chief Forester at COFI.

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Minister’s Statement on the Status of Northern Pulp’s Feasibility Study

By Tory Rushton, Minister of Natural Resources
The Government of Nova Scotia
March 10, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada East

A new-era pulp mill in Nova Scotia would be a game-changer, creating long-term export-focused good-paying jobs in the forestry sector and throughout the economy. That’s why, over the past nine months, our team has worked with Northern Pulp as they assess the business case to build and operate a new mill in Liverpool. Today, the company announced that it has not reached the financial threshold to support a project, as defined by the settlement agreement, and is looking for a five-week extension to review the financial model. The Province agrees to this extension and would welcome news of a change in circumstances that would positively affect the outcome. …If not this project … our doors are always open for other interesting projects that put our natural resources to work. …And we would continue to work alongside the forestry sector to find new ones. This file is not closed – it’s very much open and active.

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Nova Scotia government awaiting news on feasibility study for new pulp mill in Liverpool

By Michael Gorman
CBC News
March 9, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada East

Nine months after Northern Pulp started examining the viability of a new mill in Queens County, Premier Tim Houston says the work continues. Houston announced last May that his government and officials with Northern Pulp’s parent company had reached a settlement agreement that ended years of legal wrangling, and would allow time to explore the viability of constructing a new mill at or around the site of the former Bowater mill near Liverpool. That work was expected to take about nine months. On Friday, the premier told reporters that he believes the company is still working to complete its feasibility study. …Natural Resources Minister Tory Rushton said the forestry sector needs a market for pulpwood and low-grade wood products to take the place of what Northern Pulp used to consume.  …Rushton noted that there could be other options, such as the creation of biofuels and aviation fuels using forestry byproducts.

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Trump Announces Tariff Exemptions on Certain Products

By Catherine Lafrance
CPAC
March 6, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada East

Vincent Miville

U.S. President Donald Trump has announced an exemption from tariffs on Canadian goods covered by CUSMA. At the height of the trade war between the United States and Canada, Ottawa responds to U.S. tariffs by imposing its own counter-tariffs on various products. However, this approach is not the one favoured by former Quebec Premier Philippe Couillard, who discusses it with our host, Catherine Lafrance. We examine the potential impact of tariffs on the Canadian forestry industry with Vincent Miville, Director of the Fédération des producteurs forestiers du Québec. According to Régis Genté, author and correspondent in the Caucasus and Central Asia for Le Figaro, RFI, and France 24, there is nothing surprising about Donald Trump’s conciliatory attitude towards Russia, as Putin’s nation has been “cultivating” him for decades—a topic he explores in his recent essay, Our Man in Washington.

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Builders Stockpile Lumber, Swap Out Materials to Work Around Tariffs

By Rebecca Picciotto
The Wall Street Journal
March 11, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States

When President Trump threatened new tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China at the beginning of February, Steve Martinez flew into action. The Idaho-based general contractor spent hundreds of thousands of dollars on materials like lumber, windows, cabinetry and steel to stockpile them before the tariffs hit. …Since his lenders wouldn’t finance these purchases, he is paying out of pocket and using cash. Then after the president abruptly walked them back, Martinez was left with an upended business plan, less cash and feeling confused about what to do next. “I can’t keep ping ponging back and forth,” Martinez said. …Builders have been doing what they can to insulate themselves from higher import costs, from stockpiling materials and appliances to shrinking the size of the homes they will build. But if tariffs take effect long term, they will only be able to absorb so much cost. [to access the full story a WSJ subscription is required]

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US building material dealers sound off on tariff volatility

The HBS Dealer
March 11, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States

As we enter what are typically the most profitable months for US builders, widespread uncertainty regarding pricing is casting a pall over the industry. Northeastern Retail Lumber Association (NRLA) crystallizes these concerns, noting that: “Despite repeated delays of tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, prices continue to fluctuate unpredictably, leading to hoarding by customers, delayed orders for restocking, and customers abandoning purchases due to sudden cost increases.” The NRLA says the current situation recalls the tumult of pandemic-era supply chain shortages. “Now, dealers are reporting the same patterns: unpredictable cost increases, uncertainty in securing supply, and customers unable to move forward with purchases due to rapidly shifting prices.” …NRLA writes that daily price changes are making it impossible for retailers to provide accurate quotes, which constricts pricing guarantees. …NRLA dealers are reporting that even U.S.-made manufactured materials are seeing price increases.

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This Is No Way to Run a Trade War

By Peter Harrell, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
The Wall Street Journal
March 9, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States

Thousands of US companies opened for business on Friday with no idea whether they had to pay tariffs. …In imposing the tariffs, Mr. Trump misused the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Congress passed IEEPA to give presidents tools to respond quickly to emergencies like wars or terrorist attacks. …IEEPA has never been used for tariffs, and courts should rule that it can’t be. …US trade laws require the president to identify and investigate specific trade practices that harm the U.S. and then propose remedies, such as tariffs or negotiations. A president may impose tariffs on specific goods if fact-finding determines that imports threaten US national security. Mr. Trump’s reasons for imposing tariffs on Canada don’t appear to satisfy these standards. …Faced with Mr. Trump’s tariff threats, Canadian, Mexican and European officials have indicated that they are open to collective action against China, the world’s biggest exporter and a major source of US trade deficits. [to access the full story, a WSJ subscription is required]

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EU Commission commences investigation into Brazilian softwood plywood imports

By Stephen Powney
The Timber Trades Journal
March 7, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: International

The EU Commission has started an anti-dumping investigation on Brazilian softwood plywood imports following a complaint by the Softwood Plywood Consortium (SPC). A complaint was made on January 20… alleging that Brazilian softwood ply imports are being dumped in the EU, thereby injuring the EU ply sector. The product subject to investigation is plywood consisting of lamellas not exceeding 6mm thickness, with both outer plies of coniferous wood. The SPC has provided evidence to the EU Commission that imports of the product in question have increased overall in absolute terms and in terms of market share. Evidence also pointed to the volume and prices of the imported product having a negative impact on the quantities sold and level of prices charged by the EU industry, resulting in substantial adverse impacts for the latter. 

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