In response to some confusion regarding the timing of the US Dept of Commerce’s (DOC) final determinations for the new Canadian softwood duties, FEA’s Paul Jannke offered a few clarifications. Canadian lumber duties (14.4%) are likely to jump to ~34.5%. A final decision is expected in early to mid-August, but duty hikes could occur as early as July 3. …Moreover, the DOC issued preliminary findings suggesting a combined duty increase of about 20% to 34.5%. It is important to note that this is a preliminary determination; the final rates will differ, but if history is a guide, it won’t be by much. …The DOC published its antidumping determination on March 5, followed by the CVD determination on April 9. By law, the final determinations are due within 120 days of these publications, unless the DOC extends their review by 60 days. …The most probable scenario involves the DOC aligning the timelines, placing the release of the final duty determinations in the early to mid-August timeframe.