Tariff anxiety continues and is now refocused on the latest deadline. Perspectives include:
- ERA’s Kevin Mason: Devoting time and energy on potential tariffs is a tax on the forest industry
- OFIA’s Ian Dunn: The reprieve is welcome, but it means nothing until it’s been resolved
- COFI’s Kim Haakstad: It’s going to increase the cost of housing for Americans
- California Homebuilders: Tariff pause means lumber price hike is avoided
- North Carolina Analyst Algenon Cash: There are no winners in a trade war
In other Business news: New Brunswick’s forest companies ask court to revisit Wolastogey Nation title claim; Enviva Biomass closes Amory Mississippi facility; and freezing temperatures caused sulfur-like odor at IP’s closed Georgetown mill. In Forestry/Climate news: JDSupra opines on the US withdrawal from the Paris Climate Accord; a new study on biochar’s carbon storage potential; Maine evolves wildfire preparations with real-time updates; and the Forest Professionals BC conference starts today in Victoria.
Finally, February is best know for Valentine’s Day – but at Tree Frog, it’s the month we reach out to our Sponsors and Friends to renew their support. Their financial support is what keeps the Tree Frog hopping. If you’re interested in joining our prestigious list of supporters, email sandy@treefrogcreative.ca for more information.
Kelly McCloskey, Tree Frog Editor
CALIFORNIA — Home builders have avoided a price hike in materials — especially lumber — after the Trump administration said it would delay steep tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods for at least 30 days. …The temporary reprieve is good news for the construction industry, said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. “In particular, Canadian lumber is an important input in home construction, finishes such as cabinets, and furniture,” Hale said, adding that this is happening at a time when the U.S. is already dealing with an ongoing housing shortage. Prior to the pause, Carl Harris, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders, sent a letter to President Donald Trump outlining the organization’s “serious concerns” about the effects of the proposed North American tariffs. NAHB is particularly concerned about two essential building materials: softwood lumber and gypsum, which is used for drywall. More than 70% of those materials come from Canada and Mexico.
NORTH CAROLINA — International trade is complex and one of the least understood components of the globally connected world. …International trade promised cheaper goods and economic growth, and it delivered. But for many Americans, international trade came at a severe cost — the loss of good-paying jobs that helped build the middle class. The frustration isn’t just nostalgia; it’s real. However, trade is not just about economics — it also involves politics, regulations, and agreements that can create both opportunities and unexpected tensions between nations. One example of how regulations impact trade is the lumber industry. In the US, environmental regulations limit how much timber can be harvested, making production more expensive and restrictive. …When US tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber were imposed in 2017, home builders in North Carolina faced a significant hike in costs, affecting new home construction. The construction industry’s experience is not isolated. Trade wars create a domino effect that reaches far beyond political brinkmanship.
President Trump’s tariff plans threaten to raise US home construction costs, making it even more difficult for Americans already facing a tight housing market. Trump’s proposed 25% tariffs have been delayed until at least March, along with a 10% levy now in effect on products from China, could make building a typical home as much as $29,000 pricier, said David Belman, a second-generation homebuilder in Wisconsin. A large portion of that increase — as much as $14,000 — would come from the tariff on Canada, said Belman. …Current lumber inventories may only last one to two months, even with demand still weak and the US not yet in its peak building season, said Dustin Jalbert at Fastmarkets. “It’s not going to take long for prices to have to start moving higher here to keep the supply chain stocked,” Jalbert said. Lumber futures in Chicago slumped 4.6% Tuesday on news of tariff delays, erasing gains from the previous two sessions.
To formally pull the United States out of the Paris Agreement, the Trump administration will need to formally submit a withdrawal letter to the United Nations, which administers the pact. The withdrawal would become official one year after the submission. The formal withdrawal of the United States and subsequent changes to agreements under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change cannot be transmitted to the United Nations until President Trump’s nominee to be US Ambassador to the UN, Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY), is confirmed by the Senate. …The withdrawal raises key questions about the future of the voluntary carbon market (VCM), particularly in light of the Paris Climate Accords’ role in driving offset demand. …Without the federal endorsement of climate goals, corporate strategies might shift away from investing in carbon offsets, diminishing demand for carbon credits. Furthermore, uncertainty surrounding federal support could delay or derail the development of new VCM projects.
Biochar, a charcoal-like material derived from plant biomass, has long been hailed as a promising tool for carbon dioxide removal. However, a new study by Stanford researchers highlights a critical issue: current methods for assessing biochar’s carbon storage potential may significantly undervalue its true environmental benefits. The paper points the way to more accurately evaluating biochar, and boosting its credibility as a climate change solution. The research challenges conventional durability metrics and proposes a more nuanced framework for evaluating biochar projects. It grew out of an early project looking at soil’s ability to capture carbon dioxide. …By reanalyzing the largest existing biochar durability dataset, the researchers uncovered that relying solely on hydrogen-to-carbon ratios ignores critical factors such as soil type, environmental conditions, and biochar feedstock variability. Without these factors, models often fail to predict real-world outcomes for carbon storage and benefits to soil health and crops.