Daily News for October 30, 2024

Today’s Takeaway

Global Wood Summit kicks off with dire near-term forecast

The Tree Frog Forestry News
October 30, 2024
Category: Today's Takeaway

The Global Wood Summit kicked-off in Vancouver yesterday with forecasts of log and lumber woes. In related news: the world is running out of low-cost logs, and when will China start buying lumber again. Meanwhile: the US economy achieves its “soft landing” goal; UPM reports positive Q3, 2024 earnings; and Kelowna approves Tolko mill redevelopment plan.

In Forestry/Climate news: US Forest Service partners to conserve private forestlands; Oregon launches prescribed fire liability program; action against forest biomass subsidies gains momentum at COP16; six EU countries pledge money for biodiversity protection; and the new threat to Brazil’s forests—chemicals.

Kelly McCloskey, Tree Frog Editor

Read More

Special Feature

Global Wood Summit kicks off with dire near-term forecast

Kelly McCloskey, Editor
Tree Frog Forest News
October 30, 2024
Category: Special Feature
Region: Canada, United States, International

The long awaited Global Wood Summit kicked-off in Vancouver yesterday with a detailed overview of global log and lumber trends by forest market analyst and conference co-host Russ Taylor. With due notice that “forecasters are almost always wrong”, Taylor described the long list of current and expected “fibre supply disruptors”, (including the war in Ukraine and in the Middle East), and the many negative policy initiatives, (such as the EU Deforestation Regulation and new logging restrictions in BC and Oregon), that are exacerbating the availability and supply of low-cost softwood logs world wide. Within North America, potential growth in log and lumber supply is limited to the US South, and other than beetle and wildfire killed logs in select regions, there are few other new sources of wood, said Taylor.

…The summit’s second market panel focused on the decline in log and lumber imports into China, reflecting the country’s economic decline over the last four years. …The final panels focused on forestry and wood product production in Chile, New Zealand/Australia, Russia, Sweden/Finland and Central Europe… and the US and Canadian timberlands and fibre supply situation.

Read More

Business & Politics

Asian market for Canadian wood products in decline

By Nelson Bennett
Business in Vancouver
October 29, 2024
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States, International

Don McGregor

While the US remains the biggest market for Canadian lumber, Japan and China have been the next two most important markets. But both of those markets are shrinking, in no small part because their populations are shrinking. The decline in log and lumber imports is most stark in China, and reflects China’s economic decline over the last four years. China never really recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic, Russ Taylor said. “Consumer confidence never came back and that has collapsed the housing market.” …China’s demographics suggest it could be now headed for the kind of demographic decline that started in Japan 15 years ago. …Surprisingly, should demand for logs and lumber improve in the coming years in China, Japan may end up grabbing some of that market share. Japan has become more self sufficient, thanks to a reforestation effort that started after World War II, said Don McGregor, VP for Western Forest Products.

Read More

The world is running low on cheap wood, Global Wood Summit hears

By Nelson Bennett
Business in Vancouver
October 29, 2024
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States, International

Russ Taylor

As a global wood market expert, Russ Taylor is often asked: “Are we running out of wood?” The answer is “no, but…” “Absolutely we’re running out of cheap wood,” he added. …Beetle kill in Europe produced a surplus of 675 million cubic meters of cheap timber, he said — similar to the volumes produced in B.C. due to the Mountain pine beetle infestation. But that bonanza is now coming to end, the same way it did in BC. …He noted that Finland and Sweden are planning to reduce their harvest levels by 25 per cent. Russia implemented a ban on log exports few years ago. The upside of a shrinking global log supply is that it means importing countries will not have the raw supply for their own sawmills, which is good for lumber exporters, like BC. Taylor said he sees improvements on the horizon for the forestry sector, but it’s about five years away.

Read More

Finance & Economics

Sluggish housing starts point to big challenges for B.C.

By Jamin Makan
Business in Vancouver
October 29, 2024
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, Canada West

As a tight provincial election reveals a deeply divided electorate, the pace of new home construction is stagnant, pointing to significant challenges, and choices, ahead for the next B.C. government. Despite promises and assurances by the previous BC NDP government, experts say housing supply growth hasn’t ramped up. Many factors, including interest rates, inflation, land costs, development cost charges, construction costs, population growth, bank financing and municipal permitting challenges have combined to create a particularly challenging environment. “What strikes me is, we are now on target to start the same number of homes in 2024 that we started in 2019, for all the talk about getting new home construction underway,” said Ken Peacock, chief economist with Business Council of British Columbia (BCBC).

Read More

America’s economy is at a historic point ahead of presidential election

By Bryan Mean
CNN
October 30, 2024
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

The US economy seems to have pulled off a remarkable and historic achievement. Gross domestic product expanded at an annualized rate of 2.8% in the third quarter, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. That’s a slightly weaker pace than the second quarter’s 3% rate and above the 2.6% rate economists projected.  As the US economy continued to expand from July through September, inflation drifted lower toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target during that same period, the report showed. Several economists tell CNN that the economy has finally pulled off an exceptionally rare achievement known as a soft landing, a scenario in which inflation is tamed without a recession. …Meanwhile, businesses continued to invest during the July-through-September period, though at a slightly softer pace than earlier in the year. Government spending at both the federal and state level also contributed to third-quarter economic growth.

Read More

UFP reports Q3, 2024 net earnings of $101 million

UFP Industries Inc.
October 29, 2024
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

GRAND RAPIDS, Michigan – UFP Industries announced third quarter 2024 results including net sales of $1.65 billion, and net earnings attributable to controlling interest of $100 million. Net sales decreased 10 percent due to a 3 percent decrease in organic unit sales and a 7 percent decrease in selling prices. The price of Southern Yellow Pine (SYP), which comprises approximately two-thirds of our lumber purchases, decreased 21 percent and contributed to the decrease in our selling prices. …”Our third quarter results were impacted by softer demand and broad-based pricing pressure which reduced our revenue and profit margins. …While we expect conditions to remain challenging as we move into 2025, we are well positioned to capitalize on opportunities,” said Chairman and CEO Matthew J. Missad.

Read More

Weaker US Homeownership Data for Younger Households

By Na Zhao
The NAHB Eye on Housing
October 29, 2024
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

The homeownership rate for those under the age of 35 dropped to 37% in the third quarter of 2024, reaching the lowest level since the first quarter of 2020, according to the Census’s Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS). Amidst elevated mortgage interest rates and tight housing supply, housing affordability is at a multidecade low. The youngest age group, who are particularly sensitive to mortgage rates, home prices, and the inventory of entry-level homes, saw the largest decline among all age categories. The U.S. homeownership rate held steady at 65.6% in the third quarter of 2024, showing a flat trend over the last three quarters. However, this marks the lowest rate in the last two years. The homeownership rate remains below the 25-year average rate of 66.4%.

Read More

Wood, Paper & Green Building

Action against forest biomass subsidies gains momentum at COP16

By Justin Catanoso
Mongabay
October 29, 2024
Category: Wood, Paper & Green Building
Region: International

For years, at annual United Nations climate summits, forest advocates eager to draw critical attention to the scientifically dubious benefits of burning forest biomass to make energy were ignored, and their recommendations never added to official UN agendas for discussion or a vote. But here at the UN Biodiversity summit, known as COP16, forest campaigners have attained some traction as national representatives — dedicated to addressing biodiversity loss and global deforestation — hear about how wood pellet production and biomass burning are tied intrinsically to both problems. A coalition of 200 civil society groups in 60 countries, held a series of events  to highlight research and evidence of environmental harm caused by harvesting trees for wood-pellet manufacture, and the burning of those pellets in former coal-fired power plants.

Read More

Forestry

Kelowna city council give resounding support for Tolko Mill redevelopment vision

By Wayne Moore
Castanet
October 29, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

Kelowna city councillors couldn’t wait to offer their glowing endorsement of the new vision for redevelopment of the former Tolko sawmill site in the city’s north end. This is in contrast to the previous plan which was harshly criticized by Coun. Loyal Wooldridge as being “underwhelming.” He was highly critical of what he called a lack of public open space, saying much of what was presented was a “legislative requirement for riparian areas.”… Mark Marshall, representing Holar Development said the site will feature its own sense of “character and place.” …“At the main entrance off of Ellis we propose to retain some of the original weight station that is there today, gates and heritage items, all structures that make reference to the industrial history of the site.”

Read More

Fredericton adopts plan for keeping its urban forest healthy

By Sam Farley
CBC News
October 29, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada East

After 18 months of work by a consultant, the City of Fredericton can now estimate how many trees it has in its urban core: 19,288. On Monday night, city council adopted a strategy for managing the urban forest on municipal land after commissioning Stantec Consulting in 2022 to come up with a 25-year management plan… “Fredericton is a leader in urban forestry with one of the most impressive and well-managed urban forests in Canada,” the report said… The consultant found that 44 per cent of urban Fredericton has tree canopy cover, while rural areas have almost 70 per cent cover… Stantec recommended increasing annual tree planting to 750 to 1,000 trees.

Read More

A message of hope’: 6 European countries pledge €130 million to protect biodiversity

Euronews
October 29, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada East, International

Green groups say it’s an “okay start” but many more nations need to step up with finance for nature. Six European countries have pledged new money to the world’s foremost biodiversity fund, which gained €200 million yesterday. Austria, Denmark, France, Germany, Norway and the UK announced fresh funding at the UN biodiversity summit, COP16, currently taking place in Colombia. The Global Biodiversity Framework Fund (GBFF) was one of the key outcomes of the Kunming-Montreal Agreement struck at the previous COP15 in 2022. The UK, Germany, Spain and Luxembourg previously contributed to the GBFF after it was launched last year. European countries now make up eight of the fund’s 12 donors, which also include Canada, Japan, New Zealand and – in an unusual show of leadership from a sub-national government – Québec.

Read More

Nova Scotia forestry program to fund small logging business

By Dakota Smith
Woodworking Network
October 29, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada East

CHESTER, Nova Scotia — Wood products producer Kyle Millett Logging will receive funding from the Nova Scotia Forestry Innovation Transition Trust to increase production capacity, support sustainable forestry practices and reduce local greenhouse gas emissions at its Chester Grant mill. … “Our business has been part of the Chester Grant community for almost 60 years,” says Kyle Millett, owner of Kyle Millett Logging. “We are loyal to local tree harvesters and are proud to sell most of our wood products here in Nova Scotia. This investment in our business will allow us to modernize key aspects of our mill operations.” …The company will receive $500,000 toward a $526,545 project to upgrade power service at the mill. Converting operations to run on electricity instead of generators will increase the mill’s capacity while reducing energy use and emissions.

Read More

US Forest Service partners with states to conserve private forestlands as part of Investing in America agenda

USDA Forest Service
October 29, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: United States

Today, the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) Forest Service announced an investment of more than $265 million to conserve nearly 335,000 acres of ecologically and economically significant forestlands across the nation, in partnership with states across the country, thanks to funding from President Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act. The Forest Service will fund 21 projects in 17 states to conserve working forests that support rural economies. In 2024 alone, the Forest Service has invested nearly $420 million to conserve more than 500,000 acres through the Forest Legacy Program and since 2021, has invested more than $758 million in 123 projects… Since it was created in 1990, the Forest Legacy Program has conserved approximately 3.1 million acres of forestlands in fifty states and three territories.

Read More

‘Unacceptable’: Colorado’s federal lawmakers respond to U.S. Forest Service seasonal hiring freeze

By Ryan Spencer
The Summit Daily
October 29, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

Michael Bennet

The Colorado congressional delegation in Washington, D.C., is calling on the U.S. Forest Service to continue partnerships with Rocky Mountain communities amid the agency’s hiring freeze on seasonal employees. Colorado Senators Michael Bennet and John Hickenlooper as well as Joe Neguse and Brittany Pettersen penned a letter to U.S. Department of Agriculture Secretary. In particular, the letter takes issue with the Forest Service applying the hiring freeze not only to positions funded through the federal budget but also to positions supported by local funding… “We are deeply concerned by the Forest Service’s announcement about the agency’s budget shortfall and subsequent hiring freeze of all non-firefighting, temporary seasonal employees,” the letter states. “Colorado’s forests are some of the most visited in the nation and serve as critical infrastructure for Colorado.”

Read More

My Turn: Why I oppose privatization of the Tongass rainforest

By Dominick A. DellaSala, chief scientist, Wild Heritage,
Juneau Empire
October 29, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

Dominick A. DellaSala

Sen. Lisa Murkowski has been trying to privatize the Tongass for years. Her latest effort, the so-called “Unrecognized Southeast Alaska Native Communities Recognition and Compensation Act,” S.1889/H.R. 4748, is a giveaway to corporate interests of 115,200 acres, including 80,000 acres of prime old-growth forests and roadless areas. …And it would continue promoting the dispossession and disenfranchisement of Indigenous peoples and local communities that depend on the Tongass’ world-class fish and wildlife populations that have sustained the ecology and economy of the region. …My research shows that it is the region’s best natural climate solution, storing about 20% of all the carbon in the entire national forest system. …Over 14 attempts to overturn the 2001 Roadless Rule have been met with legal challenges and have ultimately failed because the public, scientists, and Indigenous people like Wanda Culp have spoken truth to power.

Read More

Oregon Department of Forestry launches Prescribed Fire Liability Program

KTVZ News
October 29, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

SALEM, Ore. — The Oregon Department of Forestry has announced the launch of the Prescribed Fire Liability Program. The pilot program is intended to increase the use of prescribed fire and cultural burning and support fire practitioners by providing liability coverage for enrolled burns. Introducing periodic fire to fire-adapted landscapes and reducing forest fuels has been shown to lessen the potential for high-intensity wildfires and the large volume of smoke they produce. While the rates of escape and loss are very low due to the careful planning and preparation required for prescribed fire and cultural burning, there is always some residual risk when working with fire. This risk, and the resulting liability for damages due to escape if uninsured, can deter some practitioners from using beneficial fire.

Read More

Virginia to offer disaster loans in Helene’s wake to small ag and forestry businesses

By Matt Busse
Cardinal News
October 30, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US East

Virginia officials on Tuesday announced that low-interest loans will be available to small agriculture and forestry businesses in certain localities impacted by the remnants of Hurricane Helene… “Virginia’s farmers and forestry professionals are the backbone of our economy, and their resilience has always been a testament to the strength of our Commonwealth,” Youngkin said. “Through the Agricultural Disaster Microloan Program, we’re ensuring that these vital industries have the resources they need to rebuild. This program is a crucial step in our ongoing efforts to restore and revitalize the communities hardest hit by Hurricane Helene.”

Read More

Logging Is a Way of Life in Appalachia. It’s Hanging on by a Thread.

By Paul Kiernan
Wall Street Journal in MSN
October 29, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US East

ALLEGHENY NATIONAL FOREST, Pa.—There aren’t many men like Alex Zimmerman left in the forests of northwest Pennsylvania. When the weather is cold or dry enough, the 28-year-old logger can be found roaming the woods, chain saw in hand, bringing down big hardwoods for a nearby sawmill. …The industry, a fixture of the regional economy, has been in decline for decades. A series of shocks since 2018 has accelerated the decline: a trade war with China, a collapse in exports due to Covid, China’s real-estate slump, and falling U.S. home building. Roughly two dozen sawmills in the region have gone out of business in the past year or so, auctioning off their machinery, said Tom Inman, president of trade association Appalachian Hardwood Manufacturers. …The Eastern U.S.’s hardwood production has fallen to its lowest level in records going back to 1960, according to the Hardwood Market Report, an industry publication.

Read More

The New Threat to Brazil’s Forests: Chemicals

By Jack Nicas and Flavia Milhorance
The New York Times
October 29, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: International

Brazil’s satellites did not detect anything alarming. Yet down on the ground, the trees were dying. Slowly but surely, a stretch of protected forest the size of New York City was drying out… When Brazilian authorities responded to anonymous complaints about the destruction last year, they found troves of empty herbicide containers… The land was owned by Claudecy Oliveira Lemes, a rancher who has supplied some of the world’s biggest meatpackers… What separates Mr. Lemes from the thousands of other loggers and ranchers who have razed stretches of the Amazon and other forests across Brazil is that he employed what the authorities say is a dangerous new technique: chemical deforestation. In other words, he used chemicals, instead of chain saws, to clear the forest.

Read More

Scotland’s ancient Skipinnish Oak wins UK tree of the year

By Helena Horton
The Guardian UK
October 29, 2024
Category: Forestry
Region: International

An ancient oak named after a ceilidh band has won the UK’s tree of the year competition and will now compete in the European edition. The Skipinnish Oak in Lochaber, Scotland, was discovered by chance by members of the band of that name who were playing a nearby gig for the Native Woodland Discussion Group. It is in the middle of a sitka spruce timber plantation and expert delegates from the discussion group registered it in the ancient tree inventory. The Skipinnish oak is one of the largest trees of its kind in the region, which has been populated by nonnative timber forests. It is a fragment of the ancient ecosystem, and provides a home to diverse lichens including the rare black-eyed Susan. …The Woodland Trust, which runs the competition, chose 12 ancient oaks for the shortlist this year to highlight their importance.

Read More