Daily News for February 03, 2025

Today’s Takeaway

Trump imposes tariffs. Government, industry and economists respond

The Tree Frog Forestry News
February 3, 2025
Category: Today's Takeaway

Trump imposes tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. Governments, industry, economists and pundits respond [there are multiple stories behind each link below]:

In other news: world stock markets open lower; lumber futures surge to two-month high; homebuilding costs are expected to jump; and the US Lumber Coalition rebuts Canada’s offensive. Meanwhile: the US Forest Service scrubbed climate change from its website; two US senators introduced an Aerial Firefighting Enhancement Act; a wildfire scientist pushed back on the Fix our Forests Act; and Tom Fletcher opines on BC’s proposed-but-withdrawn Land Act changes.

Finally, thanks to those who have responded to our brief survey. We’re still looking for feedback though! 

Kelly McCloskey, Tree Frog Editor

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Business & Politics

Canadian Forest Industry, Steelworkers respond to tariffs

CBC News
February 1, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

Northern Ontario’s softwood lumber industry would be decimated if Trump implements a tariff on Canadian goods said Wendy Landry, president of the Northern Ontario Municipal Association and mayor of Shuniah. …Ian Dunn, CEO of the Ontario Forest Industries Association (OFIA) said softwood lumber duties are expected to double this year, as well, to about 30%-35%. “In reality, Ontario lumber producers could face 60% tariffs at the border, which would effectively wipe out all US shipments,” Dunn said. “In terms of global exports, Ontario exports about $7.9 billion of forest products per year. 79% of that goes to the US,” he said. “Sawmills produce lumber, but they also produce residuals which are consumed by the pulp and paper mills.”  “If there’s additional impacts, and there’s less production at the sawmills, there is less raw material for the pulp and paper mills,” he said.

In related forest sector coverage:

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Provincial and state leaders respond to Trump’s tariffs

By Shaurya Kshatri
CBC News
February 2, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

David Eby

BC Premier David Eby announced immediate countermeasures to U.S. tariffs on Saturday, including banning ‘red-state’ American liquor from public stores. He says the province will also fast-track permits for local projects and expand trade beyond the US to reduce reliance on its market. “We have targeted red states because, quite frankly, Donald Trump doesn’t care about Democrat states,” said Housing Minister Ravi Kahlon. “We want to make sure that we’re not punishing states that have nothing to do with this.” …John Brink, who employs about 400 people in northern B.C. through his group of lumber-focused companies says his business is already feeling the impact. …Surrey Mayor Brenda Locke says she wrote to Eby Sunday morning urging him to implement tax cuts and roll out a comprehensive relief package, similar to what was introduced during the COVID-19 pandemic, to support businesses and families.

Related Provincial coverage from:

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Opinion: Alienating allies and partners that the US needs means that “America First” will be “America Alone.”

By David Frum
The Atlantic
February 1, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

David Frum

To understand the harm Donald Trump has done with his tariffs on Canada and Mexico, here are four things you need to know: First, every tax on imports is also a tax on exports. …Trump tariffs will be paid in the form of higher prices for imports and their substitutes, and lower profits and wages for everyone who works in export industries. Second, every product is also an input. …Big, sophisticated global companies can shift their input-sourcing but the shift is never easy. For smaller companies, it may prove altogether unfeasible. …Third, “illegal” is irrelevant; don’t expect relief from tariffs through lawsuits. The US has sabotaged the dispute-settlement mechanisms under the North American trade agreements. …Fourth, Americans may not remember their past actions, but others do. …Trump is single-handedly reneging on 80 years of American work to persuade others to trust and rely on the US. …“America First” means “America Alone.” [A subscription to the Economist is required to read the full story]

In Relate Opinion Coverage by:

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Economists weigh in: The dumbest trade war fallout begins

The Editorial Board
The Wall Street Journal
February 2, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

President Trump conceded Sunday that there may be “some pain” from his sweeping tariffs on Mexico and Canada, but they will eventually lead to a new “GOLDEN AGE.” Nice of him to promise a glorious future because the pain is already unfolding. …He also included a blast at these columns for leading the “Tariff Lobby” after our editorial called his 25% across-the-board tariffs on our friends and neighbors “the dumbest trade war in history.” …But bad policy has damaging consequences, whether or not Mr. Trump chooses to admit it. Tariffs are taxes, and when you tax something you get less of it. …The hammer blow to Mexico and Canada shows that no country or industry is safe. …This will cause friends and foes to recalibrate their dependence on America’s market. How this helps the US isn’t apparent, so, yes, “dumbest trade war” sounds right, if it isn’t an understatement. [A Wall Street Journal subscription is required to read the full story]

Related Economic Coverage in:

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Canada announces $155B tariff package in response to US tariffs

Government of Canada
February 1, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

The Government of Canada is moving forward with 25 per cent tariffs on $155 billion worth of goods in response to the unjustified and unreasonable tariffs imposed by the United States on Canadian goods. These countermeasures have one goal: to protect and defend Canada’s interests, consumers, workers, and businesses. The first phase of our response will include tariffs on $30 billion in goods imported from the U.S., effective February 4, 2025, when the U.S tariffs are applied. …Minister LeBlanc also announced that the government intends to impose tariffs on an additional list of imported U.S. goods worth $125 billion. A full list of these goods will be made available for a 21-day public comment period. …In addition to this initial response, Ministers LeBlanc and Joly reiterated that all options remain on the table. …Less than 1 per cent of the fentanyl and illegal crossings into the United States come from Canada.

Related coverage in:

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Trump Imposes Tariffs on Imports from Canada, Mexico and China

The White House
February 1, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

The extraordinary threat posed by illegal aliens and drugs, including deadly fentanyl, constitutes a national emergency under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Until the crisis is alleviated, President Donald J. Trump is implementing a 25% additional tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% additional tariff on imports from China. Energy resources from Canada will have a lower 10% tariff. President Trump is taking bold action to hold Mexico, Canada, and China accountable to their promises of halting illegal immigration and stopping poisonous fentanyl and other drugs from flowing into our country. The orders make clear that the flow of contraband drugs like fentanyl to the United States, through illicit distribution networks, has created a national emergency, including a public health crisis. …”This Tariff will remain in effect until such time as Drugs, in particular Fentanyl, and all Illegal Aliens stop this Invasion of our Country!”

In related coverage in:

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European Union leaders vow to fight back if Trump imposes tariffs

By Rory Armstrong
The Associated Press in Euro News
February 3, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States, International

Olaf Scholz

The European Union has responded with unity and conviction after US President Donald Trump announced on Sunday that import tariffs on the European Union are “definitely happening”. …European leaders appeared to agree that the EU will fight US tariffs, if they were to be applied. German chancellor Olaf Scholz said the bloc “can react to tariff policies with tariff policies”. …As Trump’s moves forward his foreign policy agenda… the EU is looking to become more independent, both economically and militarily. “We have to do everything to avoid this totally unnecessary and stupid tariff war,” said Polish PM Donald Tusk, adding that “we cannot lose awareness of our interests. At the same time, we cannot lose our European self-respect and self-confidence. It’s not easy, but we’ll see.” The prime minister of Denmark, Mette Frederiksen, said she “does not support fighting allies,” but that Denmark will respond to US tariffs.

Related coverage in:

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US Lumber Coalition Rebuts Canada’s Offensive To Dismantle US Measures Against Unfairly Traded Lumber Imports

The US Lumber Coalition
PR Newswire
February 1, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States

Canada is frantically pushing the idea that the UW needs their unfairly traded softwood lumber by attacking President Trump’s strong border measures,” said Andrew Miller, Chairman of the US Lumber Coalition. “Erroneous, but persistent, messaging by Canada and NAHB regarding the impact of lumber border measures on housing costs leads to inaccurate and inflammatory headlines such as “Trump tariffs on Canadian lumber could be a ‘nightmare’ for California’s fire recovery.” Headlines like these serve to push an agenda that is not grounded in facts. Miller also noted that organizations such as the NAHB have carried out a policy to oppose internationally-accepted restraints on unfairly traded building products,” to help achieve this objective. Over the years NAHB and Canada have held numerous meetings together and appear to be well coordinated in their messaging attacking the enforcement of the U.S. trade laws against unfairly traded Canadian lumber imports.

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Finance & Economics

Lumber Extends Rally Following US Tariffs

Trading Economics
February 3, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

Lumber futures surged to over $590 per thousand board feet, approaching the two-month high of $600 from January 6th following US President Trump’s decision to implement tariffs on Canada, a major supplier of wood to the US. The tariffs were threatened by the US President shortly after taking office, but conflicting messages from the Presidential administration raised skepticism for investors on whether trade barriers would actually be raised. According to the latest data, Canada supplied around 30% of lumber used in the US last year. The 25% tax on Canadian goods, including wood, add to the already existing anti-dumping duties of 14.5%, raising capacity pressures on domestically produced alternatives. In the meantime, the greater degree of confidence that the Fed will deliver more than one rate cut this year drove benchmark mortgage rates to ease below 7%, giving some respite to construction demand. [END]

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Lumber prices hold steady through January while traders embrace a wait-and-see approach

By Joe Pruski
RISI Fastmarkets
January 31, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

Framing lumber markets hovered in a holding pattern as traders embraced a wait-and-see approach to a potential 25% tariff on Canadian shipments. The Random Lengths Framing Lumber Composite Price finished the week $1 lower. Western S-P-F buyers moved to the sidelines in late trading, citing minimal immediate needs and uncertainty about the tariffs and near-term prospects. …Price weakness lingered in the Southern Pine market amid sluggish to stagnant sales. Buyers lacked urgency and the potential impact of tariffs on demand for SYP was a widespread topic of conversation. …Traders debated how much of a price spread between Western S-P-F and SYP would need to emerge before end users substituted species on a larger scale. …In Coast markets, Hem-Fir dimension continued to face serious downward pressure from soft Inland prices. Meanwhile, dry Douglas Fir dimension prices stabilized, assisted by a green market that has found its footing.

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Homebuilding costs to jump as trade war begins, says Residential Construction Council of Ontario

By Candyd Mendoza
Canadian Mortgage Professional Magazine
February 3, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, Canada East

New tariffs imposed by Trump on Canadian imports could have a devastating impact on the homebuilding industry in both Canada and the United States, the  (RESCON) said. …The US has announced a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico, a move that experts say will drive up prices for critical building materials like lumber, steel, aluminium, and gypsum used for drywall. These essential materials are widely used in home construction, and any increase in their costs will likely be passed down to buyers already facing affordability challenges. …Canadian homebuilders rely heavily on US materials, just as American developers depend on Canadian lumber and metals. Canada supplies over 85% of US imported lumber and is the largest foreign supplier of steel and aluminium to the US market.

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Trump’s tariffs send stock market falling

By Max Zahn
ABC News
February 3, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

The stock market fell on Monday after President Donald Trump slapped tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China, eliciting threats of retaliation and setting the stage for a trade war. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid about 550 points, or 1.25%, in early trading on Monday. The S&P 500 dropped 1.5%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq plummeted 2%. Traders demonstrated their jitters with a selloff of U.S. auto companies, which hold deep ties to suppliers in Canada and Mexico. Shares of General Motors plummeted 6%, while Ford saw its stock price plunge 4%. The market rout extended worldwide. Japan’s Nikkei index fell 2.5% on Monday, and the pan-European STOXX 600 dropped about 1%.

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Forestry

Land Act sounds like ‘Land Back’ to wary B.C. voters

By Tom Fletcher
The Western Standard
February 1, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

It’s been almost a year since the B.C. NDP government moved to snuff out a growing political brush fire sparked by the latest and largest step in its bid to implement the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous People across the province. Changes to the province’s little-known Land Act were abruptly withdrawn by the government in February 2024 after a series of opposition town hall meetings brought out big crowds demanding answers on the implications. Premier David Eby’s promise of more consultation before moving ahead with what it termed shared decision-making on Crown land meant that if it was successful in the election, the NDP would move ahead. …Indigenous rights initiatives tend to start in B.C. and extend across the country. …Enshrining the UN declaration started here, and Justin Trudeau’s government followed suit, with a yet-undefined law to implement it across the federal government as B.C. has begun to do. 

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The power of forests: North Okanagan climate advocate

Letter by Eli Pivnick, Shuswap Climate Action Society
Vernon Morning Star
February 3, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

One of the biggest policy changes needed in B.C. is to forestry policy. B.C. policy for the last 50 years has resulted in a rapid clear-cutting of a large part of our forests even as all the research indicates that: Within a 60-80 year time span, only 20-30 per cent of forests can be cut in any one area without harming the hydrological cycle. On this basis, most BC commercial forests have been severely over-cut making a mockery of the Annual Allowable Cut. …Clear-cutting results in increased risk of forest fires up to 30 years when replanted. …Re-planting is a form of green-washing giving companies cover for the forest damage they do. …Due to the increase in forest fires partially due to logging, BC forests have [become a] carbon source. …The Power of Forests: Protecting Communities and Nature with a New Forest Act effort was launched by the Boundary Forest Watershed Stewardship Society.

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Lil’wat Forestry offering six-week, fully funded wildfire course

By Luke Faulks
The Pique News Magazine
February 2, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

Stillwater Consulting and Lil’wat Forestry Ventures (LFV) have partnered to deliver two fully funded, six-week training programs on wildfire and community resilience at the Ts̓zil Learning Centre in Mount Currie. Students will learn from LFV staff, Lil’wat elders and a dozen instructors brought in by Stillwater over six weeks of training in forestry and wildfire mitigation. Those hours will be split between class time and hands-on experience. “It’s set to get people ready to work in the field,” LFV general manager Klay Tindall told Pique. “It’s not to get them ready to work in an office, that’s for sure.” …The program also expands beyond core wildfire fighting skills with additional certifications involving working safely under power lines, bear safety, danger tree assessment, and natural resource field studies like silviculture and tree planting. Tindall said the broader approach is meant to ensure students are employable outside of the fire season. 

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Logging pause won’t affect parcels sold

by Emma Maple
Peninsula Daily News
January 31, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

PORT ANGELES — The recent pause on some older tree sales in state-managed forests will not affect parcels that already have been approved or auctioned, despite some environmentalists’ hopes. When Dave Upthegrove was sworn in as the state’s public lands commissioner on Jan. 15, he immediately enacted a pause on the approval for auction of state-managed “legacy forests,” a campaign promise. …Some environmental activists had hoped the pause also would apply to legacy forests that already had been approved for auction, or those that had been auctioned but not yet logged. …However, after reviewing his administrative options, Upthegrove said he “do[es] not see a successful path forward for me to unilaterally stop them.” “It’s always incredibly difficult to unwind an action after it’s been approved and implemented, and the legal and procedural challenges of administrative action here make it virtually impossible,” he said in a statement.

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‘Forest management’ misdirection worsens community wildfire threats

By Chad Hanson, wildfire scientist, John Muir Project of Earth Island Institute
The Hill
February 2, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States

Chad Hanson

After the devastation of Los Angeles communities, our national wildfire policies must focus on saving lives and neighborhoods from future fires, and rebuilding in a fire-safe way that prevents it from happening again. This is not just about Los Angeles, or California. It is about vulnerable communities across the nation, from arid regions of the western U.S. to parts of Florida, Appalachia, the New Jersey Pine Barrens and communities in between. The problem is that, as a society, we cannot seem to have that essential conversation. There is a sort of cultural anomaly that steers the discussion and the funding for wildfire policies toward “forest management.” This misdirection is putting lives and communities at risk. …Politicians: Knock it off with this dangerously misdirected narrative about forest management. …If you don’t focus on helping create fire-safe communities, the heartbreaking impacts that we witnessed in Los Angeles will happen again, and again, across the country. 

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New Mexico Awards State Forester Laura McCarthy 2025 Earth Science Achievement Award

Los Alamos Daily Post
February 1, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

Laura McCarthy

SOCORRO — The New Mexico Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources at New Mexico Tech will present the 2025 Earth Science Achievement Award for Public Service and Public Policy to New Mexico State Forester Laura McCarthy. McCarthy has advanced the role of earth science in public policy, and will receive the award during a ceremony in conjunction with Earth Science/New Mexico Tech Day. As State Forester, McCarthy is responsible for forest management on 43 million acres of state and private lands, including wildfire prevention and response, forest health improvement, reforestation, watershed health, and climate change adaptation. Under her leadership, the State Forestry Division has doubled in size, modernized its business systems, and taken on the challenges of postfire recovery and reforestation of burned areas with the year 2100 climate in mind. She is committed to forest health, drawing on her experience as a forester, wildland firefighter, and policy advisor.

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Sacramento Report: Behind Trump’s Visit to California

By Deborah Sullivan Brennan
Voice of San Diego
January 31, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

State Sen. Brian Jones is hopeful wildfire disaster aid is forthcoming and wants to make sure San Diego gets its share. When California leaders sat down with President Donald Trump at a roundtable discussion on disaster aid for the Los Angeles wildfires last week, they weren’t sure what to expect. Trump had threatened to withhold federal funding unless California met his demands for changes to water policy, forest management, sanctuary protections and voter ID. Meanwhile, Gov. Gavin Newsom was walking a political tightrope: positioning the state as the center of Trump resistance while also negotiating wildfire assistance. …Dialing back his combative manner, Trump expressed condolences over the wreckage of Pacific Palisades, which he viewed from a helicopter. …Last week Newsom signed a bill awarding funding for firestorm recovery … that barely begins to cover losses from the L.A. fires, whose total damages could be $250 billion, according to an estimate by AccuWeather.

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How to Access $5 Million for Tribal Wildfire Resilience

By Trisha Jacobs
Sierra News Online
January 31, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

SACRAMENTO– The California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection (CAL FIRE) is announcing the availability of up to $5 million for Tribal Wildfire Resilience projects. CAL FIRE is soliciting applications for projects that work to support California Native American tribes in managing ancestral lands. This includes implementing and promoting Traditional Ecological Knowledges in wildfire resilience. Also, creating wildfire safety for tribal communities. Applications will be accepted from now via the Tribal Wildfire Resilience Grants webpage. Applications are due by 12:00 PM on Friday, March 28, 2025. Eligible applicants are California Native American tribes and tribal-led non-profit organizations with documentation.

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Heinrich, Sheehy Introduce Bipartisan Aerial Firefighting Enhancement Act

Senator Martin Heinrich
January 31, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

WASHINGTON – U.S. Senators Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.) and Tim Sheehy (R-Mont.) introduced the bipartisan Aerial Firefighting Enhancement Act of 2025 to strengthen the aerial wildfire suppression fleet and better combat the year-round threat of catastrophic wildfire. “I have worked to expand the operations of Very Large Air Tankers that have proven absolutely essential to firefighters battling wildfires in New Mexico, Los Angeles, and across the West,” said Heinrich. …“As a former Navy SEAL and the only aerial firefighter in the Senate, I understand government’s most solemn duty is to keep the American people safe,” said Sheehy. The bill reauthorizes the Secretary of Defense’s authority to sell excess Department of Defense aircraft and aircraft parts, acceptable for commercial sale, to persons or entities that contract with the government for the delivery of fire retardant or water by air to suppress wildfires…

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Türkiye enhances wildfire prevention in vulnerable forest villages

The Daily Sabah
February 2, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: International

The General Directorate of Forestry (OGM), under the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, has developed prevention and response models and prepared emergency evacuation plans for 10 selected villages as part of its wildfire prevention efforts. A significant portion of Türkiye’s forests, located within the Mediterranean climate zone, are at risk of wildfires. The ministry continues its fight against forest fires with a strategy focused on prevention, extinguishing and reforestation. In this scope, new vehicles, technologies and projects have been added to the inventory to prevent fires and minimize losses. Taking a new step in wildfire prevention, OGM has collaborated with local governments and the Disaster and Emergency Management Authority (AFAD) to finalize a project to strengthen the resilience of forest villages to wildfires.

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Carbon, Climate & Bioenergy

US Forest Service scrubs website of references to climate change

By Eric Barker
The Lewiston Tribune
February 1, 2025
Category: Carbon, Climate & Bioenergy
Region: United States

News sites report employees across all agencies overseen by U.S. Department of Agriculture were instructed to take down climate change pages. Several recently active U.S. Forest Service web pages about climate change and its impacts on things like wildfires and ecosystems were either blocked or taken down by the agency Friday. People attempting to access the pages were shown messages saying “You are not allowed to access this page” or “Looks like you wandered off trail.” …Both Politico and the Hot Shot Wake Up, a news site specializing in wildfire coverage, reported employees across all agencies overseen by the U.S. Department of Agriculture were instructed by email to delete landing pages about climate change and those that track climate change references. The reason wasn’t immediately clear but it may be linked to President Donald Trump’s skepticism that climate change is real and caused by burning fossil fuels.

Additional coverage in Politico, by Zack Colman and Marcia Brown: USDA ordered to scrub climate change from websites

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