Daily News for February 12, 2025

Today’s Takeaway

Lumber price volatility will increase in 2025 due to tightening conditions, duties and policy uncertainty: RISI

The Tree Frog Forestry News
February 12, 2025
Category: Today's Takeaway

RISI says lumber price volatility will increase in 2025 due to tightening conditions, duties and policy uncertainty. In related news: Do it Best CEO says tariff impact will be immediate; experts factcheck Trump on US lumber dependance; and tariffs are said to add to Canadian and US housing cost uncertainty. Meanwhile: Canada’s 13 premiers are in Washington DC to push back on tariffs; BC’s Eby says trade war has no winner; and BC, Alberta, Ontario, Quebec and New Brunswick industry groups speak out. In other Business news: Spearhead Inc. wants to produce glulam in Nelson, BC; and BC-based Atli Resources appoints Johathan Lok as CEO.

In other news: BC Forest Practices Board says Interfor properly managed whitebark pine; a new study says Colorado forests are now a carbon source; and Oregon senators want firefighters to be exempt from the USDA hiring freeze. Meanwhile: US lawmakers introduce; the Forest Data Modernization Act, the Future Logging Careers Act, and a Wildfire Research Institute Act

Finally, February is Friends and Sponsors month at the Tree Frog News. We are delighted to welcome back our many supporters and at the same time invite others to help keep our service running and the subscriptions free and open . If you’d like to know more, please email sandy@treefrogcreative.ca for details. 

Kelly McCloskey, Tree Frog News

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Special Feature

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Tree Frog Forestry News
February 12, 2025
Category: Special Feature

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Business & Politics

A U.S.-Canada trade war has no winner

By David Eby, Premier of British Columbia
Seattle Times
February 12, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

David Eby

The close relationship between Americans and Canadians has long been the envy of other countries. We share the longest undefended border in the world and have enjoyed the fruits of a partnership benefiting both countries for over 150 years. Ours is a bond forged in battle. …For generations, our soldiers have died, cried and celebrated victory beside each other. …In your darkest moments, Canadians have been by your side. …Canadians know that no matter what some politicians say, our American neighbors will be there for us in our time of need, too. …President Donald Trump’s ongoing threat of tariffs against Canada can only be described as an exercise in mutually assured destruction. …Tariffs on top of softwood lumber duties increase the cost of wood for your homes.  A tax on our food exports means more expensive groceries for families in your country. …We can prosper side by side if we respect our differences and work together in a spirit of mutual trust and cooperation. The way we Americans and Canadians always have.

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Canada’s 13 premiers in Washington on mission to push back Trump’s tariff threats

By Kelly Malone
The Canadian Press in CTV News
February 12, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

Doug Ford

WASHINGTON — Canada’s premiers are in Washington today to meet with lawmakers, business groups and lobbyists in a joint effort to push back on U.S. President Donald Trump’s plans for devastating duties. It is the first time all 13 premiers have travelled to the American capital together. Ontario Premier Doug Ford, chair of the Council of the Federation, appealed to members of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce Tuesday to send a message to Trump that tariffs would hurt both the American and Canadian economies. Since his return to the White House last month, Trump has taken rapid actions to reshape global trade and American foreign policy through tariffs. The president signed executive orders Monday to impose 25 per cent levies on all steel and aluminum imports into the United States, including Canadian products, starting March 12.

In related coverage:

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Atli Resources announces new CEO

By Atli Resources LP
LinkedIn
February 5, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada West

Jonathan Lok

Atli Resources LP is pleased to announce the appointment of Jonathan Lok as the new CEO of ARLP. Established in 2005, Atli Resources LP is ‘Namgis First Nation’s forestry company and primarily engaged in managing its Woodlot and Forest Licenses, salvaging harvest residuals, and overseeing its majority ownership interest in Atli Chip LP. Lok joins Atli’s management team and brings over 25 years of industry experience as a leader, entrepreneur and advocate, with deep roots in northern Vancouver Island. Doug Mosher, RPF, the existing CEO will move into the COO role to play a pivotal role in the transition of Atli. The Board of Directors are extremely grateful for Doug’s role in getting Atli to the position it is in today. …“Jonathan’s progressive approach and locally relevant business experience will help to advance both Atli and the ‘Namgis Nation’s forestry aspirations into the future,” said Alti Director Dan Everts.

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US market still key for West Kelowna’s Gorman Group mills

By Ron Seymour
The Kelowna Daily Courier
February 11, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada West

KELOWNA, BC — An export-focused West Kelowna firm, the largest private sector employer in the city, is less dependent on the US market than it used to be. But officials at Gorman Group are still nervously waiting to see if US President Donald Trump follows through on a threat to impose a 25% tariff on all Canadian imports. “The tariff threat has caused uncertainty, which makes it very difficult to forecast cash flow and make investments,” said Nick Arkle, CEO of Gorman Group. Years ago, the company shipped 8o% of its product to the US. “But we’ve reduced our dependency to 50% of mill shipments, while 35% stays within Canada, and 15% is destined for other export markets. …Regardless of what happens in the short-term with tariffs, it’s expected that later this year the duty imposed by the U.S. on softwood lumber imports from Canada will increase from 14.4% to approximately 30%, Arkle said.

Related coverage in:

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Proposed industrial expansion near Nelson draws mix of support, opposition

By Tyler Harper
The Kimberly Bulletin
February 11, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada West

Plans by a locally owned wood products company to build a major expansion at its North Shore location have divided nearby residents, many of whom say they don’t want more industrial development near their rural homes. Spearhead, which is located about 15 kilometres east of Nelson, has applied with the Regional District of Central Kootenay to rezone three residential lots to allow for construction of a 54,000 square-foot facility with the possibility of a further 6,400 square feet of office space and employee child care to be added in the future. …The company produces customizable, and often elaborate, wood structures for residential and commercial use. The new facility, Spearhead’s owners say, will allow it to develop its own custom glue-laminated timber, also known as glulam, instead of purchasing it from outside the region. …Water was the most pressing concern raised by community members at the final public consultation meeting Jan. 28.

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Do it Best CEO: Tariffs on Canadian, Mexican imports would have ‘immediate impact’

By Alex Brown
Inside Indiana Business
February 10, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States, US East

Dan Starr

FORT WAYNE, Indiana – The CEO of Fort Wayne-based Do it Best Corp. says if the 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico go into effect, it would create an immediate impact on costs for the lumber and hardware cooperative’s members. …Dan Starr said that the co-op’s imports from Canada would be particularly hit hard. “Do it Best purchases from Canadian mills… and then ships into independent lumber yards and home centers across the U.S.,” Starr said. “That’s that’s millions and millions of dollars of product–actually, it’s upwards of more than a billion. So we would see an immediate increase in that the cost of product that would be routed from Canada, and that that would drive up costs across the board.” Starr said even though the tariffs are on hold, the threat of such tariffs dating back to before the 2024 election has caused some price inflation.

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Finance & Economics

Total value of Canada’s building permits rose 11% in December

Statistics Canada
February 11, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada

The total value of building permits rose 11.0% to $13.1 billion in December. The increase was led by a 21.2% increase in the residential sector, largely due to gains in Ontario and British Columbia. On a constant dollar basis (2017=100), the total value of building permits issued in December grew 8.8% from the previous month and was up 30.5% on a year-over-year basis. The total value of residential permits increased by $1.6 billion to $9.0 billion in December. Multi-unit construction intentions (+$1.5 billion) contributed the most to the gain, posting a 33.3% increase from the previous month. …The total value of building permits in the fourth quarter edged up $430.8 million (+1.2%) to $37.5 billion, marking the fourth consecutive, albeit slowest, quarterly increase in 2024. In the fourth quarter, the residential sector led the growth, while the non-residential sector retreated after reaching a record high level in the third quarter.

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Lumber prices: Five predictions for the housing and wood products markets in 2025

By Dustin Jalbert
RISI Fastmarkets
February 12, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

After several years of unprecedented volatility in wood products markets, 2024 experienced a more stable, albeit depressed, environment for wood products demand and prices. …As President Trump enters his second term have the potential to break the wood products market out of this sleepy period weighed down by soft demand conditions. So, what does our crystal ball suggest in 2025? 

  1. Interest rates will fall as the economy cools and policy uncertainty eases
  2. Wood products demand will rebound as single-family housing starts growth remains positive and R&R reaccelerates. …US consumption of lumber, structural panels and nonstructural panels are all forecast to advance by 2-3%.
  3. Duties on Canadian softwood lumber will double again, placing immense financial pressure on Canadian sawmills
  4. Panel supply discipline and tight inventory levels will persist in 2025
  5. Lumber price volatility will increase across wood products due to tightening conditions, duties and policy uncertainty

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Canada and Mexico tariffs risk inflating US housing crisis, Trump is warned

By Callum Jones
The Guardian
February 12, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

Pressing ahead with steep tariffs on Canada and Mexico risks exacerbating the US housing crisis and threatening the broader economy, dozens of congressional Democrats have warned Donald Trump. …In a letter to Trump seen by the Guardian, Democrats noted that the US imports key construction materials worth billions of dollars – from lumber to cement products – from Canada and Mexico each year. “Given the severe housing shortage, compounded by rising construction costs, persistent supply chain disruptions, and an estimated shortfall of 6m homes, these looming tariffs, while intended to protect domestic industries, risk further exacerbating the housing supply and affordability crisis while stifling the development of new housing,” they wrote. More than 40 Democrats urged the White House to consider housebuilding industry estimates that the proposed tariffs will raise the cost of imported construction materials by up to $4bn.

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Tariff risk casts a dark shadow over the Canadian housing market

By Robert Hogue
RBC Thought Leadership
February 11, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada

The significant risk that tariffs pose to Canada’s economy casts a potentially dark shadow over the housing market. Any economic turbulence arising from tariffs would be felt by participants, whose confidence is critical to the stability of the housing market. …Therefore, assessing the outlook for Canada’s housing market at this juncture is like putting a price on a home before an earthquake—it’s hard to know what shape the structure will be in at the end of the day. Still, we highlight some of the key themes in 2025. …Lower interest rates heat up demand. …Inventory of homes for sale is rebuilding in Canada. …Strained affordability, immigration and uncertainty to keep buyers cautious. …Affordability relief from rate drop will only be partial. …Absent any major economic shock, we’d expect housing market demand and supply to stay balanced in the year ahead, yielding minimal price increases Canada-wide.

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Factcheck Posts: Trump on US Imports of Oil and Lumber

By D’Angelo Gore
FactCheck.org
February 11, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

Experts told us that, in theory, if the US stopped importing crude oil and lumber from Canada and Mexico, it still would be able to meet domestic demand using natural resources available in the U.S. But, in reality, they said, the transition would be costly and take some time to implement, among other complications. “Sure: we could probably meet most of our lumber needs domestically,” said Marc McDill at Penn State University. “The reasons why we don’t boil down to two things: 1) sometimes imports are cheaper than our own suppliers, and 2) we value our forests for a lot of other things.” He added that without lumber from Canada, “1) prices would go up, 2) we would harvest more of our own trees, and 3) we would import more from countries.” …Rhett Jackson at the University of Georgia, said that differences in the lumber produced in the US and Canada may be problematic. …“All lumber is not created equally.”

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Wood, Paper & Green Building

Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Ends the Procurement and Forced Use of Paper Straws

The US Whitehouse
February 10, 2025
Category: Wood, Paper & Green Building
Region: United States

Ending the forced use of paper straws: Today, President Donald J. Trump signed an Executive Order to end the procurement and forced use of paper straws. The Federal government is directed to stop purchasing paper straws and ensure they are no longer provided within Federal buildings. The Order requires the development of a National Strategy to End the Use of Paper Straws within 45 days to alleviate the forced use of paper straws nationwide. Bringing back common sense: The irrational campaign against plastic straws has forced Americans to use nonfunctional paper straws. This ends under President Trump. …President Trump has made it a top priority to promote a clean and healthy environment for the American people.

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Forestry

Unique weigh scale aims to gain insight on Vancouver Island marmots

By Ian Holmes
Nanaimo News Now
February 10, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

NANAIMO — Researchers are getting creative to learn more about how weight impacts the health of the resurgent Vancouver Island marmot population. A pair of Vancouver Island University technicians have been working on weigh scale prototypes over the past two years with the hopes of advancing a potential link between the weight of marmots and their ability to reproduce. Engineering technician Devin Ayotte said their prototype scale successfully recorded the weight of marmots for the first time last summer in the Nanaimo Lakes area, noting an important radio frequency device has since been implanted in their scale …Captive breeding and habitat restoration efforts led by the Vancouver Island Marmot Recovery Foundation have increased the population to more than 300 from 22 counted in 2003. …Wilder Institute/Calgary Zoo is funding the Vancouver Island marmot weigh scale project. Several other partners are involved, including VIU, Vancouver Island Marmot Recovery Foundation and Mosaic Forest Management.

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Forest Practices Board finds Interfor properly managed whitebark pine

BC Forest Practices Board
February 11, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

GRAND FORKS – The Forest Practices Board has finished a complaint investigation into Interfor Corporation’s logging practices north of Grand Forks. The complainant believed Interfor did not properly manage whitebark pine and caused environmental damage during site preparation for planting. The board found that Interfor planned and implemented special management practices for whitebark pine in the cutblock during its operations from late 2021 into early 2022. The investigation also determined that Interfor’s mounding activities – a technique that uses an excavator to scoop and pile soil to create raised planting spots for seedlings – did not cause environmental harm. “Interfor retained whitebark pine trees, avoided scarring them and preserved the species’ natural seed bank,” said Keith Atkinson, chair, Forest Practices Board. “Interfor also planted around 5,200 whitebark pine seedlings on the cutblock, incurring extra expenses to help maintain the species into the future.” 

Additional coverage in Castanet, by Timothy Schafer: Forest Practices Board finds Interfor properly managed whitebark pine despite complaint

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Nature Nova Scotia responds to Premier Tim Houston

Letter by Nature Nova Scotia
The Halifax Examiner
February 12, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada East

Dear Premier Houston, On January 21st, you sent a letter to your caucus addressing potential actions your government could take in response to US President Trump’s threat of tariffs, later made available in the Chronicle Herald. We are extremely concerned with some of the content of your letter …as well as the disrespectful way you have described the interests of Nova Scotians and the environmental groups that represent them, referring to opposition voices to unsustainable resource extraction activities as “special interest” groups. …we are left wondering if your term “special interest” group refers only to organizations based in Halifax, or urban areas in general, or perhaps only to organizations led by scientists and other experts in environmental fields. In this case, where does Nature Nova Scotia fall? Our staff and board are rural Nova Scotians, some of us woodlot owners, and foresters, but we are also scientists, and we are certainly environmentalists. 

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Sens. Ossoff, Cassidy Introduce Bipartisan Bill to Strengthen Forest Management

US Senator Jon Ossoff
February 11, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States

U.S. Senator Jon Ossoff is introducing a bipartisan bill to help grow Georgia’s forestry industry. Sen. Ossoff and Sen. Bill Cassidy, M.D. (R-LA) introduced the bipartisan Forest Data Modernization Act, which would modernize and improve the U.S. Forest Service’s Forest Inventory and Analysis program to ensure reliable data is available to inform forest management decision making. The bipartisan bill would require the Forest Service to prepare an updated strategic plan to expand data collection and further integrate advanced remote sensing technology. According to the forestry industry, the improvements would unlock new economic opportunities for foresters and better protect the environment. The companion bipartisan bill is being introduced by Representatives Kim Schrier (D-WA-08) and Barry Moore (R-AL-01) in the U.S. House of Representatives …“The Georgia Forestry Association (GFA) commends Senators Ossoff and Cassidy for their bipartisan leadership in re-introducing the Forest Data Modernization Act.

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Utah Delegation Introduces Bill to Support Wildfire Prevention

U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources
February 7, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States

WASHINGTON, D.C. – Senator Mike Lee (R-Utah), Chairman of the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, and Senator John Curtis (R-Utah) joined Representatives Mike Kennedy (R-Utah-03), Burgess Owens (R-Utah-04), Blake Moore (R-Utah-01), and Celeste Maloy (R-Utah-02), to introduce the Utah Wildfire Research Institute Act. This bill establishes a federal wildfire research institute at Utah State University to study wildfire ecology and develop innovative solutions to reduce wildfire risks. The institute will collaborate with local, state, and federal partners to improve forest and rangeland management and implement strategies for long-term ecological restoration. “Robust forest management strategies are essential to protecting Utah’s nearly 22 million acres of forests from catastrophic wildfires. The Utah Wildfire Research Institute Act will significantly enhance our state’s wildfire preparedness by bolstering the tools and resources available to proactively manage and protect our forests and communities,” said Chairman Lee.

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Bill Seeks to Expand Logging Workforce Opportunities for Young Workers

Big Country News Connection
February 11, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

WASHINGTON – A bipartisan group of lawmakers has introduced the Future Logging Careers Act, a bill aimed at allowing teenagers from logging families to gain early hands-on experience in the industry under parental supervision. The legislation, introduced by U.S. Senators Jim Risch (R-Idaho) and Angus King (I-Maine), along with U.S. Representatives Glenn “GT” Thompson (R-Pa.) and Jared Golden (D-Maine), would amend the Fair Labor Standards Act to permit 16- and 17-year-olds to work in certain mechanized logging operations. Similar exemptions currently exist for youth working in family-owned farms. Supporters of the bill, including the American Loggers Council and the Associated Logging Contractors of Idaho, argue that the measure would help sustain family-run logging businesses by allowing younger generations to gain experience before entering the workforce as adults. Industry representatives have pointed to labor shortages and the challenges of retaining workers as key reasons for the bill’s introduction.

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Oregon senators call for federal firefighters to be exempt from hiring freeze

By April Ehrlich
Oregon Public Broadcasting
February 11, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

Oregon could have far fewer firefighters ready to battle blazes on federal lands next fire season — and may do less advance work aimed at mitigating the risk of large fires — due to the Trump administration’s hiring freeze and funding cuts, according to U.S. lawmakers. Oregon U.S. Sens. Ron Wyden and Jeff Merkley have joined over a dozen other lawmakers, all Democrats, in calling on the administration to issue an exemption for thousands of seasonal firefighters so federal agencies can prepare for “what’s expected to be another devastating wildfire year.” …Federal agencies hire about 15,000 seasonal firefighters every year, according to a similar letter U.S. Senator Adam Schiff, D-California, sent Friday. …Trump’s hiring freeze order exempts positions related to “public safety,” but it doesn’t specifically exempt wildland firefighters. As a result, some agency officials have stalled onboarding until they get more clarity.

Related News from Source New Mexico by Julia Goldberg: U.S. Sen Heinrich: USDA funding and firefighter hiring freeze threatens communities

Senate Committee on Energy & Natural Resources: Heinrich, Murray, Merkley, Klobuchar Demand Answers from USDA on Wildfire Mitigation Projects, Firefighting Hiring Halted by Trump’s Funding Freeze

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A Redwood-loving Researcher on Why Las Vegas Is Perfect for Studying the Limits of Trees

By Erica Corliss
University of Nevada, Las Vegas
February 11, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

Drew Peltier

Drew Peltier, assistant professor in the School of Life Sciences, is only half joking when he tells you the reason he is in his field is because he couldn’t find a real job. Growing up in California, around some of the largest organisms on Earth — redwood trees — was also a big influence. …“Las Vegas and the surrounding areas are the perfect experimental laboratory to learn about the limits of tree physiological tolerance to extreme climates,” says Peltier, “and my research shows many tree species are exceptionally drought resilient, but we need to take care of our urban trees.” …Research in the lab focuses on trees across the Western U.S., from tiny pinyon pine to the tallest and largest trees on earth, like coast redwood and giant sequoia. …It is extremely clear at this point that we need to rapidly transition to alternative energy, like solar and wind, as soon as possible.

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Legislation introduced to protect white oak trees, key to bourbon industry

By Sarah Roderick-Fitch
The Center Square
February 11, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US East

Bipartisan legislation has been introduced in the U.S. Senate to safeguard the nation’s white oak tree population, which is key to several commercial industries and vital to wildlife. Sens. Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., and Mark Warner, D-Va., introduced the White Oak Resilience Act of 2025, which will “mobilize” more federal resources and research in protecting the tree’s population. The senators say the trees are essential to the ecosystem and a “trademark” for several American industries. In addition, the White Oak is regarded as “the most important hardwood tree” in the eastern half of the country. The trees are also vital to multiple wildlife species. However, bourbon is likely binding the neighboring commonwealths while forging a bipartisan endeavor to protect the historic tree. The wood from the white oak has long been used to age Kentucky’s most famous spirit, where bourbon, bluegrass and horses reign supreme. 

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Carbon, Climate & Bioenergy

Mast Reforestation hatched a plan to restore wildfire-ravaged forests. Investors took notice.

By Tim De Chant
TechCrunch
February 11, 2025
Category: Carbon, Climate & Bioenergy
Region: United States, US West

Grant Canary

Rebuilding after a wildfire isn’t cheap. The recent Los Angeles wildfires, for example, incurred up to $164 billion in property and capital losses. But restoring the forest isn’t, either, with a few thousand acres running a couple million dollars, Grant Canary, co-founder and CEO of Mast Reforestation, told TechCrunch. “If you’re a land owner and it’s going to take 60 to 80 years for those trees to grow, any money manager is going to be like, put your money literally in anything else.” The biggest cost in reforestation is dealing with the dead, burned trees. Frequently, they’re cut down, piled up, and burned on site. Canary said Mast has devised a way to pay for reforestation today, without landowners needing to wait decades to either harvest timber or claim carbon credits. Instead of burning what’s left, Mast will collect and bury the trees to prevent decay — and sell the carbon credits that result.

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Colorado forests are releasing more carbon than they capture each year

By Jayme DeLoss
Colorado State University
February 11, 2025
Category: Carbon, Climate & Bioenergy
Region: United States, US West

Colorado’s forests store a massive amount of carbon, but dying trees – mostly due to insects and disease – have caused the state’s forests to emit more carbon than they absorbed in recent years, according to a Colorado State Forest Service report. …“People are looking to our natural ecosystems to mitigate climate change,” said Tony Vorster, lead author of the report and a research scientist with the Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory. “We shouldn’t necessarily look to our forests to offset emissions because they’re currently a net carbon source across the state as a whole, and that trend is probably going to continue with ongoing droughts and wildfires.” …“It’s natural for forests to cycle through times where they are carbon sinks and then carbon sources. We’re interested in long-term trends,” Vorster said. …Insects and disease were responsible for 85% of the total area impacted by disturbances and 64% of disturbance-related carbon losses.

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