Daily News for July 09, 2021

Today’s Takeaway

Lumber demand likely to exceed supply in 2021/22

July 9, 2021
Category: Today's Takeaway

US lumber demand-growth will likely exceed incremental supply, keeping prices elevated, says Russ Taylor. In related news: most US home building growth occurred in 3-census regions; and lumber’s price drop has yet to ease Idaho’s construction costs. In other Business news: Trudeau and Horgan meet on BC’s wildfires situation; federal NDP leader Singh speaks on forestry; and Smartlam adds two industry veterans to its team.

In other news: a CNN feature on how EU energy policy is driving US pellet exports; what you need to know to be ready for wildfires; making our cities more fire resilient, and changing how towns evacuate in the future.

Finally, wildfire updates from BC, Ontario, Yukon, California and Oregon.

Kelly McCloskey, Tree Frog Editor

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Opinion / EdiTOADial

Do we have enough lumber to meet North American Demand in 2021 and 2022

By Russ Taylor, president, Russ Taylor Global
The Truck LoggerBC Magazine
July 9, 2021
Category: Opinion / EdiTOADial
Region: Canada, United States

With the wild price run that has been in effect since about June of 2020, it is starting to become more obvious that the North American wood products supply chain is completely strained. …While a temporary shortage of lumber, OSB and plywood has occurred, it is more a function of short-term constraints [which] have impacted the supply side during this strong demand cycle, so hence the runaway commodity wood products prices. The simple math is this… If demand grows by more than about 2.5 billion bf this year and in 2022, then there will be a potential gap and that will create more ongoing price volatility. The only region in North America that has added any significant new lumber capacity in North America is the US South. 

Historically we would expect to see SPF prices more in the US$350 to $400/MBF range. In early June, at the time of writing, 2×4 SPF prices… were starting to move rapidly lower. We all know that when commodity prices go way up that they will eventually have to come down. However, I do not believe prices are going to crash and burn. I believe we are going to see a retrenchment to lower prices over the course of this year, but perhaps not below $1,000/MBF. Prices will eventually stabilize and will be selling at elevated levels over those of the 2010 decade. There is still good news ahead for sawmillers.

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Business & Politics

BC Wildfires 2021: More than 200 blazes burning, risk is high to extreme

By Dirk Meissner
The Canadian Press in the Vancouver Sun
July 8, 2021
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada West

Messrs Trudeau & Horgan

Premier John Horgan says he will lobby Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to use Canada’s military to help clear fire danger zones to prevent future wildfires. Trudeau and Horgan met Thursday to discuss the recent wildfire devastation in the village of Lytton and the extreme fire situation across the province. Horgan said B.C. is experienced and accustomed to dealing with wildfires, but massive, destructive fires over recent years demand governments look at new approaches to prevent and fight fires. …Trudeau said the federal government’s primary concerns are currently focused on supporting the residents of Lytton, but future methods of fire prevention must be considered. …There are more than 200 active fires burning across the province, of which 15 are classified as highly visible or potentially threatening.

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NDP leader Singh addresses reconciliation, forestry in BC tour stop

By Kevin Rothbauer
The Tofino-Ucluelet Westerly News
July 8, 2021
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada West

Jagmeet Singh & Alistar MacGregor

DUNCAN, BC — Federal NDP leader Jagmeet Singh addressed several issues of relevance to the Cowichan Valley and BC. …Singh spoke about the next steps in the process of reconciliation with Canada’s Indigenous people, old-growth logging, as well as the potential for a federal election. …Singh touched on the importance of including First Nations in addressing forestry management, which has become a hot-button issue for Premier John Horgan’s NDP government. …“There is incredible majesty and environmental beauty to the forests that I have experienced,” Singh said, acknowledging the importance of protecting forests and lowering emissions to fight the climate crisis while at the same time keeping and creating jobs. Horgan has faced criticism for failing to act… but Singh noted that the current government has done more to protect then environment than the previous regime did.

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Smartlam Expands in an uncertain time for most

By Alexandra Hainsworth
SmartLam North America
July 7, 2021
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada West

Derek Ratchford

Stephen Tolnai

While other major companies falter amidst uncertainty in lumber and the construction industry following a strange year across these industries, SmartLam North America is growing. SLNA has always been a company full of innovators, with the best and brightest in every aspect of the mass timber industry on their team, from engineering to technology to production to their leadership team. SmartLam has grown that leadership team with the newly appointed CEO and SVP of Sales and Marketing, Derek Ratchford and Stephen Tolnai, respectively. Derek brings with him decades of experience in the world of Engineered Wood Products. He has successfully led teams at Tolko, Trus Joist and Anthony Forest Products. A more qualified and experienced leader for a mass timber company simply does not exist. Derek perfectly matches the core values, standard of quality, professionalism, state of the art processes, and constant innovation that a company like SmartLam North America embodies.

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Finance & Economics

2020 home building increased most in US South and mountain census regions

By Jing Fu
NAHB – Eye on Housing
July 9, 2021
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

According to NAHB analysis, new single-family starts expanded at a fast pace in 2020. Nationally, 993,635 new single-family units were started in 2020, 12% higher than the units started in 2019. …Among all the nine Census divisions, the South Atlantic, West South Central and Mountain Divisions led the way with the most new single-family units started in 2020. These three divisions represent 41% of United States, while the number of new single-family housing starts in these three divisions accounted for about 66% of the total new housing starts in 2020. …Compared to last year, seven out of the nine divisions, including New England, Mountain, East North Central, South Atlantic, West South Central, East South Central and Pacific, had an acceleration in 2020.

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Lumber prices dropping after soaring during COVID. What’s that mean for building costs?

By Bailey Aldridge
Idaho Statesman
July 8, 2021
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States, US West

Lumber prices are continuing to drop from the sky-high levels reached this spring — but industry experts say those decreases haven’t yet resulted in lower home construction costs. Supply shortages were met with elevated demand during the COVID-19 pandemic, driving lumber prices to historic levels. Futures prices tipped over $1,600 per 1,000 board feet in May, which is a jump of more than 300% from April 2020, according to the National Association of Home Builders. Prices have steadily decreased since then, falling by more than 50% to just under $800 per board feet in early July. But they’re still higher than before the pandemic. … The NAHB says home builders and remodelers will “begin to get price relief” once mill prices stabilize or substantially decrease “for an extended period.”

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Wood, Paper & Green Building

Is Mass Timber the Silver Bullet to Diversify BC’s Lumber Sector?

By Ian MacNeill
The Truck LoggerBC Magazine
July 7, 2021
Category: Wood, Paper & Green Building
Region: Canada, United States

Is mass timber the shot in the arm needed before commodity prices correct and the BC forest sector faces a tougher reality? Thanks to an evolution in the product’s development and evolving building code regulations allowing taller building structures, mass timber appears to be coming into its own. …And that might just be the beginning. Developers in Chicago are proposing an 80-storey skyscraper, the River Beech Project. Andy Tsay Jacobs, at Perkins + Will says …the issues are less on the technical side than on the code side. …So, with all its promise, is mass timber the silver bullet? …Probably not, at least for now. …Analyst Russ Taylor says… mass timber will likely be a niche business in BC, he says. “You’re not going to build mass timber plants in every town.” And while the export market has promise, BC manufacturers are more likely than not to remain regional suppliers.

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Forestry

No, we can’t fireproof towns and cities — but here’s how we can make them more resilient

By Jade Prévost-Manuel
CBC News
July 9, 2021
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada

The already devastating fire season begs the question — is there any way for us to fireproof towns and cities at nature’s edge? Not exactly, says Kelly Johnston, technical advisor at FireSmart Canada, a national program that helps adapt communities to fire and reduce their wildfire risk. But we can make them more resilient.  “Wildfire is going to be a natural occurrence that communities all across Canada will have to deal with in most cases,” he said. “It’s about learning how to become resilient and adaptive to that particular situation [communities] are dealing with.” …Interface fires can be fatal and cause tremendous economic and structural damage when fire spreads from forest to town, or vice versa. …One way to manage them is by reducing what fire experts call “fuel load” …That means building houses that can better resist fires, and managing the fuel load and how it’s spaced out between buildings and forests.

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Video: Inside the old-growth forest blockade north of Revelstoke

By Bailey Gingras-Hamilton
The Revelstoke Mountaineer
July 8, 2021
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

Deep in the forest north of Revelstoke, old-growth logging opponents set up tents, chairs and trailers. The demonstrators have mounted a blockade in response to proposed old-growth logging in the Argonaut Creek valley. As a result, the Bigmouth Forest Service Road is currently impassible for loggers and construction crews. Demonstrators are allowing recreational users through the roadblock. Overall, the blockade is peaceful. …Located approximately 122 kilometers north of Revelstoke, demonstrators brave bug bites, rain, and wind at the remote site. Organized by Old Growth Revylution, the group is prepared to stand their ground until logging stops in the valley, however long that may take. “We stand in solidarity with Fairy Creek. If they can do it, we can do it,” says Sarah Newton, a Revelstoke resident and teacher. …In an Instagram post, Old Growth Revylution stated they will rotate blockades throughout the area until their demands are met. 

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Northwest BC Fibre Supporting Coastal Pulp Sector

By Aleece Laird
Forest Enhancement Society of BC
July 8, 2021
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

TERRACE, B.C.—The forest industry in B.C.’s northwest is working together to use more waste wood from logging operations and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The initiative is being facilitated by nearly $540,000 in funding from the Forest Enhancement Society of BC (FESBC) and managed by Westland Resources Ltd. The avoidance of pile burning waste wood results in fewer greenhouse gas emissions and contributes to the achievement of B.C.’s and Canada’s climate change targets. The funding was part of the provincial government’s StrongerBC for Everyone: BC’s Economic Recovery Plan. “We are grateful to FESBC and the provincial government for the funding for our Coast Mountains fibre utilization project,” said Brittany Dewar, FIT, Westland Resources. …If not for the initiative, the fibre would have been left in slash piles to be burned as the purchase price for the pulp-quality fibre was less than the cost of delivering it to the coastal pulp mills. 

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Editorial: Old growth logging, heat waves, climate change all connected

Cowichan Valley Citizen
July 8, 2021
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada West

It’s all interconnected. As we come out of the worst heat wave the Cowichan Valley has ever experienced (twice as disconcerting since it happened in June, just the beginning of summer), it behooves us to reflect on the bigger picture. …There can be little doubt that climate change is the culprit here as we hit new highs. …We are sad to see protesters pitted against RCMP officers and loggers. The latter two groups are just trying to do their jobs, while the former are fighting for the future of not just this one forest, but of the planet. Think that’s hyperbolic? Consider that clearcutting our forests as we have been doing unthinkingly for decades is undoubtedly contributing to climate change. …Simply replanting trees cannot recreate these unique ecosystems, teeming with life. We should not be cutting them down. Period. …Valuing our old growth as nothing but logs is antiquated thinking. 

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Wildfires continue, province-wide ban in place until October

By Melissa Renwick
Ha-Shilth-Sa | Canada’s Oldest First Nation’s Newspaper
July 8, 2021
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

After many parts of B.C. experienced record-breaking temperatures, a province-wide fire ban was implemented from June 30 through to Oct. 15. Around 88 per cent of the 337 wildfires that occurred between April 1 and June 24 were caused by people, according to the Ministry of Forests. Despite the fire ban, Timmy Masso said he has been “truly disgusted” to see the number of illegal campfires along the logging roads off Highway 4 leading to Winchie Creek Hydro. …Part of Trent Masso’s job at the Tla-o-qui-aht First Nation-owned hydropower facility consists of picking up garbage, burnt firewood and extinguishing abandoned fires left behind by campers, said Masso. Some fires sit only five to 10 feet away from the bush, he added. “So much of B.C. is on fire right now and I really don’t want that to happen to our west coast,” he said. …Any local or tourist lighting fires at this time is “irresponsible,” said Masso. 

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Indigenous way for good fires

By Warren Harbeck
Cochrane Today
July 8, 2021
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

Many years ago, an Indigenous Elder opened the eyes of Cochrane-based wildfire specialist Rick Arthur to “the relationship of humanity, fire, and the management of our ecosystems.”  … I’ve asked Rick to share with us some of the Indigenous fire-management wisdom he’s learned over the years. “For thousands of years Indigenous Peoples used fire wisely in landscape management which aided in preventing the megafires we see today,” Rick says. “Our modern forest and park management policies changed the way forests had been managed. This has resulted in a dramatic increase in forest fuel loads which, when coupled with hot, dry weather, results in these extreme fire events…”  Indigenous tradition used low-intensity fires to keep landscapes open, to the benefit of the many species of the forest who got used to low-intensity fires, and to avoid the devastation of the megafires we’re experiencing now.

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Government of Canada sending 23 Parks Canada wildland fire management specialists to British Columbia

By Parks Canada
Cision Newswire
July 8, 2021
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

Parks Canada is sending 23 highly trained wildland fire management specialists including Incident Management personnel and wildland firefighters. … The deployment to BC is being coordinated through the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre (CIFFC). Parks Canada exchanges operational wildfire resources with provinces and territories through the Canadian Interagency Mutual Aid Resource Sharing Agreement and border zone agreements, as well as with international partners, coordinated by the CIFFC. These agreements ensure collaboration and distribution of resources where most needed. Parks Canada wildland fire management specialists will be in British Columbia for two weeks. Seven wildland firefighters will be doing initial attacks on new fires, and the Incident Management personnel will take over management of one of the British Columbia fires. 

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How marginalized communities in the South are paying the price for ‘green energy’ in Europe

By Majlie de Puy Kamp
CNN
July 9, 2021
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US East

Andrea Macklin never turns off his TV… to drown out the noise from the wood mill bordering his backyard. …That was when the world’s largest biomass producer, Enviva, opened its second North Carolina facility. …Enviva is one of nearly a dozen similar companies benefiting from a sustainability commitment made… in 2009, [when] the European Union pledged to curb greenhouse gas emissions, urging its member states to shift from fossil fuels to renewables. Its Renewable Energy Directive classified biomass as a renewable energy source — on par with wind and solar power… and drove up demand for wood. So much so that the American South emerged as Europe’s primary source of biomass imports. …The EU is set to revise its Renewable Energy Directive this summer. Critics hope they will restrict biomass imports from overseas, exclude whole, living trees as “waste product”.

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Mainers should be on the lookout for a new threat to the state’s elm trees

By Julia Bayly
Bangor Daily News
July 8, 2021
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US East

An elm tree leaf with an odd, zigzag-shaped missing section … could be evidence of a new and potentially destructive insect pest in Maine called the elm zigzag sawfly. The elm zigzag sawfly was observed in Quebec a year ago and officials there this summer reached out to their counterparts in adjacent states in the United States and Canadian provinces asking for help determining if the insect is spreading — and, if so, how far. Native to Asia, the elm zigzag sawfly was observed in Eastern Europe in 2003. …So far, it has not been seen outside of Quebec in North America. …“We have been looking at Europe and what we have seen is that the insect does not seem to be killing the trees,” Martel said. “But the defoliation is enough of a stress for the trees that you have an increased risk from dutch elm disease.”

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Not wild and intact but wonderful and essential

By Michael Mauri, forester
The Greenfield Recorder
July 8, 2021
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US East

MASSACHUSETTS – A recent op-ed by Miriam Kurland stresses the importance of forests in supporting “public well-being” … And who could disagree? But what, actually, are wild and intact forests? The term … evokes a vision of pristine forests in untouched wildernesses, forests free of human influence, forests that have never been cut nor ever will be cut. But, unfortunately, such forests do not exist in Massachusetts … Thank goodness it’s a fundamental property of forests in our region that they keep on growing. That is why, even after clearing and logging long ago, the forest has grown into what we see today. … even as our forest has been re-growing, it has been home to ongoing logging. … This is where well-conceived forestry, with up-to-date science and methods, can play a key and positive role …

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Health & Safety

Evacuees urged to register so communities, loved ones know you are safe

By Emergency Management BC
Government of British Columbia
July 4, 2021
Category: Health & Safety
Region: Canada, Canada West

British Columbians who have been evacuated from their communities due to ongoing wildfires are urged to register with Emergency Support Services, whether or not you need support, so loved ones and communities know where you are and that you are safe. Evacuees can register for Emergency Support Services online or by phone: Use the Province’s Evacuee Registration and Assistance online tool: https://ess.gov.bc.ca/. Those unable to access online registration can call the Emergency Support Services registration toll-free phone line: 1 800 585-9559 …For information on evacuation orders and alerts, as well as a list of reception centres, visit Emergency Info BC: https://www.emergencyinfobc.gov.bc.ca/wildfires-2021/

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Minister of Transport announces Ministerial Order to protect residents and railway operations in the area of Lytton, British Columbia

By Transport Canada
Cision Newswire
July 8, 2021
Category: Health & Safety
Region: Canada, Canada West

OTTAWA – The Minister of Transport, the Honourable Omar Alghabra announced that Transport Canada is issuing a Ministerial Order in the interest of safe railway operations, and to protect public safety for the temporary return of residents to inspect their homes in Lytton, British Columbia. The Ministerial Order, which takes effects at 12:01 AM PDT on July 9, 2021, for a period of 48 hours unless revoked earlier in writing, requires: Canadian National Railway to cease movement of trains except for emergency fire response, and maintenance and repair work on its Ashcroft subdivision between Kamloops and Boston Bar, British Columbia; and Canadian Pacific Railway to cease movement of trains for emergency fire response, and maintenance and repair work on its Thompson Subdivision between Kamloops and Boston Bar, British Columbia.

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Changing how towns evacuate in the future

By Peter Aleshire
The Payson Roundup
July 9, 2021
Category: Health & Safety
Region: United States, US West

ARIZONA — Monsoon cloud bursts have dampened the biggest active fires in the state, prompting officials to lift evacuation orders in communities like Pine and Strawberry. …Ironically, some experts fear that the close calls this year may actually make matters worse the next time an unpredictable fire in extreme weather conditions prompt emergency officials to order another evacuation. …The University of Utah researchers said those attitudes may prove fatal in a future crisis, given the growing unpredictability of wildfires. …Firewise and wildland-urban interface building codes not only give people more time to escape, they make it possible to shelter in place as a last result. Emergency officials should also prepare backup plans — in case everything goes wrong, like it did in Paradise. That would include creating fire shelters and safety zones for people who can’t — or won’t — evacuate.

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What you need to know (and where to find out what you don’t) to be ready for wildfires

By Adam Duvernay
The Register-Guard
July 8, 2021
Category: Health & Safety
Region: United States, US West

Lane County emergency managers want you to be ready in case a wildfire breaks out. …With dry conditions presaging an early fire season, the time to be ready for the worst is now. “It’s important for everyone to understand how they’re getting emergency information,” Lane County Emergency Manager Patence Winningham said. “It is important for you to take protective action for yourself.” …”We’re starting off drier than last year,” said John Flannigan with the Oregon Department of Forestry’s Eastern Lane Unit. …Gov. Kate Brown declared a state of emergency for Oregon on June 29 meant to improve response times to emerging fires. The U.S. Forest Service offers a checklist of what to plan and have ready to take with you and what to do when having to evacuate for a wildfire. …evacuation notices can come quickly, giving people little time to prepare in the moment.

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Forest Fires

Firefighting helicopters back in sky after being grounded by lightning over fire north of Lillooet

By Colin Dacre
Castanet
July 8, 2021
Category: Forest Fires
Region: Canada, Canada West

The lightning storm that rolled through the B.C. Interior on Wednesday temporarily grounded helicopters fighting the Mckay Creek wildfire north of Lillooet. The BC Wildfire Service says 15 helicopters are back in the sky today, supporting ground crews in the battle against the 24,255-hectare blaze that has forced evacuation alerts and orders in the area. Crews conducted a number of successful planned ignitions Wednesday to eliminate fuel between the fire perimeter and guards. … While Wednesday’s lightning temporarily grounded BCWS helicopters, the storm brought 5-10 mm of rain to the fire. … A total of 165 personnel are fighting the fire situated 11.5 kilometres north of Lillooet.

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Section of Yukon’s Robert Campbell Highway closed due to forest fire

CBC News
July 8, 2021
Category: Forest Fires
Region: Canada, Canada West

A section of the Robert Campbell Highway in Yukon has been closed due to a nearby forest fire.  According to the Yukon government’s highways and public works department, the closure stretches from kilometre 10 to kilometre 360, between Watson Lake and Ross River. Yukon’s wildfire map shows a 1,300-hectare fire burning at the Tuchitua River near the highway.  The fire is classified as out of control, and is expected to reach the highway itself at some point on Thursday near the junction of Nahanni Range Road. … A number of areas, including Teslin, Whitehorse, and Faro, also remain under an extreme level of fire risk. 

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Kenora Fire 51 remapped to 31673 hectares, crews not heading to BC

By Jordan Rivers
Kenora Online
July 8, 2021
Category: Forest Fires
Region: Canada, Canada East

ONTARIO – … As of Wednesday afternoon, the Ministry of Northern Development, Mines, Natural Resources and Forestry says there are 76 active fires in the northwest region. A total of 23 fires were not under control, six fires were being held, 22 fires were under control and 25 fires were being observed. Kenora 51, northwest of Kenora in Woodland Caribou Provincial Park, has been remapped to a size of 31,673 hectares, or 316.73 km². Earlier in the week, it was reported that Ontario fire crews were heading to B.C. to aid firefighters in that province. The Ministry says “at this time Ontario does not have fire personnel in B.C. 

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Fires prompt closures, fill air with smoke in Oregon’s Klamath and Douglas counties

Oregon Public Broadcasting
July 8, 2021
Category: Forest Fires
Region: United States, US West

A wildfire in Klamath County more than tripled in size Wednesday night and forced emergency closures Thursday in the Fremont-Winema National Forest, on the same day that a separate fire near Roseburg prompted road closures north of Crater Lake. Klamath County’s Bootleg Fire was burning nearly 17,000 acres of forest service land northeast of Sprague River midday Thursday, prompting Level 1 — “get ready” — and Level 2 — “get set” — evacuation orders near the town of Beatty. Crews have not gotten any containment on the fire yet. Air quality has dropped in the area due to smoke from the fire, and a red flag warning is in effect until 8 p.m. Thursday due to strong winds and low humidity in the area. …A Level 3, or “go now,” order is in effect for recreation areas, homes and businesses near the area’s Eagle Rock Campground, with specifics posted online by the Douglas County Sheriff’s Office.

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Salt Fire near Redding: Containment rises, overnight growth minimal.

By Matt Brannon and Michele Chandler
The Redding Record Searchlight
July 8, 2021
Category: Forest Fires
Region: United States, US West

REDDING, California — An additional 200 firefighters were working the Salt Fire, bringing the total personnel assigned to that forest fire to 1,600. The U.S. Forest Service is targeting July 15 to contain the destructive fire burning near Lakehead, north of Redding. The Salt Fire is one of three large wildfires sparked in June in the North State. The other two are the Lava and Tennant fires in Siskiyou County. …Containment on the Salt Fire, sparked on June 30, remains at 35% and the fire’s size is 12,644 acres. 

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