Wildfire seasons in the Northwest Territories unlikely to ease off by next century, study finds

By Sarah St-Pierre
CBC News
October 20, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada West

The Northwest Territories could see more difficult wildfire seasons ahead – all the way into the next century, according to recent research. One study published last month by researchers from the University of British Columbia and Natural Resources Canada predicts that while the rest of the country will see an increase in burn probability by 2100, the N.W.T.’s rate will remain about the same. Chris Mulverhill, one of the study’s co-authors, said the chance of a wildfire in Yellowknife is already as high as it can get. “We hopefully don’t want to give the impression that Yellowknife [and other northern communities] are going to be spared from intense fire seasons in the future,” he wrote in an email. …Mulverhill said the projections are based on current forest conditions, but climate change in northern areas is expected to cause large changes in the structure, composition, and condition of vegetation.

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