Blog Archives

Breaking News

Canadian lumber is covered under the latest pause on tariff implementation

The National Association of Home Builders
March 7, 2025
Category: Breaking News
Region: Canada, United States

The situation surrounding tariffs remains fluid, with a flurry of activity in Washington this week. …On March 6, Trump announced a one-month tariff delay until April 2 on all products from Mexico and Canada that are covered by the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). While there is no specific language in the USMCA addressing Canadian softwood lumber, NAHB worked with the White House to ensure it was covered under the latest pause on tariff implementation. Two essential materials used in new home construction, softwood lumber and gypsum (used for drywall), are largely sourced from Canada and Mexico, respectively. …If the new tariffs on Mexico and Canada go into effect next month, they are projected to raise the cost of imported construction materials by more than $3 billion. NAHB has received anecdotal reports from members that they are planning for tariffs to increase material costs between $7,500 and $10,000 on the average new single-family home. 

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Opinion / EdiTOADial

Tariff uncertainty adds to risk of recession, holds back business investment and consumer spending

Kevin Mason, Managing Director
ERA Forest Products Research
March 3, 2025
Category: Opinion / EdiTOADial
Region: Canada, United States

Kevin Mason

It would be impossible to list the 70+ executive orders signed and published so far under the new US administration. Some of these edicts are clear and enforceable, while some have been challenged. We have discussed at length the potential impact of 25% blanket tariffs on imports of Canadian forest products. Collectively, this torrent of change has created uncertainty, slowing business decision-making—and, therefore, investment. We have seen this paralysis in the lumber markets, with buyers and sellers unsure of how to prepare for tariffs, and confusion leading to inaction. The same is true at the individual level, with mass layoffs in the public sector. Workplaces that see mass firings also tend to freeze up, slowing workflow as employees contemplate their future.

Recessions can be caused by shocks to the system on the supply or the demand side. There is no question that the executive orders to date have shocked the systems of both government and international trade; this has apparently been intentional. The question is whether or not supply, demand and labour can respond appropriately with minimal disruption. Over time, clearly, they can in an economy as dynamic and entrepreneurial as that of the US; in the short-term, however, there is a risk that uncertainty holds back both business investment and consumer spending. …High interest rates have held back both housing demand and housing supply. If tariffs are indeed implemented, prices should rise and rates will not fall (unless a recession ensues).

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Business & Politics

Trump delays some tariffs on Mexico and Canada for one month

By David Goldman
CNN Business
March 6, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

President Donald Trump on Thursday signed executive actions that delay for nearly one month tariffs on all products from Mexico and Canada that are covered by the USMCA free trade treaty, a significant walkback of the administration’s signature economic plan that has rattled markets, businesses and consumers. The executive actions follow a discussion Trump held Thursday with Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and negotiations between Canadian and Trump administration officials. …Energy from Canada, however, is not included in the USMCA, the White House official said. So that lower 10% tariff is expected to remain in place… but the Trump reduced the tariff on Canadian potash to 10%. …Canada will now pause their planned second round of tariffs on over 4,000 US goods until April 2, Canadian Minister of Finance Dominic LeBlanc said.

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Trump’s trade war will last for ‘foreseeable future,’ Trudeau says

By Uday Rana
Global News
March 6, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

Justin Trudeau

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Thursday said he had a “colourful” phone call with U.S. President Donald Trump, but the trade war imposed by the president will last for the “foreseeable future.” “I can confirm that it was a colorful call. And it was also a very substantive call,” Trudeau told reporters in Ottawa. He added, “We talked about a range of issues, of course, primarily the trade war that they have chosen to unjustly launch on Canada. …Trudeau added that Canada will not be backing down from its retaliation. …He also hinted at possible relief for Canadians affected by tariffs. …Trump said in a post Wednesday on his Truth Social platform that Trudeau called to ask him what can be done about the tariffs. “I told him that many people have died from Fentanyl and nothing has convinced me that it has stopped,” Trump wrote.

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This Canadian forged the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. Now he wants to save it

By Nick Taylor-Vaisey
Politico.com
March 5, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

OTTAWA — Steve Verheul used to get under the American trade negotiator’s skin. …Eventually, the Americans forged a deal with the Mexicans and Canadians, and in 2018 signed the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement. …Now, as Trump slams Canada and Mexico with new tariffs, Verheul and a pair of trade veterans want to save the USMCA. …Verheul is co-launching the Coalition for North American Trade, a three-nation business group advocating for the long-term benefits of free trade. The CNAT is the brainchild of Kevin Brady, the Republican former chair of the House Ways and Means Committee. …Earlier this year, the trio launched their coalition and today, they’re bringing their pitch to Washington. …But until tariffs disappear, Verheul sees no prospect for productive talks. “I think the only hope is that the impact on the US economy, and the stock market, and various companies is extreme enough to create pushback within the US,” he says.

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Canada requests WTO consultations with US over ‘unjustified tariffs,’ says ambassador

Reuters in CTV News
March 5, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

GENEVA — Canada has requested consultations with the United States on “unjustified tariffs” at the World Trade Organization, Canada’s ambassador to the WTO in Geneva said. “The U.S. decision leaves us with no choice but to respond to protect Canadian interests,” Ambassador Nadia Theodore said. …Bilateral consultations are the first stage of formal dispute settlement. If within 60 days no solution is found, then Canada could request adjudication by the Geneva-based organization’s Dispute Settlement Body. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced immediate 25% tariffs on C$30 billion worth of U.S. imports. If need be, Canada will target another C$125 billion worth in 21 days’ time, he said. …China formally launched a dispute at the WTO on February 5 over a 10% tariff imposed by Trump on Chinese goods, in moves that raised concern about a new trade war between the world’s two largest economies.

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Homebuilders Warn of Rising Building Costs as Trump’s Tariffs Take Effect

By Keith Griffith
Realtor.com
March 4, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

President Trump has imposed sweeping 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico for border enforcement—but homebuilders say they could boost new home prices. …”This move to raise tariffs by 25% will harm housing affordability,” Homebuilders Chairman Buddy Hughes said. “Tariffs on lumber and other building materials increase the cost of construction and discourage new development, and consumers end up paying for the tariffs in the form of higher home prices.” …About 70% of the dimensional lumber and drywall gypsum used in residential construction is imported from Canada and Mexico respectively, according to industry data. China is a source of some fixtures and finishes used in homes. …Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale notes that while homebuilders and newly built homes will bear the initial brunt of the tariffs, the impacts could ripple out to the overall housing market in time.

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Canada’s Forest Sector says US tariffs on Canadian exports breaks terms of US-Mexico-Canada Agreement

By Derek Nighbor, President and CEO
Forest Products Association of Canada
March 4, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada

Derek Nighbor

“The U.S. President’s move to place broad-based tariffs on Canadian exports is unjustified and unilaterally breaks the terms of the existing US-Mexico-Canada Agreement. It is also deeply disappointing in that it runs counter to the principles of trust and collaboration that the Canada-U.S. relationship has been built on for generations. For Canada’s forest sector, if these tariffs are not removed, they will damage a long- and well-functioning integrated forest products supply chain that runs two ways and benefits Americans and Canadians alike. It will also create business uncertainty on both sides of the border and will drive up costs for building materials and everyday household products for Americans. Today, we stand with our federal government and provincial and territorial Premiers in support of a swift counter-response, including a comprehensive and responsible plan to support impacted employees, businesses, and communities until the President reverses his decision.”

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Trump tells Congress tariffs benefit U.S. as commerce secretary floats idea of deal

By Kelly Malone
The Canadian Press in CTV News
March 5, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, United States

WASHINGTON — A day into Donald Trump’s North American trade war, the U.S. president remained adamant that tariffs would benefit America even as a key member of his team has floated that a compromise could materialize Wednesday. Trump addressed a joint session of Congress Tuesday night by making a case for his massive tariff agenda. …Ottawa introduced immediate 25% retaliatory tariffs. …Following a second day of sharp decline, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick said… the government was looking to “work something out” in a deal that could be announced on Wednesday. …Lutnick tied the deal to the Canada-U.S.-Mexico agreement, which was negotiated under the first Trump administration to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement. …Trump also ordered 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports into the United States on March 12… m[and he] signed an executive order to implement “reciprocal tariffs” starting April 2. Other tariff targets include automobiles, copper, lumber and agricultural products.

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BC sawmill owner fears potential recession after imposition of US tariffs

By Derrick Penner
The Vancouver Sun
March 4, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada West

Overnight, Jake Power went from reflecting on one of the best months that his Agassiz-based custom sawmill has ever had to staring into a potential recession sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs. Power, along with every other British Columbian, woke up to the reality of a trade war. …“Our business was growing, our customers were doing well,” said Power, CEO of Power Wood. “Now, I think we all expect a North American recession if this continues.” …Premier David Eby declared that “all bets are off” in terms of his response to standing up for the province. …Trade economist Werner Antweiler said he worries the most about B.C.’s forest industry, which was “already struggling (at) the edge of profitability.” …There is another looming danger in a trade war if it results in continuing depreciation of the Canadian dollar versus the U.S. currency, according to economist Bryan Yu.

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BC pulp and paper sector faces threats foreign and domestic

By Nelson Bennett
Business in Vancouver
March 4, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada West

The second-most important forestry-based commodity in B.C. is pulp and paper manufacturing, which is, fortunately, less exposed [than lumber] to the US, thanks to more diversified markets, and not subject to anti-dumping duties. …Like all sectors in Canada, the pulp and paper industry now faces the prospects of tariffs, though the U.S. market accounts for only 15% of BC pulp exports. …But there is less opportunity for substitution for Canadian pulp and paper in the U.S. than lumber, according to Kevin Mason, managing director for ERA Forest Products Research. Tariffs—if they materialize—will simply be passed on to buyers, including large tissue and paper towel makers in the U.S. “The investment and time required to build new pulp capacity will prohibit domestic substitution in the near, medium and long-term.”  …Though B.C.’s pulp sector may not be as directly exposed to U.S. trade as lumber, it could be indirectly affected because the industry is so heavily integrated with the sawmilling sector.

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Forest critic Stamer calls for tax on thermal coal in response to softwood lumber duties

By Michael Reeve
CFJC Today
March 3, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada West

KAMLOOPS — The U.S. Department of Commerce has announced plans to almost triple the anti-dumping duties on Canadian softwood lumber. …“It’s going to be devastating for our industry if we can’t come up with some cost saving methods to be able to not only be more competitive but also trading with our largest partner when it comes to our softwood lumber agreement. …Kamloops-North Thompson MLA and Forest Critic Ward Stamer believes B.C. needs to place a carbon tax on coal as a response. “Our party proposed a carbon tax on U.S. thermal coal through our ports last Monday, and really what we should be doing — whatever they are charging us in duties, we should be charging them back with a carbon tax. …The BC Conservatives asked for an update on their carbon tax proposal during Monday’s question period.

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Irving Paper doesn’t want subsidy, calls for fix to high power rates

By Adam Hurts
The Telegraph-Journal
March 5, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada East

Irving Paper says it doesn’t want a government subsidy to save jobs, but that the province does need to step in to find a solution to high electricity rates. That’s as the company is criticizing “management issues” at NB Power. The Saint John manufacturer announced that it is cutting 140 jobs at its Bayside Drive mill. ….But in a new letter, Irving Paper VP Mark Mosher said a subsidy won’t work as it’s a problem affecting all New Brunswick ratepayers. …“For all of New Brunswick’s energy intensive and trade exposed industries, the issues and repercussions of uncompetitive electricity rates are not new and continue to worsen.” …Natural Resources Minister John Herron recently said his department has been working with J.D. Irving to develop a “financially sustainable” solution that preserves jobs for New Brunswickers. [to access the full story a Telegraph-Journal subscription is required]

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Tariffs arrive when the pulp and paper business is already in a ‘difficult place,’ says CEO

By Jonathan Migneault
CBC News
March 5, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada East

The CEO of the pulp and paper mill in Kapuskasing, Ontario, says he was not surprised, but is disappointed by US tariffs that are expected to have a big impact on Canada’s forestry sector. “The pulp and paper business is in a very difficult place in Ontario,” said Terry Skiffington, the CEO of Kap Paper. In January, the century-old mill, historically known as Spruce Falls, received a $10-million loan from the provincial government to help the business diversify… by building a biomass plant which would produce energy by burning wood that can’t be used for paper production. …”We can move products into Europe, into Asia and into India relatively competitively, which is odd intuitively when we’re sitting in the centre of Canada,” he said. …”I’m feeling like I’ve done a few rounds in the ring with Mike Tyson, but our intention is to remain on that course,” Skiffington said.

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Toilet paper giant Kruger, hit by tariff uncertainty, delays expansion decision and withholds guidance

By Christinne Muschi
The Canadian Press in the Globe and Mail
March 5, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, Canada East

KP Tissue says it won’t provide guidance for its next quarter and has delayed a decision on a major capital investment because of US tariffs. The publicly traded Mississauga-based company, which owns 12.5% of Kruger Products and shares the same management team, typically provides earnings guidance when it reports earnings. But CFO Dino Bianco said that Kruger/KP would not provide profit guidance for Q1 “given the evolving news and volatility.” …Roughly one-third of Kruger’s revenues are exposed to tariffs, made at its nine Canadian plants and Canadian softwood pulp used by its one US facility, in Memphis. The company has also delayed a decision on where to locate a new US$600-million tissue manufacturing facility. Kruger has scouted locations in Canada and the US and had expected to make its pick in early 2025. …Further complicating the decision, he said, are the exchange rate, possible reciprocal tariffs, a potential recession and “collateral impacts around freight.” 

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China targets US soybeans, logs in stepped-up response to Trump tariffs

Reuters in Trading View
March 4, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States, International

China suspended on Tuesday the soybean import licences of three U.S. firms and halted imports of U.S. logs, stepping up its retaliation for Donald Trump’s decision to impose an extra 10% duty on China. …The suspension of U.S. logs was a direct response to Trump’s move on March 1 to order a trade investigation on imported lumber. Trump had earlier told reporters that he was thinking about imposing a 25% tariff rate on lumber and forest products. “The announcement of import restrictions on U.S lumber and soybeans linked with phytosanitary issues follows a long history of similar measures by Beijing,” said Even Pay, agriculture analyst at Trivium China. …China is one of the world’s largest importers of wood products and the third-largest destination for U.S. forest products. It imported around $850 million worth of logs and other rough wood products from the U.S. in 2024, according to Chinese customs data.

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Trump tariffs are a profoundly self-destructive move

By Paul Krugman, recipient of the Nobel Prize for Economics
Substack.com
March 4, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States

Paul Krugman

Trade policy mavens sometimes use… situations in which the president has the right to impose tariffs. …The tariffs Donald Trump just imposed on Canada and Mexico don’t fit any of these categories. …The newspapers this morning all contain analysis pieces trying to explain why Trump is imposing 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. You can see the writers struggling, because this is a profoundly self-destructive move — it will impose huge, possibly devastating costs on U.S. manufacturing, while significantly raising the cost of living — without any visible justification. …To its credit, the New York Times analysis comes closest, acknowledging that for some reason Trump personally loathes Canada. …And it seems clear to me that Trump hates them for their decency. …Trump may imagine that he can bully Canada into submission. But he can’t; Canadians of all political persuasions are furious. So I don’t know how this ends. But U.S. voters will soon be feeling real pain, and I very much doubt that it will end in a Trump victory.

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US Lumber Coalition Applauds Trump’s Enforcement of the US Trade Laws Against Softwood Lumber

The US Lumber Coalition
PR Newswire
March 3, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States

Zoltan Van Heyningen

WASHINGTON — “The higher preliminary duty level announced by the Commerce Department demonstrates the severity of dumping and frankly disgraceful behavior by Canadian exporters in the U.S. market,” emphasized Andrew Miller  of Stimson Lumber. …”The US Lumber Coalition applauds the Trump Administration’s strong commitment to enforcing the U.S. trade laws against Canadian unfair trade behavior that is killing U.S. jobs by suppressing U.S. lumber production,” stated Zoltan van Heyningen, U.S. Lumber Coalition Executive Director, adding that “The trade cases must remain in place as long as Canada keeps subsidizing and dumping.” Mr. van Heyningen further stated that “If Canada does not like the import duties, simply stop engaging in unfair trade and stop violating our trade laws. It’s not complicated.” …”The American lumber industry and forestry sector today has the capacity to supply nearly all U.S. lumber demand, and with continued strong trade law enforcement can reach 100% over time.

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Stimson Lumber plans Hagg Lake mill expansion

By Chas Huntley
Gales Creek Journal
March 3, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States, US West

OREGON — Stimson Lumber’s representatives will host a community meeting to outline plans to build a new structure at their mill near Hagg Lake Tuesday, March 4. “We are considering a proposal to add a new 45,000 square-foot small-log sawmill building to our existing sawmill facility,” a representative for Stimson Lumber said. “The new building would take the place of an existing 60,000 square-foot warehouse building, which would be demolished,” the letter read. According to documents, the footprint of the existing sawmill would not be expanded. In a June 2024 press release, Stimson Lumber said the company would invest $50 million into building a high-speed sawmill for smaller-dimension timber. The company believes the new line will be operational in 2026.

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How tariffs could untangle Canada and Maine’s intertwined forest products industry

By Donovan Lyunch
News Center Maine
March 4, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States, US East

AUGUSTA, Maine — Tariffs on Canadian imports and Ottawa’s retaliation on American goods could sever—or at least strain—the close ties between the forest product industries of Maine and eastern Canada. The state exported $775 million in forest products to Canada in 2023. …Much of the wood Maine sends across the border is in the form of raw logs, according to Dana Doran of Professional Logging Contractors of the Northeast. The timber goes to Canada for processing… and the finished wood products are then frequently re-imported and sold in Maine. …Doran has doubts that these tariff efforts will achieve their intended effect of boosting domestic production. “Most of those Canadian manufacturers have already invested in the United States,” Doran said. …However, others acknowledge that—even if foreign companies benefit—shifting the processing of wood back into the U.S. aligns with the White House’s protectionist aims.

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GreenFirst Responds to US.Tariffs on Canadian Lumber

By GreenFirst Forest Products Inc.
Business Wire
March 5, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada, US East

TORONTO — GreenFirst Forest Products expresses deep concern over the United States government’s decision to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian softwood lumber. This measure threatens the stability of the Ontario forestry sector, which employs thousands of workers and supports local economies across the province. …“We are actively working with both provincial and federal governments, as well as industry associations, to develop a support plan for the sector and to ensure that diplomatic efforts to remove these tariffs are accelerated.” …As a 100% Ontario-based Company operating four sawmills in Northern Ontario, GreenFirst directly employs approximately 800 people and plays a crucial role in the province’s economy.  “We urge the federal and provincial governments to take immediate action to support our industry during this challenging time”.

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Finance & Economics

US faces housing affordability crisis, calls for negotiated end to tariffs on Canadian lumber

By Buddy Hughes, Chairman
The National Association of Home Builders
March 4, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

WASHINGTON — Implementing policies to alleviate supply-side bottlenecks that are the main drivers of low housing supply and high home prices would help ease the nation’s housing affordability crisis and allow builders to increase the supply of attainable, affordable housing, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) told Congress. …To help address these issues, NAHB Chairman Buddy Hughes called on Congress to take the following actions:

  • Preserve and strengthen key federal programs including the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit, HUD Section 8 housing voucher programs
  • Support workforce development programs such as Job Corps and pass the CONSTRUCTS Act, legislation
  • Responsibly boost the domestic supply of lumber and call on the Trump administration to negotiate a long-term softwood lumber agreement with Canada that will end lumber tariffs, help stabilize this volatile market and give builders greater price stability
  • Pass the Identifying Regulatory Barriers to Housing Supply Act
  • Rein in excessive regulatory costs and reassert congressional authority over federal agencies’ rulemaking agendas. 

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Canfor reports Q4, 2024 net loss of $63 million

Canfor Corporation and Canfor Pulp Products Inc.
March 6, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

VANCOUVER, BC — Canfor Corporation reported its fourth quarter of 2024 results. Highlights include: Q4 2024 operating loss of $46 million; shareholder net loss of $63 million; Supply-driven uptick in North American lumber markets and pricing through the fourth quarter led to improved results from the Company’s Western Canadian and US South operations; another quarter of solid earnings from Europe; Improved results for Canfor Pulp; relatively stable global pulp market fundamentals through most of the fourth quarter, with some positive momentum late in the period; persistent challenges associated with the availability of economic fibre in British Columbia. …Canfor’s President and Chief Executive Officer, Susan Yurkovich, said, “Following several quarters of very weak global lumber market conditions, we were pleased to see a slight uplift in North American benchmark lumber prices during the fourth quarter, which gave rise to improved results across all our lumber operating regions.”

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Lumber Prices Hit Two-Year High As US Investigates Canadian Softwood

The Globe and Mail
March 5, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

Lumber prices have risen to their highest level in more than two years on news that U.S. President Donald Trump has ordered an investigation into softwood imports from Canada. The lumber probe is the latest salvo in an escalating trade war between the neighbouring countries. Analysts say that the investigation lays the groundwork for potential new %Tariffs on Canadian lumber, notably softwood imports. …Consequently, lumber futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange have risen 3.5% over the past day to trade at $657 U.S. per 1,000 board feet, the highest level since mid-2022. However, while lumber prices are marching higher on the threat of U.S. tariffs, the stocks of Canadian lumber companies are tanking. Shares of Interfor fell 9% while the stock of %Canfor declined 6% in Toronto trading on March 4, the day that the 25% tariffs went into effect.

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Here’s how tariffs will hit the U.S. housing market

By Diana Olick
CNBC Real Estate
March 4, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

From lumber to drywall to appliances to finishings, much of what goes into a U.S. home comes from outside American borders. The cost of those products is about to go up, as President Donald Trump’s administration imposes tariffs on China, Mexico and Canada. …The new tariffs could increase builder costs anywhere from $7,500 to $10,000 per home, said Rob Dietz, chief economist at the NAHB, citing estimates from U.S. homebuilders. The greatest impact to homebuilders will be from lumber cost increases, which are expected to total about $4,900 per home on average, according to Leading Builders of America, the trade group representing most of the nation’s publicly traded homebuilders. …Lumber futures are up 5% in the past week and were rising steadily Tuesday. …Beyond lumber, the homebuilding industry is subject to rising costs across the sector. China is the leader in household appliances. And, the majority of drywall is imported from other countries.

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Industrial outlook darkens ahead of tariffs

By Michael Rudolph
FreightWaves
March 4, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

In the run-up to Tuesday’s promised barrage of tariffs against Mexico, Canada and China, the U.S. industrial sector is not looking so hot — a dark omen for domestic freight demand. For one, construction spending took an unexpected hit in January, down 0.2% from December against consensus expectations of stability. Outlays for private residential projects fell 0.4%, despite a 0.6% monthly rise in single-family spending. …The Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing PMI saw its second straight month of expansion in February, following 26 consecutive months of contraction. …Comments from various sectors all reveal an intense concern over the upcoming tariffs. One anonymous manufacturer of transportation equipment noted that “customers are pausing on new orders as a result of uncertainty regarding tariffs.” …These tariff-induced fears have darkened businesses’ outlook for the year ahead, a quick reversal from January’s jubilance.

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Lumber Prices Hit 2022 High as Trump Investigates Foreign Imports

By Ilena Peng
Bloomberg News
March 3, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

Lumber futures rose to the highest in more than two and a half years after President Donald Trump ordered an investigation into shipments of the commodity into the U.S. Trump on March 1 asked the Commerce Department to investigate the national security harm posed by lumber imports. Those shipments largely come from Canada, which is already facing the threat of 25% tariffs on its goods. The most-active contract in Chicago rose as much as 3.5% to the highest since August 2022. Shares of some Canadian lumber companies slumped on March 3, with Interfor Corp. dropping as much as 9.9%, the most since June 2022. Canfor Corp. fell as much as 3.5%.

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KP Tissue reports Q4, 2024 net loss of $13.7 million

KP Tissue Inc.
March 5, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, Canada East

MISSISSAUGA, Ontario — KP Tissue reported its Q4, 2024 and full year 2024 financial and operational results of KPT and Kruger Products. Highlights include: Revenue was $539.6 million in Q4 2024 compared to $482.3 million in Q4 2023, an increase of $57.3 million or 11.9%; and Net loss was $13.7 million in Q4 2024 compared to net income of $16.5 million in Q4 2023, a decrease of $30.2 million. …Kruger Products Full Year 2024 Financial Highlights include: Revenue was $2,049.9 million in Fiscal 2024 compared to $1,873.0 million in Fiscal 2023, an increase of $176.9 million or 9.4%; and Net income was $23.8 million in Fiscal 2024 compared to a net loss of $5.3 million in Fiscal 2023, an improvement in net income of $29.1 million.

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US homebuilders face a supply chain snarl from tariff battles

By Thomas Seal and Prashant Gopal
Bloomberg in The Business Times
March 7, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

President Trump’s push for tariffs on Canada – and his subsequent delays and exemptions – are frustrating efforts to import lumber from the country and putting the building supply market on edge. The back-and-forth over whether tariffs will be imposed or not has businesses unable to trust price stability, and risks backing up the supply chain for US homebuilders. The reluctance to pay a tariff, which could be changed or cancelled any day, “freezes these markets up,” according to Don Magruder, who runs a building material company based in Florida. …Andy Rielly, president of Rielly Lumber in British Columbia, said he’s been in talks with long-term customers on how to divvy up the extra costs, but not everyone has been able to strike deals. …The US’s National Association of Home Builders chairman Buddy Hughes said tariffs risk worsening housing affordability. …The US Lumber Coalition said that lumber prices are only a fraction of homebuilding costs.

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Why the US National Association of Home Builders is hyper focused on tariffs

By Vincent Salandro
Builder Online
March 5, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

The Trump administration is moving at a record pace on a varied list of priorities, but insiders hope a focus on housing will remain at the top of the agenda in 2025. With housing affordability a central focus, bills addressing zoning, permitting, workforce development, and taxes are taking shape. …Despite all these areas of concern, one concern looms largest – tariffs. Approximately 22% of the products used in the average home are imported from China, 70% of lumber used in construction is sourced from Canada, and Mexico is the largest provider of gypsum. …The NAHB has advocated for an exemption for building materials, and the association continues to engage in conversations with lawmakers about the harmful effects these tariffs could have on housing affordability. NAHB’s Karl Eckhart says “These Canadian and Mexican tariffs are going to have a direct and painful impact on the price to build a house.”

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Wood, Paper & Green Building

How Canada’s planning, design and construction industries can adapt to the Trump tariffs

By Lloyd Alter, Architect
Carbon Upfront!
March 5, 2025
Category: Wood, Paper & Green Building
Region: Canada

Planning, design and construction must adapt to this new world of tariffs and trade barriers. Canada has already imposed its own tariffs on products made in the US… but it is not just about materials and products; we must change what we build and where we build it. Some ideas for a Patriotic Canadian Built Environment: 1) More Mass Timber. Nordic, Element 5, Structurecraft and others have made major investments in mass timber, much of which is exported south. If the industry is to survive, we need a massive pivot to mass timber construction in Canada. …2) Make Canadian Wood Fibre Insulation. TimberHP in Maine has shown how a pulp and paper-based timber economy can pivot to insulation. …3) Electrify everything. Canada is an electricity powerhouse. Make every building Passivhaus to reduce demand and increase resilience. …4) Restructure from north-south to east-west. …5) More renovation and retrofit. …6) Design for a Sufficiency Economy. …7) Ban Sprawl.

 

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Canada’s counter tariffs bring procurement complications

The REMI Network
March 5, 2025
Category: Wood, Paper & Green Building
Region: Canada, United States

Procurement complications have arisen throughout Canada as businesses grapple with a long list of products from the US now to be subject to a 25% import tax. For the buildings sector, that brings supply chain challenges and added costs for construction, property/facilities management and operations with new surcharges attached to a broad range of structural materials, equipment and furnishings from the US. …The first round of Canada’s retaliatory tariffs are now in force. A subsequent roster of designated products, estimated at roughly $125 billion, has been posted for advance consultation. The new expanded list of Canadian countermeasures proposes tariffs on: key metals such as steel, iron, aluminum, copper, nickel, tin, titanium and zinc; stone such as granite, marble, travertine and sandstone; cement and concrete; gypsum and plasters; glass, ceramics and brick; rubber; plastics; and minerals and chemical formulations.

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US Investigation on lumber may include paper products, furniture and cabinetry

JDSupra
March 3, 2025
Category: Wood, Paper & Green Building
Region: Canada, United States

The full scope of the new investigation is not yet certain. The Executive Order defines the term “timber” to refer to wood that has not been processed and defines the term “lumber” as wood that has been processed, including wood that has been milled and cut into boards or planks. The Executive Order provides three examples of derivative products (paper products, furniture, and cabinetry), but does not provide a complete list and additional derivative products are likely to covered by the investigation. …A report outlining the following: (1) its findings as to whether imports of timber, lumber, and their derivative products threaten national security; (2) recommendations on actions to mitigate such threats, including potential tariffs, export controls, or incentives to increase domestic production; and (3) policy recommendations for strengthening the United States timber and lumber supply chain through strategic investments and permitting reforms. 

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Forestry

Trump’s Canadian tariffs include lumber. He is pushing to cut down American trees instead.

By Laura Paddison
CNN Climate
March 6, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, United States

President Trump is promising to unleash the US timber industry by allowing companies to raze swaths of federally protected national forests. …His order — which calls for the ramping up of the domestic timber production to avoid reliance on “foreign producers” — was followed by sweeping 25% tariffs on Canadian products, including lumber. …However, it’s more complex than simply swapping out Canadian imports for homegrown timber, said industry experts. …Meanwhile, environmental groups say clearcutting national forests will pollute the air and water and exacerbate climate change. Anna Kelly, White House deputy press secretary, referred to multiple organizations that have released statements of support about opening up federal land for logging, including the American Loggers Council, the American Forest Resource Council and the Forest Landowners Association. Increasing logging on federal lands would increase the supply of logs for US industry, said FEA’s Rocky Goodnow… but it won’t replace Canadian imports in the near term.

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In support of clear-cutting. I would say no.

By Brian LaPointe, Forestry Consultant
Castanet
March 7, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

Are clear-cuts in forestry bad? I would say no. Nature demands that there is a mosaic of age classes to support conservation of biodiversity. …Wildfire “clearcuts” following insect invasion, disease, wind or old old trees aging out in many forests. …Logging and tree planting have proven logged clear-cuts are a gentler treatment for refreshing forests when compared to traumatic wildfires. On top of the biodiversity and conservation benefits, we get socioeconomic benefits of forest products and employment and resulting government services and infrastructure. …In certain areas where trees are shade tolerant, such as in Interior Douglas Fir areas, various types of selection may be prescribed to fit the ecology of the site. Biodiversity provides for all species in a mosiac of different types across the landscape. Look outside, it is not one continuous environment.

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Expansion of US Timber Production — Impact on the Forest Products Industry

ResourceWise Forest Products Blog
March 4, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States

President Trump signed an executive order titled “Immediate Expansion of American Timber Production. The impact on the forest products industry include:

  • Improved forest management practices could reduce the risk of wildfires—a critical concern for many regions. Thinning overgrown forests can improve overall ecosystem health and resilience.
  • Potential Timber Price Pressure: Industry experts caution that flooding the market with additional timber could drive prices even lower. 
  • Economic Viability of Forest Management: Thinning for the sake of forest health can often be uneconomical. The Forest Service and BLM must implement strategies that make these operations financially feasible.
  • Bioenergy Considerations: The order does reference bioenergy, which could play a role in utilizing lower-grade timber and forest residues. 
  • Uncertainty about Industry Investments: Another concern is the temporary nature of this directive. The lack of long-term policy stability makes it difficult for industry players to justify significant capital investments in new mills or processing capacity. 

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Trump orders call to expand timber production. What does it mean for Oregon?

By Zach Urness
The Salem Statesman Journal
March 5, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

The Trump administration’s executive orders calling for the “immediate expansion” of timber production on federal lands appear poised to kick off a new chapter in how Oregon’s vast forests are managed — but what that will actually look like remains to be seen. Trump issued two executive orders last Saturday: the first to boost timber production and the second to address wood product imports. …The order gives public lands agencies 30 days to issue guidance on ways to increase timber production, reduce delivery times and “decrease timber supply uncertainty.” Timber groups back Trump’s plan, environmental groups call it ‘reckless’. …Timber groups and rural lawmakers said that in addition to increased harvests of board feet, the orders could help manage overstocked forests and reduce the threat of wildfire. …The threat of lawsuits, and how the orders will be implemented, weighted heavy on the mind of Oregon’s sole Republican member of Congress.

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How I’m setting Washington state forests on a better management path

By Dave Upthegrove, Washington State Commissioner of Public Lands
The Seattle Times
March 4, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

Dave Upthegrove

Last month, in my first act as commissioner of public lands, I paused the sale of certain structurally complex, mature forests on state lands. These are older, second-growth forests that have spent almost a century regrowing naturally into diverse stands. …At the Department of Natural Resources, our existing plans and policies envision restoring and maintaining 10% to 15% of the forest landscape in Western Washington as structurally complex mature forests. My goal is to meet this important habitat objective sooner, ensuring the long-term sustainability of our forests and supporting our state’s forest products industry. I’m not setting our forests aside. I’m setting them on a better path. …My plan, once we have new criteria in place, will simply defer some sales while prioritizing others until we reach our habitat goals. In doing so, we will hit these habitat goals sooner — while enabling us to achieve the kind of long-term sustainability we all want.

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Lawmakers, loggers long for Trump-driven revival of Wyoming’s dying timber industry

By Mike Koshmrl
The Wyoming Tribune Eagle
March 5, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US East

CHEYENNE, Wyoming — Rep. John Eklund thought back a half century, to an era when commercial sawmills processing Wyoming timber abounded and logging was the Equality State’s third-largest industry. “We should be able to get back to that,” the Cheyenne Republican said Tuesday morning in the Wyoming Capitol. …Commercial logging in national forests around the country, including Wyoming, has fallen off dramatically from its heyday. Cut and sold timber has stagnated at a fraction of what it was from the 1950s through the 1980s for three decades running, U.S. Department of Agriculture data shows. …Trump’s order isn’t the only prospective policy change afoot that could revitalize commercially cutting American forests. The “Fix Our Forests Act,” has passed the U.S. House of Representatives and moved to the U.S. Senate. The bill, proving divisive in big commercial timber country, would further expedite environmental reviews — and could potentially have immediate impacts in Wyoming.

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Trump says tariffs on Mexico and Canada ‘could go up,’ declines to rule out possible recession

By Auzinea Bacon
CNN Business
March 9, 2025
Category: General
Region: Canada, United States

Screenshot

President Donald Trump said tariffs on some goods from Canada and Mexico planned for April 2 “could go up,” and would not predict whether the United States will have a recession in 2025. On Fox News Sunday morning, Trump said reciprocal tariffs would go into effect on April 2 and the one-month reprieve granted to Mexico and Canada was a “little bit of a break.” …But Trump has continued to make changes to tariff plans. On Friday, he threatened new tariffs on Canadian lumber and dairy products. Those tariffs could go into effect on Monday. …Meanwhile, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that Trump’s promised 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports will go into effect Wednesday and tariffs on Canadian dairy and lumber products will “start on April 2.” …Lutnick indicated the tariffs will continue until Trump is “comfortable” with how both countries are handling the flow of fentanyl.

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