Prime Minister Carney announced measures to help protect and strengthen the sectors most affected by U.S. tariffs. …The focus of the liquidity initiatives are to reduce bankruptcy or closure risk for leveraged or high-cost lumber mills through initiatives such as the BDC Softwood Lumber Guarantee Program… and enhancing EI worksharing and training grants. The demand support initiatives include working with railway companies to cut freight rates, prioritizing shovel-ready, multiyear projects that use Canadian wood products and creating demand for Canadian Wood products. The structural initiatives include a “forestry concierge” at Natural Resources Canada to help mills navigate loans and programs as well as an industry-led transformation task force to expand, diversify and identify opportunities and support affected communities. …The measures will help the sector but the bigger picture is really about duties and a supply/demand balance that has traditionally been difficult to obtain given this industry’s capital intensity. [to access the full story a Globe & Mail subscription is required]
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.2% on a year-over-year basis in October, down from a 2.4% increase in September. The all-items CPI decelerated largely due to gasoline prices, which fell at a faster pace year over year in October (-9.4%) compared with September (-4.1%). Excluding gasoline, the CPI rose 2.6% in October, matching the increase in September. …The CPI rose 0.2% month over month in October. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, the CPI was up 0.1%. …Consumers paid more year over year in October for homeowners’ home and mortgage insurance (+6.8%) and passenger vehicle insurance premiums (+7.3%). Among the provinces, prices rose the most in Alberta for both measures, with a 13.7% increase in homeowners’ home and mortgage insurance and a 17.8% increase in passenger vehicle insurance premiums.
BURNABY, BC — Interfor reported its Q3, 2025 results. The company recorded a net loss of $215.8 million compared to net earnings of $11.1 million in Q2’25 and a net loss of $105.7 million in Q3’24. Adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $183.8 million on sales of $689.3 million in Q3’25 versus Adjusted EBITDA of $17.2 million on sales of $780.5 million in Q2’25 and an Adjusted EBITDA loss of $22.0 million on sales of $692.7 million in Q3’24. Lumber production of 912 million board feet was down 23 million board feet versus the preceding quarter. This decline largely reflects the Company’s announcement on September 4, 2025, to temporarily curtail production. …Weak lumber market conditions were reflected in Interfor’s average selling price of $618 per mfbm, down $66 per mfbm versus Q2’25. …Interfor’s strategy of maintaining a diversified portfolio of operations in multiple regions allows the Company to both reduce risk and maximize returns on capital over the business cycle.
NEW YORK — Mercer International reported third quarter 2025 Operating EBITDA of negative $28.1 million, a decrease from positive $50.5 million in the same quarter of 2024 and negative $20.9 million in the second quarter of 2025. In the third quarter of 2025, net loss was $80.8 million compared to $17.6 million in the same quarter of 2024 and $86.1 million in the second quarter of 2025. Mr. Juan Carlos Bueno, CEO, stated: “In the third quarter of 2025, persistent global economic and trade uncertainties, fiber scarcity in Germany as well as the impact of pulp substitution accelerated the decline in pulp market demand and pricing, which negatively impacted our operating results and contributed to a $20.4 million non-cash inventory impairment charge in the quarter.
VANCOUVER, BC — Canfor Corporation reported its third quarter of 2025 results. The Company reported an operating loss of $208 million and a net loss of $172 million. …Canfor’s CEO, Susan Yurkovich, stated: “The ongoing global economic and trade uncertainty, in conjunction with punitive US softwood lumber duties, led to persistently weak market conditions and subdued demand across all of our operating regions during the third quarter of 2025. …For the lumber segment, the operating loss was $182.2 million for the third quarter of 2025, compared to the previous quarter’s operating loss of $229.2 million. …For the 
The US Census Bureau announced the following value put in place construction statistics. …Construction spending during August 2025 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,169.5 billion, 0.2 percent (±0.7 percent) above the revised July estimate of $2,165.0 billion. The August figure is 1.6 percent (±1.5 percent) below the August 2024 estimate of $2,205.3 billion. During the first eight months of this year, construction spending amounted to $1,438.0 billion, 1.8 percent (±1.0 percent) below the $1,463.7 billion for the same period in 2024. …Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,652.1 billion, 0.3 percent (±0.5 percent) above the revised July estimate of $1,647.5 billion. …In August, the estimated seasonally adjusted annual rate of public construction spending was $517.3 billion, virtually unchanged from (±1.2 percent) the revised July estimate of $517.5 billion. 
The Supreme Court could decide on the legality of many of the Trump administration’s tariffs within months, but the ruling won’t impact many of the administration’s levies on imported construction materials such as lumber, steel, aluminum and copper. …Many construction materials imported into the US will remain subject to hefty tariffs regardless of how the Supreme Court rules. Some homebuilding leaders warn that home prices could increase by thousands of dollars beginning next year. …Cristian deRitis, at Moody’s Analytics, said “While importers of other building materials might experience some relief, this could be temporary. The administration may choose to expand the Section 232 tariffs as a fallback strategy if the reciprocal tariffs are invalidated,” deRitis said. …There hasn’t yet been an increase in lumber prices, but NAHB Chairman Buddy Hughes forecasted that the lumber tariffs “will create additional headwinds for an already challenged housing market by further raising construction and renovation costs.”
The latest Global Wood Trends report – Softwood Lumber – Tariffs, Turbulence and New Trade Flows to 2030 – says from 2000 to 2024, European lumber output grew slowly at 0.4% per year but still outpaced domestic demand growth. This allowed Europe to expand exports overseas, a trend likely to continue as Russian and Canadian shipments remain constrained. …Production has expanded faster than demand, with exports rising from 10% of output in 2009 to 19% in 2024. Growth has been concentrated in Northern and Central Europe — led by Sweden, Finland, Germany, and Austria — where harvest levels are now close to structural limits. …Global Wood Trends concluded that Europe’s lumber market is entering a period of tightening supply and gradually recovering demand. While production growth is expected to shift toward Northern and Eastern Europe, overall expansion will be limited by structural harvest constraints in Central Europe. Stronger domestic consumption, combined with potentially higher US demand will likely support higher prices for logs and lumber. 
Sweden’s Green Business Index declined in the fourth quarter of 2025 as forestry and crop farming weakened, according to data from the Federation of Swedish Farmers. The total index fell to 100.7 from 106.5 in the previous quarter, marking a broad slowdown across several agricultural industries. The forestry subindex recorded the largest fall, dropping by 19 points to 97.6, its lowest level since spring 2020. The decline reflects weaker export demand, lower prices for sawn wood and pulp, and a soft U.S. dollar that reduced export revenues. New tariffs on Swedish wood products to the United States and a slower global economy further limited profitability. LRF reports that sawmills and pulp producers have experienced tightening margins, while forest owners face lower returns and are reducing harvesting activity. 
Japan’s housing starts rose 3.2% year-on-year in October 2025, defying market expectations of a 5.2% decline and reversing a 7.3% fall in September. It was the first annual increase since March, driven by rebounds in rented units (4.2% vs -8.2%), built-for-sale homes (14.8% vs -8.3%), and prefabricated housing (9.2% vs -0.4%). However, weakness persisted in owned homes (-8.2% vs -5.6%), while issued units slumped sharply (-36.3% vs 53.7%) and two-by-four homes also turned negative (-3.8% vs 2.1%). [END]
MOSCOW — Russia’s forestry sector could face a deep contraction next year as sanctions tighten, interest rates remain high and the ruble stays strong, Deputy Industry and Trade Minister Mikhail Yurin said Thursday. Addressing a Federation Council committee, Yurin said the industry has entered a “downward trend,” with the worst-case scenario pointing to a 20-30% drop in output in 2026. The ministry expects already falling production to continue declining into 2027 if geopolitical conditions worsen, Interfax quoted Yurin as saying. According to the Economic Development Ministry, wood-processing is among the weakest performers in Russia’s industrial landscape. Output fell 4.3% in the third quarter and the slump accelerated to 7.8% in October. …He said Russian timber exports have fallen by more than 20% since before the war, from $12.5 billion in 2021 to to $9.8 billion. Logging volumes are expected to hit a four-year low of 182 million cubic meters this year.
China’s recent environmental policy shift is transforming the global recycled pulp market. After years of tightening restrictions on solid waste imports, China has now expanded its scope even further by banning certain types of recycled pulp. This development highlights the country’s ongoing goal to eliminate “foreign garbage” and improve the quality and sustainability of its locally produced paper. …In January 2021, China fully implemented the National Sword policy — a sweeping ban on most solid waste imports, including unsorted and recycled paper. …In October 2025, China took its environmental agenda a step further by targeting specific types of recycled pulp — particularly those processed through dry-milling techniques. …The new restrictions have rippled across the global paper recycling supply chain. Exporters that previously relied on China’s massive demand are scrambling to find alternative markets, while Chinese paper producers face delays and shortages in pulp supply.
The global pulp and paper industry is entering a new period of uncertainty after several turbulent years marked by supply chain shocks, rising costs, and shifting market dynamics. While packaging demand continues to grow, analysts warn that the rapid build-up of new capacity could soon trigger a global oversupply of fibre-based products. According to a recent market analysis, the global paper and pulp market was valued at 500 billion USD in 2024 and is expected to reach 650 billion USD by 2033, representing an annual growth rate of around four per cent. The trend, however, hides deep structural divides – strong expansion in packaging and tissue paper, but continued decline in printing and writing grades. …Analysts agree that the coming decade will determine whether the paper and pulp sector can balance growth with sustainability – or whether the combination of overcapacity, energy costs, and environmental constraints will usher in a new era of consolidation.