Daily News for November 12, 2025

Today’s Takeaway

Canada-US Trade: Unravelling Misinformation in the Lumber Wars

The Tree Frog Forestry News
November 12, 2025
Category: Today's Takeaway

Veteran analyst Russ Taylor weighs in on the Canada–US lumber dispute — separating fact from fiction amid an era of protectionism. In related news: the US Lumber Coalition responded to Tree Frog’s op-ed without addressing the source of past bias; and Canada highlights budget investments in the forest sector. Meanwhile: RBC says PotlatchDeltic’s merger with Rayonier will dilute the benefit of lumber duties; GreenFirst reports Q3 loss of $57 million, and more on West Fraser’s mill closures from Augusta, Georgia.

In Forestry/Climate news: the Fraser Institute says BC should focus on actual environmental problems; the Sierra Club says BC’s feast on big, old trees is approaching its end; the Washington forestland owners’ riparian-buffer battle; Oregon offices say Trump’s policies increase wildfire risk; and a new study says climate change expands wildfire dangers worldwide.

Finally, BC-focused documentaries in the news address wildfires, flooding and old-growth.

Kelly McCloskey, Tree Frog News Editor

Read More

Opinion / EdiTOADial

Canada-US Softwood Lumber Trade: When Trade Becomes Tactics

By Russ Taylor
Russ Taylor Global
November 12, 2025
Category: Opinion / EdiTOADial
Region: Canada, United States

Russ Taylor

Over the course of my fifty-year career, I have never seen so much misinformation, distortion and political theatre as in 2025. …The recent surge in rhetoric and written attacks aimed at Canada and its softwood lumber industry has been both amusing and perplexing. …The momentum of misinformation continues, with US protectionism and the unrealistic notion of self-sufficiency in softwood lumber production being vigorously promoted. The underlying strategy is clear: penalize all exporters with tariffs to reduce imports, leverage US Trade Law to escalate Canadian duties, inflate US lumber prices, and thus force US lumber buyers to subsidize domestic timber and lumber producers. In this climate, free or fair trade has become undesirable for American lumber companies, especially since the burden of higher-priced lumber—both domestic and imported due to excessive tariffs—is ultimately borne by consumers, home builders and renovators.

US Trade Law has evolved into a permanent tool against Canadian lumber imports, relying on complex methodology to produce calculated duties. Paired with the current US tariff policy, these mechanisms serve to work against all lumber exporters to the US. …While hard facts are the foundation of sound analysis, the intentionally opaque nature of the duty and tariff system makes accessing reliable data difficult. …In conclusion, I urge people to revisit President Ronald Reagan’s 1987 speech on free trade and tariffs, as well as the reports of numerous economists who oppose tariffs. The United States will continue to require billions of board feet of Canadian and other imported lumber. Tariffs will only heighten price volatility and drive prices higher. Fair trade stands to benefit both consumers and producers on both sides of the border, whereas protectionism will result in distinct winners and losers.

Read More

Editor’s Note: Following “Rigged by Design?” — Clarifying Commerce’s Method

By Kelly McCloskey, Editor
The Tree Frog Forestry News
November 12, 2025
Category: Opinion / EdiTOADial
Region: Canada, United States

Following Tree Frog News’ November 7 op-ed, Rigged by Design? How Method and Policy Keep U.S. Lumber Duties High, the US Lumber Coalition responded (Understanding Why Duties Persist — Not Because of Arbitrary Math, But Because of Past and Ongoing Harm) noting that the Department of Commerce did not use “zeroing” in its latest anti-dumping calculation. The note below clarifies what Commerce actually applied and what remains unresolved.

Following publication, the US Lumber Coalition pointed out that the Department of Commerce did not use “zeroing” in its latest anti-dumping calculation. In reviewing the record, Tree Frog News found that Commerce applied a differential-pricing framework, which uses statistical tests to determine comparison methods.¹ However, a 2020 WTO panel found that this framework could produce mathematically similar distortions to zeroing — in effect, “replicating the problem without using the name.”² but because the most recent review record is largely redacted and the WTO Appellate Body remains inactive, there has been no external review of how this method performed in the most recent review.

The more important question, then, is whether the procedural change has addressed the sources of bias identified in past WTO rulings — specifically in how Commerce calculates anti-dumping margins, measures subsidies, and selects its review periods — which continue to produce duty levels that appear inconsistent with actual market conditionsTree Frog News will continue to report as new information emerges.

Read More

Business & Politics

Minister Hodgson and Secretary of State Fuhr highlight budget investments in Canada’s forest sector

By Government of Canada, Natural Resources Canada
Cision Newswire
November 10, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: Canada

CASTLEGAR, BC – …The rules-based international order and the trading system that powered Canada’s prosperity for decades are being reshaped — hurting companies, displacing workers and causing major disruption and upheaval for Canadians. Today, the Minister of Energy and Natural Resources, and the Secretary of State… [met to] highlight Budget 2025’s Buy Canadian Strategy and investments in Canada’s forest sector. The Government of Canada is helping the forest sector and softwood lumber industry transform to remain competitive …while keeping pace with increased need for housing and major infrastructure construction. These include: Up to $700 million over two years on a cash basis, available now, in loan guarantees … to help ensure companies [can] maintain and restructure their operations during this period of transformation; $500 million over three years on a cash basis, starting in 2026–27, to renew and expand existing Natural Resources Canada’s forest sector programs…; and Prioritizing the adoption of Canadian materials — including mass timber and softwood lumber…

Related Coverage:

Read More

Augusta mill closing: Canadian timber company shutting down off Doug Barnard Parkway

By Joe Hotchkiss
The Augusta Chronicle
November 10, 2025
Category: Business & Politics
Region: United States, US East

An Augusta lumber mill is closing permanently. The West Fraser Timber mill is expected to shutter by the end of 2025, putting 130 employees out of jobs, the company announced. “The closure of the Augusta lumber mill is a result of challenging lumber demand, and the loss of economically viable residual outlets, which combined has compromised the mill’s long-term viability,” the company said. …West Fraser said it “expects to mitigate the impact on affected employees by providing work opportunities at other company operations, where available.” The Canadian company’s lumber mill operations closest to Augusta are in the Georgia cities of Blackshear, Dudley, and Fitzgerald, all at least 100 miles away. West Fraser also runs facilities in Cordele and in Allendale, South Carolina, that produce oriented strand board. …“The announcement is difficult news for employees, their families, suppliers, and the community,” Georgia Forestry Association’s Tim Lowrimore said.

Read More

Finance & Economics

GreenFirst reports Q3, 2025 net loss of $57.4 million

GreenFirst Forest Products Inc.
November 11, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, Canada East

TORONTO —  GreenFirst Forest Products announced results for the third quarter and three quarter ended September 27, 2025. Highlights include: Q3 2025 net sales from operations was $70.2 million, compared to $84.5 million in Q2, 2025. Q3 2025 net loss from continuing operations was $57.4 million compared to net loss of $9.6 million in Q2 2025. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations for Q3 2025 was negative $47.2 million, compared to negative $5.2 million in Q2 2025. Benchmark prices saw decreases during the quarter which resulted in an average realized lumber prices of $695/mfbm for Q3 2025. …“Q3 2025 results were impacted by a weak lumber market and ongoing uncertainty surrounding higher duty rates and tariffs,” said Joel Fournier, GreenFirst’s Chief Executive Officer.

Read More

State-Level Analysis of Canadian Softwood Lumber Trade

By Jesse Wade
NAHB Eye on Housing
November 11, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

International trade remains a source of volatility across the building materials sector, particularly in the softwood lumber market. …The average duty rate on Canadian softwood lumber entering the US has tripled, now hovering around 45%. These elevated trade barriers pose additional challenges for home builders who rely on Canadian lumber to meet construction demand. In 2024, Canadian softwood lumber exports to the U.S. totaled $5.1 billion, accounting for approximately 74% of the total value of softwood lumber imports. Canada remains the dominant supplier. Trade data from the U.S. Census Bureau enables tracking of import destinations at the state level. …This analysis invites the question of where Canadian softwood lumber imports are ultimately headed within the United States. In 2024, Washington state was the top destination, receiving $560.1 million worth of imports. Texas followed closely behind with $451.7 million, reflecting strong demand in the southern housing market. On the other end of the spectrum.

Read More

PotlatchDeltic’s Merger With Rayonier to Dilute Benefit From Canadian Lumber Duties, US Tariffs. RBC Says

Fidelity.com
November 10, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States, US West

PotlatchDeltic is set to benefit from rising softwood lumber duties on Canadian lumber and US tariffs on imports from all countries, but its pending merger with Rayonier will dilute the impact, RBC Capital Markets analysts said in a Monday note. “We expect some straightforward benefits of scale as the company comes together with Rayonier, although we think it will take some time for an inflection in timber demand to play out,” analysts said. Despite some potential headwinds on loss of incentives, the company expects to increase its solar development land area to 40,000 to 45,000 acres by the end of the year, analysts said. …RBC is positive on the company’s ramp-up at the Waldo sawmill and thinks its lumber business is running well, but noted that a soft commodity backdrop has been unsupportive. RBC downgraded the stock’s rating to sector perform from outperform.

Read More

Wood, Paper & Green Building

WoodWorks BC presents new series of Mass Timber Business Case Studies

WoodWorks BC
November 12, 2025
Category: Wood, Paper & Green Building
Region: Canada West

WoodWorks BC is pleased to present a new series of Mass Timber Business Case Studies that offers a detailed look at the financial and strategic realities of building with mass timber today. Drawing from three BC projects –Catalyst’s North Shore Neighbourhood House, Faction Projects’ The Exchange and Wesgroup’s River District 19.1 – we break down how each team approached risk, cost, and schedule to position mass timber as a competitive, strategic choice. The findings combine quantitative analysis with firsthand insights to illustrate the conditions that drive success and where challenges can arise along the way. Developers, investors, and project decision-makers will find practical takeaways to inform future projects and investment strategies. Be among the first to explore how these groundbreaking projects are informing the evolving business case for mass timber in Canada.

Read More

FABRIC Mass Timber planning California’s first large-scale mass timber factory in Redding

Action News Now
November 10, 2025
Category: Wood, Paper & Green Building
Region: US West

REDDING, Calif. – A groundbreaking effort is underway in Redding where FABRIC Mass Timber and WRNS Studio are working together to plan the state’s first large-scale mass timber factory. Officials say the innovative facility will transform wood removed from wildfire fuel into sustainable building materials. FABRIC’s mission is to use advanced technologies to create climate-positive materials while generating manufacturing jobs in Northern California. The 200,000-square-foot factory, designed by WRNS Studio, will serve as a hub for design consulting, engineering, and manufacturing. “We have a full ecosystem ready to change the way we build. An experienced team. Design and engineering support from inspiration to installation. Advanced manufacturing and fabrication facilities that produce CLT and GLT to exacting specifications. Supply chain tracing to document sustainability and wildfire reduction efforts. Partnerships to train and develop a workforce that will frame new opportunities for our state,” said FABRIC Founder and CEO Scott Ehlert.

Read More

Fire Destroys Under-Construction Apartment Project in Utah

By Jim Parsons
ENR Mountain States
November 10, 2025
Category: Wood, Paper & Green Building
Region: United States, US West

SALT LAKE CITY, Utah — Investigators are searching for the cause of a fire that engulfed an under-construction apartment project in Lehi, Utah, south of Salt Lake City. The 304-unit multi-family complex, called Alta Vista, broke ground earlier this year. …Flames at a four-story wood-framed building were first reported at 10:17 am Sunday, Nov. 9, by the project’s on-site security guard. The fire quickly spread to the rest of the building, most of which eventually collapsed, according to a statement from the city of Lehi. …A statement from Wood Partners read: “The project was under construction and did not have any residents. There were no fatalities in the fire…. We are working closely with local officials through the investigation, cleanup and recovery processes.” …Fire department officials say it may take several days before they can determine the blaze’s cause and point of origin.

Read More

Forestry

B.C.’s century-long feast on big, old trees has sent forests into freefall

By Zoë Yunker
The Narwhal
November 12, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada

BC’s NDP government has recently lent a steadying hand to its beleaguered forestry sector, pausing stumpage fees, expediting permits and investing in mills to prevent its looming fall — but some say to no avail. “Why does it keep getting worse?” Prince George-Mackenzie Conservative MLA Kiel Giddens asked during the spring legislative session. …A new report commissioned by the Sierra Club BC points to a theory: BC’s supply of unlogged, high-value trees that industry has long relied on is dwindling, rendering short-term fixes and freebies inadequate. …Pressure on BC’s most at-risk forests appears to be intensifying. The report says the province’s efforts to temporarily pause logging in rare forests through old-growth deferrals have failed. Instead, BC forests were four times more likely to be logged inside recommended deferral zones than outside over the past four years. …The report suggests BC’s century-long feast on big, old trees is approaching its end.

Read More

B.C. government should focus on province’s actual environmental problems

By Kenneth Green, Senior Fellow
The Fraser Institute
November 10, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada West

Kenneth Green

Premier David Eby claims to be a true and faithful protector of the environment. But reality, he’s not. …Finally, the B.C. government has enacted over time various policies to reduce the extent of clear-cutting, with buy-in from the forestry industry and First Nations. But governments have not made these agreements work. …according to conservation group Wildsight, the “B.C. NDP’s momentum towards a ‘new, holistic approach’ to the management of old-growth forests has slowed almost to the point of regression. …UBC researchers agree. …The need to stop this practice is ‘urgent,’ said Younes Alila, a hydrologist and professor in the Faculty of Forestry, because of the mounting problems caused by human-caused climate change such as drought, flooding and wildfires.” …Before obsessing about a new pipeline project, to be built safely with new technologies and new safety protocols, perhaps he should look more closely at his province and fix its glaring eco-problems.

Read More

Trouble in the Headwaters – Film Screening and Panel Discussion

Tourism Golden
November 12, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada West

Trouble in the Headwaters, a 25-minute documentary by Daniel J. Pierce, is coming to Golden! This film sheds light on the disastrous 2018 flood event in Grand Forks, BC, and features UBC forest hydrology and watershed management Professor Dr. Younes Alila. Both Daniel and Younes will be present to introduce the film and answer questions afterwards as part of a panel discussion with local experts and Wildsight’s forestry team. Join us to explore the complex connection between clearcut logging and the increasing frequency of floods, landslides and droughts across our province. 

Read More

C̕awak ʔqin Forestry questioned for fires

By David Wiwchar
Nanaimo News Now
November 10, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada, Canada West

A First Nations joint-venture forestry company is under fire for its burning practices. C̕awak ʔqin Forestry recently lit up a series of burn piles only a few metres from where a local company turns post harvest wood waste into much needed hogfuel for the Catalyst paper mill. Under provincial guidelines, forest harvesters are supposed to look for grinding or chipping opportunities ahead of burning. Keith Wyton from the local air quality council says local governments should push foresters to not burn. …Forest companies are allowed to pile and burn slash at this time of year, but Wyton wants the BC Government to step in. …C̕awak ʔqin General Manager Geoff Payne said they were operating within provincial guidelines and were permitted to burn. C̕awak ʔqin Forestry is a joint venture between Western Forest Products and the Huu-ay-aht First Nation.

Read More

Omineca residents invited to help guide future of forest stewardship

By the Ministry of Forests
Government of British Columbia
November 10, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada West

Local residents are invited to share their input on the development of the Mackenzie forest landscape plan (FLP), which will guide long-term forest management in the area. “This is an opportunity for Mackenzie residents to share what matters most about your forests,” said Ravi Parmar, Minister of Forests. “Forests are part of who we are and your voices guide how they’re managed.” People can share their thoughts through a survey, open from Monday, Nov. 10 until Dec. 22, 2025. …FLPs are intended to be developed in partnership with First Nations to ensure meaningful participation in forestry planning and decision-making. Tsay Keh Dene Nation has partnered with the Province on the Mackenzie FLP. Engagement with other First Nations in the area continues. Community engagement is also a key part of every FLP, ensuring everyone in the area has an opportunity to be heard. 

Read More

Documentary offering solutions to B.C.’s wildfire crisis to screen in Salmon Arm

By Lachlan Labere
The Salmon Arm Observer
November 12, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada West

Murray Wilson believes active forest management is crucial to reducing greenhouse emissions. The connection between the two is wildfires. “If you can reduce wildfires, just on carbon alone – your CO2 emissions – you’re doing a good thing,” said the retired Vernon forester… For the past year, Wilson has been sharing this message, about the need for active forest management, with residents and politicians through his new and first film, the documentary B.C. is Burning. …The Shuswap Climate Action Society, Forsite Consultants Ltd. and Canoe Forest Products will present the film in Salmon Arm on Nov. 26, with a Q&A moderated by Salmon Arm Mayor Alan Harrison. …Wilson will be screening the documentary at the B.C. Legislature. He said government officials, including B.C. Wildfire assistant deputy minister Rob Schweitzer, featured in the film, have taken part in past screenings and question periods. He views this as a sign the documentary is resonating with the Province.

Read More

Film fuels biologist call to help protect unique B.C. old-growth wilderness

By Evert Lindquist
The Cowichan Valley Citizen
November 10, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: Canada West

Biologist Amber Peters and the Valhalla Wilderness Society (VWS) screened their highly-anticipated film, Safe Haven: The Rainbow-Jordan Wilderness, about the biodiverse and nearly-untouched inland temperate rainforest just north of Revelstoke. “This is the best example of a fully-intact inland temperate rainforest,” Peters said. … The Rainbow-Jordan is likely “the largest pocket of intact temperate rainforest in the region” around Revelstoke, Wildsight Revelstoke branch manager Reanne Harvey said. “The forest itself has been in that space for over a thousand years.” … The 30-minute film, produced in collaboration with Damien Gillis, advocates for the B.C. government to protect these expanses of hard-to-access and undisturbed old-growth from logging as a Class A provincial park. Unlike an old-growth protected area or Indigenous Protected and Conserved Area, park status would ensure legislated protection for the Rainbow-Jordan, Peters told some 200 attendees at the screening.

Read More

Trump Attack on Public Lands Threatens Wildlife, Water, Climate

By Randi Spivak
Center for Biological Diversity
November 10, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States

Randi Spivak

WASHINGTON— The Center for Biological Diversity filed official opposition today to the Trump administration’s move to scrap the Public Lands Rule. Trump’s move would continue to prioritize extraction over public lands conservation. The 2024 rule was designed to put conservation, ecosystem restoration and community access to public lands on equal footing with extractive uses like mining, drilling and grazing. “Trump’s absurd claim that conservation isn’t a valid use of public lands would be laughable if it didn’t threaten America with such disastrous consequences,” said Randi Spivak, public land policy director at the Center for Biological Diversity. “The Public Lands Rule was designed to bring some balance to our shared heritage after decades of the lands being trashed by mining, drilling and exploitation. Trump’s move to repeal the rule will harm our wildlife, pollute our water, and sacrifice plain old public enjoyment of beautiful wild places on the altar of corporate profit.”

Read More

Washington forestland owners in ‘most contentious’ battle in quarter century

By Don Jenkins
The Capital Press
November 10, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: United States, US West

The Washington Forest Practices Board may vote Nov. 12 to widen and lengthen riparian buffers, taking millions of dollars worth of timber out of production. Forest landowners and the wood-products are mounting a last-ditch effort to persuade the board to not adopt what they say would be a massive taking of private property. The state Department of Ecology says wider and longer buffers would keep timber harvests from raising temperatures in non-fish bearing streams in most cases. Timber groups haven’t been in a battle this divisive since the industry, state agencies and tribes settled on seminal logging rules in 1999, Washington Forest Protection Association’s Darin Cramer said. …Studies confirmed logging raises water temperatures. The timber industry argues that even if temperatures rise, they soon go down and generally do not exceed acceptable levels.  Massachusetts-based consultant Industrial Economics estimates the rule will take somewhere between 67,000 acres and 170,000 acres out of production.

Read More

Officials in Bend warn Trump’s policies could hinder wildfire prevention work

By Michael Kohn
The Bend Bulletin
November 11, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: US West

Policies by the Trump administration are putting communities at increased risk for wildfire because federal funding for fuels treatment work is becoming more difficult to obtain. That is the opinion of a group of policymakers and politicians who convened in Bend last week to discuss how best to manage local forests. Bend Mayor Melanie Kebler, Deschutes County Commissioner Phil Chang and State Senator Anthony Broadman — all Democrats — were among those in attendance… Members of the group said there is a lack of clarity over future treatments in the Deschutes National Forest following years of mitigation work that cleared the forest floor of fuels and thinned areas to prevent a fast-moving crown fire. …Chang said he is especially concerned with the Trump administration’s Fix our Forest Act … The bill relies mostly on logging and cattle grazing to clear fuels that cause catastrophic wildfire, but funding for prescribed burning isn’t part of the legislation. 

Read More

Oregon State University study: Wildfire risk may tank timberland value, lead to early harvests

By Kyle Odegard
Capital Press
November 10, 2025
Category: Forestry
Region: US West

Rising wildfire risk in the Pacific Northwest combined with volatile timber pricing may lower forestland values by as much as 50% and persuade property owners to harvest Douglas fir trees much earlier than planned, according to a new analysis. The optimal age to harvest Douglas fir trees — absent fire risk — would be 65 years. The study, from Oregon State University researchers, suggests that harvesting trees at 24 years would make the most economic sense under the worst-case scenarios. “Basically, under high wildfire risk that rises with stand age, every year you wait to harvest you’re rolling the dice,” said Mindy Crandall, an associate professor in the OSU College of Forestry. Co-author Andres Susaeta, an OSU forestry assistant professor, said the study was a simulation, but researchers are confident in the direction of results.  Susaeta said earlier harvesting reduces both long-term timber revenue and impacts wood quality.

Additional coverage in Earth.com: Hidden pressure is pushing Douglas-fir harvests decades earlier

Read More

Carbon, Climate & Bioenergy

Climate change expands wildfire danger worldwide: New study warns of unprecedented risks in the coming decades

By CMCC Foundation – Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change
EurekAlert!
November 11, 2025
Category: Carbon, Climate & Bioenergy
Region: International

A new study, led by CMCC and Coventry University, reveals that climate change will dramatically expand wildfire danger across the globe, with up to 91% of fire-prone regions experiencing heightened risk by the end of this century. However, these changes are not just limited to areas that are traditionally fire-prone but could also affect ones that have rarely experienced wildfire risk in the past. “Wildfire danger is expanding and intensifying due to climate change,” says CMCC co-author Maria Vincenza Chiriacò. “…climate-driven fire danger is not a distant or localized issue, but a growing global challenge that demands proactive action.” Some of the most pronounced increases in fire danger are expected in southern Africa, the Mediterranean region, northern Asia, northeastern South America, and parts of North America. “The findings highlight how climate-driven fire danger will evolve globally, with important implications for livelihoods and ecosystem resilience,” says co-author from Coventry University, Jonathan Eden.

Read More