Category Archives: Finance & Economics

Finance & Economics

Canadian housing starts were up 30% in April

Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation
May 15, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada

The six-month trend in housing starts increased 2.4% in April to 240,905 units, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). The trend measure is a six-month moving average of the seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of total housing starts for all areas in Canada. The total monthly SAAR of housing starts for all areas in Canada increased 30% in April (278,606 units) compared to March (214,205 units). Actual housing starts were up 17% year-over-year in centres with a population of 10,000 or greater, with 21,720 units recorded in April, compared to 18,539 in April 2024. This marks the highest actual housing starts for the month of April on record, and pushed the year-to-date total to 67,022, down 2% from the same period in 2024. “The increased starts activity in April was driven by increases across all housing types in Québec and the Prairie provinces, while starts in Ontario and BC declined.

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Commercial construction intentions drive the fall in the non-residential sector

Statistics Canada
May 14, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada

In March, the total value of building permits issued in Canada decreased by $549.4 million (-4.1%) to $12.9 billion. The decrease was led by the non-residential sector (-$716.3 million), and it was tempered by the residential sector (+$166.9 million). On a constant dollar basis (2017=100), the total value of building permits issued in March decreased 5.1% from the previous month and was up 11.1% on a year-over-year basis. The value of non-residential building permits decreased by $716.3 million to $4.2 billion in March, marking a 14.5% decline from the previous month. Commercial construction intentions led the decline, dropping $474.1 million (-19.0%) to $2.0 billion in March. Meanwhile, the institutional component (-$238.5 million; -14.4%) also saw a decrease. The industrial component (-$3.7 million; -0.5%) experienced a minor decline, continuing its downward trend seen since October 2024. …Residential construction intentions in Canada increased $166.9 million (+2.0%) in March to reach $8.7 billion. A gain in the multi-family component (+$322.5 million to $5.9 billion) was partially offset by a decline in the single-family component (-$155.6 million to $2.8 billion).

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Trump keeps saying the US doesn’t need Canada’s stuff. We asked experts

By Jordan Gowling
The Financial Post
May 13, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

Ian Dunn

Trump has threatened to impose additional tariffs on top of the duties already in place but so far has not done so. This is because the US relies heavily on Canadian lumber and paper pulp products. Canada supplies 24 per cent of the US’s softwood lumber, which will be hard to replace. Ian Dunn, CEO of the Ontario Forest Industries Association, said it would take five to 10 years for the US to replace the Canadian market share. “They would have to build new capacity, and they would have to build new mills,” said Dunn. “A lot of mills in the US south and pacific northwest, have shut down or curtailed in the last 16 to 18 months.” Canada is also a large source of paper pulp. Canada produces one-third of the world’s northern bleached softwood kraft pulp and 75 per cent of total capacity in North America. 

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How major global and economic sectors are reacting to US tariff policy

Window + Door – National Glass Association
May 12, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States, International

The effects have been felt by building industries in terms of increased costs, disrupted supply chains and economic uncertainty. Last week’s webinar, “Trump’s Tariffs: Transition or Turmoil?… focused on the near-term effects of tariffs, how trade environments have shifted in response, and what the next steps of the Trump Administration might be. …Ari Hawkins, a Politico trade reporter, agreed that the administration is likely looking to the USMCA renegotiations to “really get into the weeds of a lot of these tariff disputes” with Canada. …Hawkins says that further Section 232 investigations could lead to new tariffs in the coming months on a range of products, including semiconductors, lumber and critical minerals. While the administration might make exemptions on materials like lumber before those investigations are completed, Hawkins says, they are still likely to face the Section 232 tariffs as part of the administration’s focus on incentivizing manufacturing and development within the US.

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Lumber prices continue to drop with wood market cautious amid tariff uncertainty

By Joe Pruski
RISI Fastmarkets
May 12, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

The downward price slide of recent weeks was unabated across most framing lumber species. Uncertainty surrounding the economy and potential new developments in US trade policy contributed to a cautious market tone. Many traders lamented that they anticipated at least a modest decline in mortgage interest rates by now that has not materialized. With discounts cutting deeper across most species, the Random Lengths Framing Lumber Composite Price tumbled $14. That’s the composite’s first double-digit drop since April 2024. Downward price pressure intensified across the South. …Competitively priced Western S-P-F crept deeper into traditional Southern Pine markets, especially lower grades, which contributed to the downward price pressure on SYP. …Lumber futures settled sharply higher on Thursday after a prolonged downward trend.

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Sawmill Execs: Wild Wood Prices Ahead

By Ryan Dezember
The Wall Street Journal
May 10, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

Executives at two of North America’s lumber producers said they are bracing for volatile wood prices this building season before sharply higher US duties on Canadian lumber kick in. Despite President Trump’s threats, his April 2 tariff barrage didn’t hit Canadian lumber. Nonetheless, duties related to a long-running trade dispute are set to more than double later this year. Canfor and Interfor are not sure there won’t also be additional levies tied to Trump’s March 1 order for an investigation into the national security threat of imported wood. …Canfor’s Susan Yurkovich said “Either people won’t be able to access their products and there’ll be a slowdown… or there will be a price response, which also, of course, will have an impact on affordability.” …Interfor’s Bart Bender said he expects volatile pricing this spring and summer while sawmills figure out what sort of increases buyers will bear. [to access the full story a WSJ subscription is required]

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Interfor Corporation reports Q1, 2025 net loss of $35 million

Interfor Corporation
May 8, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

Interfor recorded a Net loss in Q1’25 of $35.1 million compared to a Net loss of $49.9 million and a Net loss of $72.9 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $48.6 million on sales of $735.5 million in Q1’25. …Notable items include: Lumber prices increased during Q1’25 as reflected in Interfor’s average selling price of $712 per mfbm, up $53 per mfbm versus Q4’24; lumber shipments totalled 863 million board feet, representing a 77 million board foot decrease over the prior quarter. The decrease primarily relates to the sale of the Quebec operations, weather-related curtailments and shipment delays resulting from tariff uncertainty. …The Company is well positioned with a diversified product mix…only about 24% of the Company’s total lumber production is exported from Canada to the US and exposed to a potential tariff. …Interfor expects that over the mid-term, lumber markets will continue to benefit from favourable underlying supply and demand fundamentals.

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Canfor Corporation reports Q1, 2025 operating loss of $29 million

Canfor Corporation
May 8, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, International

VANCOUVER — Canfor Corporation reported its Q1, 2025 results. The Company reported an operating loss of $28.5 million for the first quarter of 2025, compared to an operating loss of $45.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. …These results largely reflected improved lumber segment results and, to a lesser extent, the pulp and paper segment. Canfor’s CEO, Susan Yurkovich said, “While improved lumber benchmark prices provided some relief, rising global economic and trade uncertainty, and US lumber duties, create a challenging backdrop. Through our diversified operating platform in Canada, the US South and Europe, we are positioned to mitigate these challenges, while remaining focused on what we can control. …“For our pulp business” Yurkovich added, “this was another solid quarter with improved results and a strong operational performance. However, global economic uncertainty is also putting pressure on global softwood pulp markets in the near term.”

Related coverage: Canfor Pulp reported Q1, 2025 operating income of $11 million

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Trump talks tough on Canada — while importing more cars, lumber, and oil

By Catherine Baab
The Quartz Daily Brief
May 6, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

Fresh trade data shows deepening US reliance on Canadian goods, even as the president claims the opposite. …According to the US Census Bureau and Bureau of Economic Analysis, the US goods trade deficit with Canada widened to $4.9 billion in March, up sharply from prior months. The surge was driven by higher imports of Canadian-made cars, crude oil, and finished wood products — the exact categories Trump dismissed. Automotive imports rose by $2.6 billion, including a $2.1 billion spike in passenger vehicles, many of which are assembled in Canada. Oil and lumber purchases also increased, contributing to a 14% month-over-month jump in the broader US trade deficit, which hit a new monthly high of $140.5 billion in March. …The US typically runs a services surplus with Canada, and American firms rely heavily on Canadian supply chains in autos, energy, and materials, as the fresh BEA data suggests.

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Lumber Prices Ease as Uncertainty Settles Despite Prices Settling

By Vincent Salandro
Builder Magazine
May 5, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

Uncertainty over international trade barriers has caused significant fluctuations in lumber prices in recent months, according to Keta Kosman, publisher of Madison’s Lumber Reporter. “The whipsaw fatigue of conflicting tariff announcements over two months had Western Canadian suppliers hoping to see the market settle down,” Kosman. …Some stakeholders held off on buying lumber altogether, while others ordered early in hopes of securing delivery ahead of any potential trade restrictions. “Others decidedly switched their purchasing to Southern Yellow Pine from SPF,” Kosman says. …Data from the WWPA indicates US sawmills were running at only 67% of full capacity in January, compared to 72% for the full-year 2024. In Canada, sawmill utilization was 74% of capacity, down just one percentage point compared to the previous year. …“At this time, there is significant lumber supply able to come back online at existing facilities should demand improve into the summer.”

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Lumber futures fell below $550 per thousand board feet, hovering at yearly lows

Trading Economics
May 5, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, United States

Lumber futures fell below $550 per thousand board feet, hovering at yearly lows as excess supply from winter restocking collided added to a decline in demand. A 14.2% drop in U.S. single-family housing starts to an annualized 940,000 units in March, pushed new-home inventories to nearly eight months of supply. While a federal directive to raise timber production from public lands by 25% may ease constraints in the long term, the 90-day pause on new reciprocal tariffs has removed near-term urgency for buyers to cover import risks. At the same time, expectations of sharply higher anti-dumping duties on Canadian lumber have prompted mills to hold back supply, further pressuring prices as domestic inventories accumulate and demand remains subdued despite the onset of the spring building season.

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Mercer International reports Q1, 2025 net loss of $22.3 million

Mercer International Inc.
May 1, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, International

NEW YORK, NY — Mercer International reported first quarter 2025 Operating EBITDA of $47.1 million, a decrease from $63.6 million in the same quarter of 2024 and $99.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. In the first quarter of 2025, net loss was $22.3 million compared to $16.7 million in the first quarter of 2024 and net income of $16.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. Mr. Juan Carlos Bueno, Chief Executive Officer, stated: “There was continued strength in pulp markets and an improving lumber pricing environment in the first quarter of 2025. However, our operating results in the quarter were negatively impacted by annual planned maintenance downtime at our Celgar mill and the impact of the weaker dollar against the euro.

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Taiga Building Products reports Q1, 2025 net earnings of $9.8 million

By Taiga Building Products Ltd.
Cision Newswire
May 9, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, Canada West

BURNABY, BC – Taiga Building Products reported its financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024. …The Company’s consolidated net sales for the quarter ended March 31, 2025 were $400.0 million compared to $393.6 million over the same period last year. The slight increase in sales by $6.3 million or 2% was largely due to a higher average pricing as well as product mix.  Net earnings for the quarter ended March 31, 2025 decreased to $9.8 million from $12.8 million over the same period last year primarily due to decreased gross margin. EBITDA for the quarter ended March 31, 2025 was $16.7 million compared to $19.8 million for the same period last year.

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Conifex Timber reports Q1, 2025 net income of $0.6 million

By Conifex Timber Inc.
GlobeNewswire
May 12, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, Canada West

VANCOUVER, BC — Conifex Timber reported results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025. EBITDA was $4.9 million for the quarter compared to EBITDA of negative $2.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 and negative $0.5 million in the first quarter of 2024. Net income was $0.6 million for the quarter versus net loss of $7.8 million in the previous quarter and negative $4.5 million in the first quarter of 2024. …lumber production in the first quarter of 2025 totalled approximately 46.3 million board feet, representing operating rates of approximately 77% of annualized capacity. …Power Plant sold 47.6 GWh of electricity under our EPA with BC Hydro in the first quarter of 2025 representing approximately 88% of targeted operating rates. 

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Western Forest Products reports Q1, 2025 net income of $13.8 million

Western Forest Products Inc.
May 6, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, Canada West

VANCOUVER – Western Forest Products reported improved financial results in the first quarter of 2025, as compared to the same period last year. Net income was $13.8 million in the first quarter of 2025, as compared to a net loss of $8.0 million in the first quarter of 2024, and a net loss of $1.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. …lumber production of 134 million board feet (versus 145 million board feet in Q1 2024); average lumber selling price of $1,533 per mfbm. …North American markets are expected to be volatile due to concerns around the economic impact caused by potential further US tariffs and retaliatory tariffs. The spring building season which typically leads to gains in softwood lumber demand could be more muted. …In Japan, the spring housing demand is stronger than expected and channel inventories have declined. …Demand for our Industrial lumber products in North America are expected to strengthen as supply remains tight across all species.

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GreenFirst Reports Financial Results for the First Quarter of 2025

GreenFirst Forest Products Inc.
May 13, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, Canada East

TORONTO, ON — GreenFirst Forest Products Inc. announced results for the first quarter ended March 29, 2025. The Company’s interim financial statements  and related Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the first quarter ended March 29, 2025 are available on GreenFirst’s website at www.greenfirst.ca and on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca. Q1 2025 net income from continuing operations was $0.9 million or $0.04 earnings per share (diluted), compared to net loss of $26.6 million or $1.39 loss per share (diluted) in Q4 2024. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations for Q1 2025 was positive $5.1 million compared to negative $0.9 million in Q4 2024. Benchmark prices saw increases during the quarter which resulted in an average realized lumber prices of $729/mfbm for Q1 2025 which was higher than the $680/mfbm pricing realized in Q4 2024.

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Cascades reports Q1, 2025 operating income of $50 million

By Cascades Inc.
Cision Newswire
May 8, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, Canada East

KINGSEY FALLS, Quebec — Cascades reports its unaudited financial results for the three-month period ended March 31, 2025. Highlights include: Sales of $1,154 million (compared with $1,211 million in Q4 2024 and $1,109 million in Q1 2024); Operating income of $50 million (compared with $16 million in Q4 2024 and $9 million in Q1 2024); and Total capital expenditures, net of disposals, totaled $36 million in Q1 2025, compared to $29 million in Q4 2024 and $41 million in Q1 2024. Hugues Simon, CEO, commented: “Our first quarter performance was driven by lower volumes across our businesses as uncertainty regarding tariffs led to a deterioration in consumer and business sentiment beginning in mid-February, resulting in lower sales and profitability levels sequentially.

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Acadian Timber Corp. Reports First Quarter Results

Acadian Timber Corp.
May 7, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, Canada East

Edmundston, NEW BRUNSWICK  – Acadian Timber Corp. reported financial and operating results for the three months ended March 29, 2025. “Regional demand and pricing for our products remained stable during the first quarter of 2025, despite heightened levels of economic uncertainty. However, warm weather and limited contractor availability in Maine impacted our ability to deliver to our customers,” commented Adam Sheparski, President and Chief Executive Officer. “The establishment of our own logging operations in Maine during the first quarter reduces our dependence on external contractors going forward and we look forward to catching up on our planned volumes over the course of the rest of the year.” Acadian generated sales of $24.8 million, compared to $28.8 million in the prior year period. The first quarter of 2024 included $4.9 million in carbon credit sales, while no carbon credit sales occurred in the first quarter of 2025. 

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Stella-Jones reports Q1, 2025 net income of $93 million

Stella-Jones Inc.
May 7, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: Canada, Canada East

MONTREAL — Stella-Jones announced financial results for its first quarter ended March 31, 2025. Highlights include: Sales of $773 million, relatively unchanged from Q1 2024; Operating income of $143 million, including insurance settlement of $38 million; EBITDA of $179 million, or 23.2% margin; Acquisition post-quarter of a steel transmission structure manufacturer, aligned with strategy to support North American infrastructure. …Eric Vachon, President and Chief Executive Officer of Stella-Jones said “Though macroeconomic headwinds continue to impact volume growth, at this stage we remain confident in our ability to achieve our financial objectives. …“The Company entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Locwel., a leading manufacturer of lattice towers and steel poles for electrical transmission. This transaction marks a step forward in Stella-Jones’ long-term vision, allowing us to enhance our infrastructure offering and establish a presence in the growing steel transmission structure industry.”

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US Producer Price Index for softwood lumber increased 8.6% year-over-year

The HBS Dealer
May 15, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

The Producer Price Index declined 0.5% in April, according to data released Thursday by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. However, of the 10 key commodities in the hardware and building supply space tracked below, only two (millwork and plywood) index lower compared to a year ago. And only one (plywood) declined from March to April. The softwood lumber index increased 8.6% year-over-year. A month ago, the increase was 12.6%. …Construction input prices decreased 0.1% in April compared to the previous month. Nonresidential construction input prices increased 0.2% for the month. “Construction input prices declined in April, but that was largely due to falling energy prices,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “Materials directly affected by tariffs saw sharp price increases for the month. Steel mill product prices, for instance, rose 5.9%, while copper wire and cable prices increased 5.0%.

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US Single-Family Starts Down 2.1% in April on Economic and Tariff Uncertainty

The National Association of Home Builders
May 16, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

Economic uncertainty stemming from tariff issues, elevated mortgage rates and rising building material costs pushed single-family housing starts lower in April. Overall housing starts increased 1.6% in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.36 million units, according to a report from the US Department of Housing and Urban Development and the US Census Bureau. The April reading of 1.36 million starts is the number of housing units builders would begin if development kept this pace for the next 12 months. Within this overall number, single-family starts decreased 2.1% to a 927,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate and are down 12% compared to April 2024. The multifamily sector, which includes apartment buildings and condos, increased 10.7% to an annualized 434,000 pace. “The decline in single-family housing starts in April mirrors builder sentiment, as elevated interest rates, uncertainty on the tariff front and rising construction costs are exacerbating housing affordability challenges,” said Buddy Hughes,  NAHB chairman.

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Soft Spring Selling Season Takes a Toll on US Builder Confidence

By Robert Dietz, Chief Economist
NAHB Eye on Housing
May 15, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

Builder confidence fell sharply in May on growing uncertainties stemming from elevated interest rates, tariff concerns, building material cost uncertainty and the cloudy economic outlook. However, 90% of the responses received in May were tabulated prior to the May 12 announcement that the US and China agreed to slash tariffs for 90 days to allow trade talks to continue. Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes was 34 in May, down six points from April, according to the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This ties the November 2023 reading and is the lowest since the index hit 31 in December 2022. …All three of the major HMI indices posted losses in May. The HMI index gauging current sales conditions fell eight points in May to a level of 37, the component measuring sales expectations in the next six months edged one-point lower to 42 while the gauge charting traffic of prospective buyers dropped two points to 23.

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US Housing Starts Rebound Less Than Expected In April, Building Permits Pull Back Sharply

RTT News
May 16, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

While the Commerce Department released a report on Friday showing a rebound by new residential construction in the U.S. in the month of April, the report also showed a substantial pullback by building permits during the month. The Commerce Department said housing starts shot up by 1.6 percent to an annual rate of 1.361 million in April after plummeting by 10.1 percent to a revised rate of 1.339 million in March. However, economists had expected housing starts to surge by 3.5 percent to a rate of 1.370 million from the 1.324 million originally reported for the previous month. “Soft housing starts in April are another sign that builders are hitting the brakes this year in response to high uncertainty for costs and future demand,” writes Nationwide Senior Economist Ben Ayers. …The smaller than expected rebound by housing starts came as a sharp increase by multi-family starts was partly offset by a continued slump by single-family starts.

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US Inflation Eased Again in April But Housing Inflation Remains Elevated

By Fan-Yu Kuo
NAHB Eye on Housing
May 13, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

Inflation slowed to a 4-year low in April while shelter inflation remained elevated. Despite the easing, inflation may pick up in the coming months as possible inflationary pressure from enacted tariffs and other policy uncertainties continues to threaten economic growth and complicate the Fed’s path to its 2% target. Meanwhile, housing inflation remains elevated, but it continues to show signs of cooling – the year-over-year change in the shelter index remained below 5% for an eighth straight month, matching last month’s lowest level since November 2021. …Additional housing supply is the primary solution to tame housing inflation and with it, overall inflation. This emphasizes why the cost of construction, including the cost of building materials, matters not just for housing but also the inflation outlook and the path of future monetary policy. Consequently, the election result has put inflation back in the spotlight and added additional upside and downside risks to the economic outlook. 

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Annual inflation rate hit 2.3% in April, less than expected and lowest since 2021

By Jeff Cox
CNBC News
May 13, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

Inflation was slightly lower than expected in April as President Trump’s tariffs just began hitting the slowing US economy, according to a Labor Department report Tuesday. The consumer price index, which measures the costs for a broad range of goods and services, rose a seasonally adjusted 0.2% for the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 2.3%, its lowest since February 2021. The monthly reading was in line with the Dow Jones consensus estimate while the 12-month was a bit below the forecast for 2.4%. Markets reacted little to the news, with stock futures pointing flat to slightly lower and Treasury yields mixed. ″“Good news on inflation, and we need it given inflation shocks from tariffs are on their way,” said Robert Frick, at Navy Federal Credit Union. …Shelter prices again were the main culprit in pushing up the inflation gauge. 

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Uncertainty around tariffs triggers lumber volatility, slows growth

By Valerie Hansen, Chairman BuyMetrics
The LBM Journal
May 7, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

Valerie Hansen

Threatened tariffs, announced tariffs, rescinded tariffs, pending negotiations, countervailing duties, a falling bond market, rising mortgage rates—the threats, drama, and uncertainty have not been good for the lumber and building materials (LBM) industry. The uncertainty has led to risks of a different kind: slowing growth and rising inflation. Fortunately, the industry scored a win in March when Canadian lumber and panel products were deemed US-Mexico-Canada-Agreement-compliant. Up next, the countervailing and anti-dumping duties on Canadian lumber. …Yet to come, the Section 232 National Security Investigation. …As the industry braces for new tariffs, here’s what dealers can learn from the other extreme cycles of the 21st century —the 2006 boom cycle, 2009 bust cycle (Great Recession), and the 2021 COVID-19 cycle. …Risk management: To mitigate the risk of over-paying or experiencing a disruption in supply, expand your supply base. It pays to diversify.

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China rolls out more stimulus and agrees to trade talks with the US as tariffs hit economy

By Ken Moritsugu and Elaine Kurtenbach
The Associated Press in the Canadian Press
May 7, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States, International

BEIJING — China announced a barrage of measures meant to counter the blow to its economy from US President Donald Trump ’s trade war, as the two sides prepared for talks later this week. Beijing’s central bank governor and other top financial officials outlined plans Wednesday to cut interest rates and reduce bank reserve requirements to help free up more funding for lending. …Trump’s tariffs on imports from China, have begun to take a toll on its export-dependent economy at a time when it’s already under pressure from a prolonged downturn in the property sector. China has retaliated with tariff hikes of up to 125% on US goods and stopped buying most American farm products. Late Tuesday, China and the US announced plans for talks. …The agreement to talk comes at a time when both sides have remained adamant, at least in public, about not compromising on the tariffs.

Related news in CNN: US stocks open higher as US-UK trade deal announcement nears

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US Multifamily Developer Confidence Falls in the First Quarter

The National Association of Home Builders
May 8, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

Confidence in the market for new multifamily housing declined year-over-year in the first quarter, according to the Multifamily Market Survey (MMS) released by the NAHB. The MMS produces two separate indices. The Multifamily Production Index (MPI) had a reading of 44, down three points year-over-year, while the Multifamily Occupancy Index (MOI) had a reading of 82, down one point year-over-year. …The MPI is a weighted average of four key market segments: three in the built-for-rent market (garden/low-rise, mid/high-rise and subsidized) and one in the built-for-sale (or condominium) market. The component measuring garden/low-rise dipped one point to 54, the component measuring mid/high-rise units fell eight points to 28, the component measuring subsidized units held even at 50 and the component measuring built-for-sale units posted a one-point decline to 38.

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US Mortgage Activity Levels Off in April as Rates Increase, New Home Prices Drop

By Catherine Koh
NAHB Eye on Housing
May 6, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

Mortgage loan applications saw little change in April, as refinancing activity decreased. The Market Composite Index, which measures mortgage loan application volume based on the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) weekly survey, experienced a 0.4% month-over month increase on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis. However, year-over-year, the index is up 29.3% compared to April 2024. The average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage climbed 10 basis points in April, reaching 6.8%, according to the MBA survey. As rates edged higher, purchase activity posted a modest 1.9% month-over-month gain (SA), while the Refinance Index declined by 1.4% (SA). Compared to a year ago, mortgage rates are down 37 bps, and thus, purchase applications are higher by 11.2%, while refinance activity has jumped 62.0%.

In related news: US Prices for New Homes Continue to Drop as Existing Rises

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The Fed will likely hold interest rates steady as Trump’s tariffs spark uncertainty

By Scott Horsley
National Public Radio
May 7, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

The Federal Reserve is likely to hold interest rates steady later on Wednesday amid fears that President Trump’s tariffs will rekindle inflation and slow economic growth. The decision to keep the Fed’s benchmark borrowing rate between 4.25% and 4.5% is widely expected by financial markets despite the president’s repeated demands for the Fed to lower interest rates. …Trade tensions have led to a sharp drop in consumer confidence. But they’ve yet to put much of a dent in the job market. …So long as tariffs threaten to put upward pressure on prices, the Fed will be inclined to keep interest rates relatively high, in an effort to prevent inflation from spiking again. That calculation could change, however, if the job market softens and unemployment starts to climb. Ordinarily, that would push the central bank toward lowering interest rates.

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As GDP Contracts, NAHB Fights NIMBYs and an Exec Order

The National Association of Home Builders
May 1, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

Gross domestic product (GDP) contracted in the first quarter by 0.3%, with imported goods being a large contributor to the decline as the suppliers prepared for President Trump’s tariff proposals once he took office. NAHB estimates this should even out in the second quarter. Other economic data of note are inflation, which is still elevated but creeping downward, and the unemployment rate, which remains low but may edge up among economic uncertainty. …NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz hasn’t hit the panic button yet. And I still think that we don’t know what President Trump’s economy really is yet. It’s been policy by sledgehammer, and now they’re going to start putting the pieces back together.” NAHB Senior Officers and staff continue to actively engage with lawmakers on this and other policies, including a special BUILD-PAC Capital Club event this week featuring an interview with Sen. Tim Sheehy.

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Prices up, confidence down after 100 days of Trump 2.0

By Rod Sweet
Global Construction Review
April 30, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

Tuesday marked the 100th day of President Trump’s second term in office and there are signs of stress and jitters in the US construction industry, with rising prices, falling confidence, and a sharp uptick in abandoned projects. “Lumber and metals prices shot up in March, while contractors’ inboxes are bulging with ‘Dear Valued Customer’ letters announcing further increases for many products,” said Ken Simonson, chief economist at AGC. “Rapid-fire changes in tariffs threaten to drive prices higher for many essential construction goods,” he added. The price of materials and services used in nonresidential construction rose 0.4% in March, the third monthly increase in a row, AGC said. It was the first time since September 2023 that input prices had risen for three consecutive months, and comes after more than a year of stable or falling prices, Simonson said. …Within the 0.4% hike, lumber and plywood rose 2.7%.

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US Housing’s Share of the Economy Grows Higher to Start the Year

By Jesse Wade
NAHB Eye on Housing
May 1, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States

Housing’s share of the economy grew to 16.4% in the first quarter of 2025, according to the advance estimate of GDP produced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This is the highest reading since the third quarter of 2022 and is up 0.2 percentage points from the fourth quarter of 2024. The more cyclical home building and remodeling component – residential fixed investment (RFI) – was 4.1% of GDP, up from 4.0% in the previous quarter. The second component – housing services – was 12.3% of GDP, up from 12.2% in the previous quarter. The graph below stacks the nominal shares for housing services and RFI, resulting in housing’s total share of the economy. …In the first quarter, RFI added 5 basis points to the headline GDP growth rate, marking the second straight quarter of positive contributions.

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Boise Cascade reports Q1, 2025 net income of $40.3 million

Boise Cascade Company
May 5, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States, US West

BOISE, Idaho – Boise Cascade reported net income of $40.3 million on sales of $1.5 billion for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025, compared with net income of $104.1 million on sales of $1.6 billion for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024. …Wood Products’ sales, including sales to Building Materials Distribution (BMD), decreased $53.1 million, or 11%, to $415.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2025, from $468.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2024. The decrease in sales was driven by lower sales prices and sales volumes for LVL and I-joists. In addition, lower plywood sales prices and sales volumes also contributed to the decrease in sales. …Nate Jorgensen, CEO said “As we move through the second quarter and better understand the underlying demand for 2025, we will be prepared and flexible as the economic situation changes.”

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Clearwater Paper reports Q1, 2025 net loss of $6.3 million

By Clearwater Paper Corporation
Business Wire
April 29, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States, US West

SPOKANE, Washington — Clearwater Paper reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2025. …For the first quarter of 2025, Clearwater Paper reported net sales of $378 million compared to $259 million for the first quarter of 2024. Clearwater Paper reported net loss from continuing operations in the first quarter of 2025 of $6 million compared to net loss from continuing operations of $2 million for the first quarter of 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was $30 million compared to $14 million in the first quarter of 2024. The increase in Adjusted EBITDA was primarily driven by higher sales volume due to the inclusion of our Augusta facility, the absence of a significant weather event at our Lewiston, Idaho facility that negatively impacted the first quarter of 2024 and benefits from our cost reduction plan, offset by lower sales prices.

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Louisiana Pacific reports Q1, 2025 net income of $91 million

Louisiana Pacific Corporation
May 6, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States, US East

NASHVILLE, Tennessee — Louisiana-Pacific reported its financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2025. Highlights include: Siding net sales increased by $41 million (11%) to $402 million; Oriented Strand Board (OSB) net sales decreased by $46 million to $267 million; Consolidated net sales remained flat at $724 million; Net income was $91 million, a decrease of $17 million; and Cash provided by operating activities was $64 million. …“LP’s Siding business delivered 11% revenue growth and margin expansion in the first quarter,” said LP CEO Brad Southern. “Despite tariff uncertainty and a slow start to the building season, LP’s Siding order file is on pace for a record second quarter, driven by ExpertFinish growth, share gains in new residential construction, and a recovering shed market.”

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Kansas builders face uncertain prices as U.S. and Canada ‘keep flexing their muscles’ on tariffs

By Morgan Chilson
Kansas Reflector
May 5, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States, US East

TOPEKA, Kansas — Building a new house in today’s market doesn’t yet mean extra dollars for lumber or manufactured wood products, but Kansas building supply managers warn that tariffs have driven up other construction costs. While on-again, off-again tariffs on Canadian timber are currently off, Kansans should prepare to pay more for just about everything else in the house, they said. “You take the hardware and the millwork portion of our business, and we’re getting daily price increases. …“Canada is the source of upwards of 80% of our lumber, so that’s a huge issue for the homebuilding industry in particular,” he said. …“I would say pretty much 99.9% of all the builders we deal with have language in their contracts for increases due to market conditions,” he said. “Unfortunately, the end user is the one that’s bearing the brunt of all these tariffs,” Robinson added.

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Rayonier Inc. reports Q1, 2025 net loss of $3.4 million

Rayonier Inc.
April 30, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: United States, US East

WILDLIGHT, Florida — Rayonier reported first quarter net loss attributable to Rayonier of ($3.4) million on revenues of $82.9 million. This compares to net income attributable to Rayonier of $1.4 million on revenues of $113.7 million in the prior year quarter. Due to the Company’s previously announced agreement to sell entities that hold its entire 77% New Zealand joint venture interest, the contribution from the Company’s New Zealand operations are now reflected as discontinued operations on its consolidated financial statements. “We continued to advance key strategic initiatives during the first quarter, underscored by our announcement of an agreement to sell our New Zealand joint venture interest in March,” said Mark McHugh, President and CEO.

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Drax: Wood Pellet Production Up In Q1

Biomass Magazine
May 1, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: International

Drax Group plc on May 1 released a first quarter trading update, reporting strong performance for both its North American-based pellet production and U.K.-based biomass power generation business segments. The company said its pellet production business is performing well, with production levels that are up when compared to the first quarter of last year. Pellet operations have benefitted from good operational performance and benign weather conditions, Drax added. 

  • Strong performance – FlexGen, Pellet Production and Biomass Generation
  • Full year 2025 expectations for Adj. EBITDA around the top end of consensus estimates
  • Continuing to target post 2027 recurring Adj. EBITDA of £600-700 million – FlexGen, Pellet Production and Biomass Generation
  • £300 million share buyback programme progressing, c.£207 million complete
  • Final dividend of 15.6 pence per share, subject to shareholder approval at today’s AGM – Total dividend for 2024 of 26.0 pence per share (2023: 23.1 pence per share)

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Drax abandons AGM after confrontation with green activists

By Jillian Ambrose
The Guardian
May 1, 2025
Category: Finance & Economics
Region: International

The owner of the Drax power station has abandoned its annual shareholder meeting after a confrontation with activists who staged a protest against burning trees to generate electricity. The Guardian understands that between 10 and 20 activists were forcibly removed from the London venue after challenging the board of the energy company on its use of woody biomass at its North Yorkshire facility. The demonstration included groups that claim that Drax has contributed to air pollution in low-income Black communities in the US where it operates biomass pellet production facilities. …The board called an end to the meeting at about 11.30am on Thursday, before many of the shareholders were able to put their question directors, blaming the “threatening behaviour” of activists. 

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