A report in Nature Ecology & Evolution says forests are more resilient to climate change than previously thought. In related news: Reuters says the world’s forests appear to be struggling; Wagner Forest Management considers sale of Ontario timberlands for carbon offsets; and New Hampshire’s carbon credit program seeks to quantify uncut forests. In other Forestry news: an Oregon ENGO encourages old growth protection; a new film on fire’s role in BC’s Interior; and MP Kevin Holland speaks out on Ontario’s forestry future.
In Business news: Trudeau’s resignation spurs tariff talk on both sides of the border; a South Carolina professor says US consumers will pay for lumber tariffs; Russ Taylor’s mixed-blessing on the 2025 lumber market; Builders FirstSource acquires Alpine Lumber; Rona agrees to sell truss plant for All-Fab Group acquisition; and Snavely promotes Bill Georgelis to VP, Eastern Operations.
Finally, North America’s first all mass timber acute care hospital breaks ground in Ontario.
Kelly McCloskey, Tree Frog Editor
GATINEAU, QUE. — An agreement has been reached between the Competition Bureau and Rona Inc. in relation to concerns about the company’s proposed acquisition of 
Canada recorded a ninth consecutive monthly trade deficit in November, albeit smaller than expected as exports rose faster than imports, data showed on Tuesday. Total exports rose 2.2 per cent in November, helped by gains in a broad section of product categories, while imports were up 1.8 per cent, led by consumer goods and chemical, plastic and rubber products, Statistics Canada said. As a result, Canada’s trade deficit narrowed to $323-million from a revised $544-million deficit in October. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a $900-million deficit in November. The trade surplus with the United States, by far Canada’s largest trading partner, widened to $8.2-billion from $6.6-billion in October. The surplus with the U.S. nearly offset Canada’s trade deficit with all other countries – which widened to $8.5-billion in November from $7.2-billion – underscoring the potential impact of the U.S. President-elect’s threat to impose tariffs on Canadian goods.
If president-elect Donald Trump… follows through with his tariff threat, it could have economic consequences for the U.S. lumber supply chain, according to Rajan Parajuli at NC State. …US. companies would likely attempt to recoup tariff-related losses by raising the price of Canadian softwood lumber, which would potentially impact the housing market by making building materials more expensive. …Parajuli highlighted the 2006 U.S.–Canada Softwood Lumber Agreement as an example of how tariffs can impact the supply chain. …Under the agreement, which was active until 2015, U.S. lumber producers gained $1.6 billion and U.S. consumers lost $2.3 billion as softwood lumber imports from Canada declined by 7.78% in the months when export taxes took effect. “U.S. consumers not only paid producers’ gains, but also the losses that resulted from the export taxes,” Parajuli said. In the long term, the U.S. would need to work with Canada to negotiate a new softwood lumber agreement, according to Parajuli. Germany, Sweden and other trade partners simply don’t have the inventory or capacity to displace Canada in lumber exports.
After a dismal 2023 and 2024 in lumber markets in both demand and prices, it can only get better in 2025, right? Well, that depends. …The outlook for 2025 needs to incorporate several variables:
Human recreation on mountain trails is displacing grizzly bears and wolves from their natural habitats, even when the trails are hundreds of metres away, according to a new study from the University of Alberta. The research underscores the need for more effective planning to ensure that recreationists and wildlife can coexist, particularly in the busy Bow River Valley, which has long served as a natural corridor connecting the prairies to the Continental Divide… Though trails that never receive any use from humans have little to no effect on wildlife, only half of grizzlies studied would venture within 300 metres of trails with the highest human use. This effect was more pronounced in wary wolves, whose radius of comfort extended to 600 metres from the busiest trails. “We initially thought bears might use hiking trails as efficient routes when humans weren’t around, but they actually avoid these areas altogether,” says the author.
Forests may be more resilient to climate change than previously thought. A team of international researchers have found that increased inputs from plant roots can keep carbon levels in soil stable even as temperatures and nitrogen deposits in the atmosphere rise. The collaborative research project, 
An American company that controls some large patches of forest northwest of Thunder Bay is considering the potential sale of its timberlands for use as a carbon offset initiative… Wagner Forest Management – based in New Hampshire – owns 195,000 hectares of forest in eight former Abitibi-Consolidated freehold blocks located roughly between the Dog Lake area, Graham and Sioux Lookout. It purchased the blocks from Abitibi in 2005 in a bidding process in which the Ontario government also participated. Last July the company extended an invitation to investors interested in the potential development of its holdings as “one of the largest nature-based carbon removal projects in the Voluntary Carbon Market.”.. Wagner’s forest management practices are currently certified through the Sustainable Forestry Initiative.
There’s no quick fix for decarbonizing medium- and long-distance flights. Batteries are typically too heavy, and hydrogen fuel takes up too much space to offer a practical solution, leaving sustainable aviation fuels made from plants and other biomass, recycled carbon, or captured carbon as the primary options… That creates an opportunity for developers of second-generation sustainable aviation fuel technologies, which involve making jet fuel out of captured carbon or alternate biomass sources, such as forest waste. These methods are not yet mature enough to make a significant dent in 2030 targets… But this tech will need to be a big part of the equation in order to meet the aviation sector’s overall goal of net zero emissions by 2050, as well as the EU’s sustainable fuels mandate.
Here is some of the latest climate research:
The BC Forest Safety Council celebrated Leadership in Forestry Safety with the 2024 Leadership in Safety Awards at the Vancouver Island Safety Conference on Saturday, October 26th. The 2024 Leadership in Safety Awards were presented by BCFSC’s CEO, Rob Moonen. These awards honour the exceptional contributions to safety in the forestry industry and recognize individuals, crews, and companies that have made significant strides in workplace safety, reinforcing the goal of ensuring every worker returns home safely. This year, three outstanding individuals were celebrated: Bill Bolton, former Falling Manager and senior advisor for the BCFSC received the 2024 Cary White Memorial Lifetime Achievement Award for his unwavering advocacy for faller safety. …Toby Jeffreys, Area Supervisor at Interfor’s Adams Lake Division, was awarded the Forest Safety MVP Award. And Chris Fowler, Safety Coordinator at Canoe Forest Products (CFP), a division of the Gorman Group, received the MVP Award for Wood Products Manufacturing.